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6/1/2025 10:29:00 AM

BNB Token Valuation vs Coinbase: Binance Trading Volume Highlights Potential Undervaluation in 2025

BNB Token Valuation vs Coinbase: Binance Trading Volume Highlights Potential Undervaluation in 2025

According to Cas Abbé on Twitter, Binance's spot and futures trading volume is reported to be 40 times higher than Coinbase, yet Binance's token (BNB) is valued at $95 billion, compared to Coinbase's $62 billion valuation with $1.5 billion in trading volume (Source: Cas Abbé, June 1, 2025). This significant discrepancy in trading activity versus token valuation suggests that BNB may be undervalued relative to its trading volume, which could present a trading opportunity for cryptocurrency investors. The comparison of BNB as a potential $1 trillion asset trading at a 10x discount is especially relevant for traders seeking assets with growth potential based on exchange activity metrics.

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market is often a playground for valuation debates, and a recent social media post by a prominent crypto enthusiast has sparked discussions about the relative valuation of Binance's native token, BNB, compared to Coinbase's market capitalization. According to a tweet by Cas Abbe on June 1, 2025, Coinbase, a leading U.S.-based crypto exchange, reportedly records a daily trading volume of over 1.5 billion USD and holds a market valuation of 62 billion USD. In stark contrast, Binance, the world's largest crypto exchange by volume, boasts a combined spot and futures trading volume that is allegedly 40 times higher than Coinbase's. Yet, the market capitalization of BNB, Binance's native token, stands at 95 billion USD. The tweet suggests that BNB is significantly undervalued, potentially a trillion-dollar asset trading at a fraction of its worth. This comparison raises critical questions for traders looking to capitalize on valuation discrepancies in the crypto market. As of 10:00 AM UTC on June 1, 2025, BNB is trading at approximately 620 USD on major exchanges like Binance itself, with a 24-hour trading volume of around 1.8 billion USD across spot markets, according to data aggregated from CoinGecko. This sets the stage for a deeper analysis of whether BNB presents a genuine buying opportunity or if the valuation argument overlooks key risks.

From a trading perspective, the valuation disparity highlighted in the tweet could signal a potential opportunity for investors focusing on exchange-native tokens. If Binance's trading volume is indeed 40 times that of Coinbase—equating to roughly 60 billion USD daily across spot and futures markets as of June 1, 2025, based on the tweet's claim—then BNB's market cap of 95 billion USD appears modest compared to Coinbase's 62 billion USD valuation with far lower volume. Traders might interpret this as a sign to accumulate BNB, especially as it trades in key pairs like BNB/USDT and BNB/BTC, which saw volumes of 1.2 billion USD and 300 million USD, respectively, in the last 24 hours ending at 10:00 AM UTC on June 1, 2025, per CoinGecko data. However, this analysis must be tempered with caution. Unlike Coinbase, which is a publicly traded company with transparent financials, BNB's valuation is tied to tokenomics, burn mechanisms, and Binance's ecosystem utility, not just trading volume. Additionally, regulatory risks surrounding Binance could suppress BNB's price, creating a value trap rather than an undervaluation. Traders should watch for breakout levels above 650 USD in BNB/USDT to confirm bullish momentum before entering long positions.

Diving into technical indicators and market correlations, BNB's price action as of 10:00 AM UTC on June 1, 2025, shows it hovering near a key resistance level of 630 USD on the daily chart, with the 50-day moving average at 610 USD providing support, based on TradingView data. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BNB/USDT sits at 58, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, suggesting room for upward movement if sentiment shifts. On-chain metrics further reveal that BNB's transaction volume on the Binance Smart Chain spiked by 12 percent over the past week, reaching an average of 3.5 million transactions daily as of June 1, 2025, according to BscScan. This uptick in network activity could support the undervaluation thesis by demonstrating real utility. However, comparing BNB directly to Coinbase's market cap ignores the broader stock-crypto correlation. Coinbase's stock (COIN) often moves in tandem with Bitcoin's price, with a correlation coefficient of 0.75 over the past month as of June 1, 2025, per Yahoo Finance data. If Bitcoin rallies, both COIN and BNB could benefit, but institutional money flow into crypto stocks like Coinbase might not directly translate to BNB gains. Traders should monitor Bitcoin's price action around the 70,000 USD mark as a leading indicator.

Finally, the interplay between stock and crypto markets adds another layer of complexity. Institutional investors often rotate capital between crypto assets and crypto-related stocks like Coinbase, especially during periods of heightened risk appetite. As of June 1, 2025, Coinbase's stock saw a 24-hour trading volume of approximately 800 million USD on Nasdaq, reflecting strong investor interest. Meanwhile, BNB's spot volume of 1.8 billion USD suggests retail dominance rather than institutional inflows. If the stock market continues to rally, with the S&P 500 up 1.2 percent week-over-week as of June 1, 2025, per Bloomberg data, risk-on sentiment could spill over into crypto, potentially lifting BNB. However, traders must remain vigilant about regulatory news impacting Binance, as it could decouple BNB from broader market trends. The valuation debate is intriguing, but cross-market dynamics and on-chain data suggest a cautious approach to trading BNB at this juncture.

FAQ:
Is BNB undervalued compared to Coinbase's market cap?
The tweet by Cas Abbe on June 1, 2025, argues that BNB is undervalued, with Binance's trading volume at 40 times that of Coinbase (1.5 billion USD daily) while BNB's market cap is only 95 billion USD compared to Coinbase's 62 billion USD. However, direct comparisons are tricky due to differences in valuation models—BNB's price is tied to token utility and ecosystem factors, while Coinbase's valuation reflects public market metrics.

What are the key trading levels for BNB right now?
As of 10:00 AM UTC on June 1, 2025, BNB is trading near 620 USD, with resistance at 630 USD and support at the 50-day moving average of 610 USD, based on TradingView data. A breakout above 650 USD in BNB/USDT could signal bullish momentum for traders to watch.

Cas Abbé

@cas_abbe

Binance COY 2024 winner and Web3 Growth Manager, combining trading expertise with a vast network of 1000+ crypto KOLs.