BTC and ETH Options Expiry Jan 9: $2.4B Notional, Max Pain $90,000 (BTC) and $3,100 (ETH), IV Divergence and Block Trades Surge | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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1/9/2026 7:29:00 AM

BTC and ETH Options Expiry Jan 9: $2.4B Notional, Max Pain $90,000 (BTC) and $3,100 (ETH), IV Divergence and Block Trades Surge

BTC and ETH Options Expiry Jan 9: $2.4B Notional, Max Pain $90,000 (BTC) and $3,100 (ETH), IV Divergence and Block Trades Surge

According to @GreeksLive, 21,000 BTC options expired with a Put-Call Ratio of 1.07, a maximum pain point at $90,000, and $1.9 billion notional value, while 126,000 ETH options expired with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.88, a maximum pain point at $3,100, and $390 million notional value, totaling nearly $2.4 billion or about 7% of open interest, which is a relatively minor expiry for the week, source: @GreeksLive. The post-annual settlement rebound saw a pullback this week, but the recent downward trend in BTC and ETH has eased and sentiment is improving, with BTC’s $90,000 and ETH’s $3,000 psychological levels cited as strong supports, source: @GreeksLive. Key options metrics show BTC implied volatility is stable versus pre-Christmas, with main-term IV around 40%, while ETH IV has declined with main-term IV at 55%, highlighting an IV divergence traders should note, source: @GreeksLive. Block trading remained elevated, accounting for over 70% of today’s total options volume, driven by new position-building demand, source: @GreeksLive. Market makers and active traders reportedly hold substantial cash and are primarily positioning in BTC month-end call options and ETH month-end put options, indicating targeted directional and hedging flows into month-end, source: @GreeksLive.

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Analysis

The recent January 9 options expiration for Bitcoin and Ethereum has provided crucial insights into current market dynamics, highlighting potential trading opportunities amid stabilizing prices. According to Greeks.live, a total of 21,000 BTC options expired with a Put-Call Ratio of 1.07, a maximum pain point at $90,000, and a notional value of $1.9 billion. For Ethereum, 126,000 ETH options expired featuring a Put-Call Ratio of 0.88, a maximum pain point at $3,100, and a notional value of $390 million. This expiration event, totaling nearly $2.4 billion in options, represented just 7% of the overall open interest, indicating a relatively minor impact compared to larger expirations. Traders should note that this comes after a post-annual settlement rebound that experienced a pullback this week, with the downward trends in BTC and ETH prices showing signs of easing. The sharp declines observed in Q4 of last year had built significant negative sentiment, but current indicators suggest a shift, with strong support levels emerging at BTC's $90,000 psychological threshold and ETH's $3,000 mark. This improvement in market sentiment could signal buying opportunities for those monitoring support and resistance levels closely.

Analyzing BTC and ETH Options Metrics for Trading Strategies

Diving deeper into the options data, Bitcoin's implied volatility (IV) has remained stable compared to pre-Christmas levels, averaging around 40% for main-term contracts. In contrast, Ethereum's IV has seen a decline, standing at 55% for its main-term options. These IV levels are essential for options traders, as they reflect the market's expectation of future price swings. A stable IV for BTC suggests that traders are not anticipating extreme volatility in the near term, potentially making strategies like covered calls or straddles more appealing for those looking to capitalize on range-bound movements around the $90,000 max pain point. For ETH, the lower IV could indicate reduced fear of downside risks, aligning with the observed support at $3,000. The Put-Call Ratios further paint a picture of market positioning: BTC's 1.07 ratio shows a slight bias toward puts, implying some hedging against further drops, while ETH's 0.88 ratio leans toward calls, suggesting optimism for upside potential. Traders might consider this when evaluating entry points, especially with on-chain metrics potentially corroborating these trends through increased transaction volumes or whale activity around these key levels.

Block Trading Volume and Positioning Trends

This week's options market has been notably active in block trades, with volumes and transaction shares remaining elevated, driven primarily by demand for new positions. According to the data, block trades accounted for over 70% of total volume on the expiration day, marking the highest level in recent months. This surge indicates that market makers and active traders are holding substantial cash reserves and demonstrating strong intent to position for future moves. Specifically, there's a focus on BTC month-end call options, which could be a bet on a rally beyond current resistance levels, and ETH month-end put options, possibly as protection against any renewed pullbacks. For cryptocurrency traders, this positioning suggests monitoring trading volumes across major pairs like BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT, where spikes could validate breakout scenarios. Institutional flows appear to be influencing these trends, potentially correlating with broader market sentiment improvements. Without real-time price data, it's worth noting historical correlations where such expiration events have led to short-term consolidations, offering scalping opportunities around the max pain points of $90,000 for BTC and $3,100 for ETH.

From a broader trading perspective, these expiration details underscore the importance of integrating options data into overall crypto strategies. With Bitcoin and Ethereum showing signs of stabilization after last year's declines, traders should watch for correlations with stock market movements, such as how tech-heavy indices might influence AI-related tokens or general crypto sentiment. For instance, if equity markets rally, it could bolster institutional interest in BTC as a hedge, potentially pushing prices toward higher resistance levels. Conversely, any downturn in stocks might amplify ETH's put positioning. Key trading opportunities lie in identifying support breaches or confirmations— for BTC, a hold above $90,000 could trigger long positions targeting $100,000, while ETH traders might eye calls if prices rebound from $3,000 toward $3,500. Always consider risk management, such as stop-loss orders below these psychological levels, and track on-chain metrics like active addresses or transfer volumes for confirmation. This analysis, based on the January 9, 2026, expiration data, emphasizes a cautious yet opportunistic approach, blending options insights with fundamental market support to navigate the evolving crypto landscape effectively.

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