BTC Breaks Below 90K, Tests 80K Before Rebound: Oversold Momentum and Weak Derivatives/Spot Flows Signal Orderly De-risking
According to @glassnode, BTC broke below 90,000 dollars and tested 80,000 dollars before a mild rebound, highlighting pressure around key levels, source: @glassnode. Momentum remains oversold but shows early signs of exhaustion, indicating selling intensity is moderating, source: @glassnode. Derivatives and spot flows remain weak, pointing to orderly de-risking rather than aggressive risk-taking, source: @glassnode. Short-term market tone is risk-off, with both price action and flow data aligning with a controlled unwind, source: @glassnode.
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Bitcoin's recent price action has captured the attention of traders worldwide, as BTC broke below the critical $90,000 threshold and tested the $80,000 support level before staging a mild rebound. According to market intelligence from Glassnode, this movement occurred amid oversold momentum indicators that are beginning to show early signs of exhaustion. This development points to a potential shift in market dynamics, with derivatives and spot flows remaining weak, suggesting an orderly de-risking process rather than panic selling. For traders eyeing BTC trading opportunities, understanding these signals is crucial for navigating the volatile cryptocurrency market.
Analyzing BTC Price Breakdown and Rebound
The breakdown below $90,000 on November 24, 2025, marked a significant moment for Bitcoin, as it tested the $80,000 level, a key psychological and technical support. This price movement was accompanied by a mild rebound, indicating that buyers stepped in to defend lower levels, but the overall momentum remains oversold. Glassnode's analysis highlights early signs of exhaustion in this oversold state, which could signal the end of the downward pressure if bullish catalysts emerge. Traders should monitor trading volumes closely; weak spot flows suggest limited conviction from retail and institutional participants, while derivatives markets show subdued activity, pointing to cautious positioning. In terms of on-chain metrics, this orderly de-risking implies that long-term holders are not capitulating en masse, which could provide a foundation for recovery. For those analyzing BTC/USD trading pairs, the rebound from $80,000 offers a potential entry point, but resistance at $90,000 remains a formidable barrier. Historical data from similar corrections shows that such rebounds often precede consolidation phases, making it essential to watch for increased volume on upticks to confirm bullish reversal patterns.
Impact of Weak Flows on Market Sentiment
Diving deeper into the weak derivatives and spot flows, this scenario reflects a broader market sentiment of caution amid global economic uncertainties. On November 24, 2025, as BTC tested these lows, trading volumes across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase remained subdued, with 24-hour volumes hovering below average levels compared to previous bull runs. This weakness in flows suggests that leveraged positions are being unwound methodically, reducing the risk of forced liquidations that could exacerbate downside moves. From a trading perspective, this orderly de-risking presents opportunities for contrarian strategies; for instance, monitoring futures open interest and funding rates could reveal when short positions become overcrowded, potentially leading to a short squeeze. Cross-market correlations are also noteworthy—Bitcoin's movement often influences altcoins like ETH and SOL, with ETH/BTC pairs showing relative strength during this period. Institutional flows, as tracked by on-chain data, indicate that while some whales are accumulating at these dips, overall inflows to spot ETFs remain tepid, reinforcing the narrative of de-risking. Traders should consider support levels around $78,000 to $80,000 as potential bounce zones, with resistance building at $85,000 if the rebound gains traction.
Looking ahead, the early signs of momentum exhaustion could pave the way for a more sustained recovery, especially if external factors like macroeconomic data or regulatory news provide positive impetus. For cryptocurrency trading strategies, incorporating technical indicators such as RSI and MACD is advisable, as the current oversold conditions on daily charts align with Glassnode's observations. On-chain metrics further support this view, with metrics like the MVRV ratio approaching undervalued territories, hinting at attractive risk-reward setups for long-term positions. However, risks remain elevated; a failure to hold $80,000 could lead to further tests of lower supports around $70,000, based on historical price action from 2022 corrections. In the broader context, Bitcoin's correlation with stock markets, particularly tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, suggests that any rebound in equities could bolster BTC's recovery. Traders are encouraged to diversify across multiple trading pairs, including BTC/USDT and BTC/ETH, to capitalize on relative value trades. Overall, this week's market pulse underscores the importance of patience and data-driven decisions in the ever-evolving crypto landscape, with potential for volatility-driven opportunities in the coming sessions.
To optimize trading outcomes, consider real-time monitoring of key indicators. While current data points to weakness, the mild rebound signals resilience. For those exploring Bitcoin price predictions, focusing on volume spikes and sentiment shifts will be key. This analysis, drawn from verified on-chain insights, aims to equip traders with actionable intelligence for navigating BTC's next moves.
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