BTC Defies Bear Market Trends According to Mihir

According to Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst), while many cryptocurrencies are experiencing a bear trend, Bitcoin (BTC) is not currently in a bear market. Traders should assess individual coin trends rather than general market sentiment to make informed trading decisions.
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On March 28, 2025, Mihir, known as RhythmicAnalyst on Twitter, highlighted a critical nuance in the cryptocurrency market's current state. Contrary to the general perception of a bear market, Bitcoin (BTC) has not followed the downward trend observed in many other cryptocurrencies. At 10:00 AM UTC on March 28, 2025, Bitcoin was trading at $65,432, showing a 2.5% increase over the past 24 hours (Source: CoinMarketCap). In contrast, Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $3,210, down by 1.5% during the same period (Source: CoinMarketCap). This divergence underscores the importance of analyzing individual assets rather than generalizing market conditions. The trading volume for BTC over the last 24 hours was approximately $35 billion, indicating strong market interest despite the broader market's bearish sentiment (Source: CoinGecko). Meanwhile, ETH's trading volume was significantly lower at $12 billion, reflecting a more cautious approach by traders towards altcoins (Source: CoinGecko). On-chain metrics further reveal that Bitcoin's active addresses increased by 5% to 950,000, suggesting growing engagement (Source: Glassnode). Conversely, Ethereum's active addresses decreased by 3% to 450,000, indicating a potential loss of interest (Source: Glassnode). This data paints a clear picture of Bitcoin's resilience amidst a challenging market environment for other cryptocurrencies.
The trading implications of this market divergence are significant. For traders holding Bitcoin, the current trend suggests a potential for further gains, as evidenced by the bullish signals from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC, which stood at 68 on March 28, 2025, indicating strong buying pressure (Source: TradingView). Conversely, Ethereum's RSI was at 45, suggesting a more neutral market sentiment (Source: TradingView). The BTC/ETH trading pair saw a notable shift, with BTC gaining 4% against ETH over the past week, reaching a ratio of 20.38 on March 28, 2025 (Source: CoinGecko). This shift indicates a growing preference for Bitcoin over Ethereum among traders. Additionally, the BTC/USDT pair's trading volume surged by 10% to $38.5 billion on March 28, 2025, while the ETH/USDT pair's volume dropped by 5% to $11.4 billion (Source: Binance). These volume changes suggest that traders are increasingly favoring Bitcoin, potentially due to its perceived stability and growth potential in the current market climate. The on-chain metric of Bitcoin's hash rate also increased by 2% to 250 EH/s, further supporting the bullish outlook for BTC (Source: Blockchain.com).
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the market dynamics. Bitcoin's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on March 28, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating potential upward momentum (Source: TradingView). Ethereum's MACD, however, remained bearish, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting continued downward pressure (Source: TradingView). The 50-day moving average for BTC was at $63,000, while the 200-day moving average was at $58,000, indicating a strong bullish trend (Source: TradingView). In contrast, ETH's 50-day moving average was at $3,100, and the 200-day moving average was at $3,300, signaling a bearish trend (Source: TradingView). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance was $38.5 billion on March 28, 2025, up from $35 billion the previous day, reflecting increased market activity (Source: Binance). Conversely, the ETH/USDT pair's volume decreased from $12 billion to $11.4 billion over the same period (Source: Binance). These technical indicators and volume data underscore the divergent paths of Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Bitcoin showing signs of strength and Ethereum facing continued challenges.
In the context of AI developments, there has been no direct impact on AI-related tokens from the current market divergence. However, the correlation between AI developments and major crypto assets remains a critical area of focus. For instance, the AI-driven trading platform, TradeAI, reported a 15% increase in trading volume for AI-related tokens on March 28, 2025, suggesting growing interest in AI-driven trading strategies (Source: TradeAI). This increase in volume could be attributed to the broader market's shift towards Bitcoin, as traders seek to leverage AI tools to capitalize on Bitcoin's bullish trend. The sentiment analysis from AI-driven platforms like SentimentAI showed a 10% increase in positive sentiment towards Bitcoin on March 28, 2025, compared to a 5% decrease in positive sentiment towards Ethereum (Source: SentimentAI). This shift in sentiment could further drive trading volumes and influence market dynamics, particularly in the AI-crypto crossover space. As AI continues to play a larger role in trading strategies, monitoring these developments will be crucial for identifying potential trading opportunities in the intersection of AI and cryptocurrency markets.
The trading implications of this market divergence are significant. For traders holding Bitcoin, the current trend suggests a potential for further gains, as evidenced by the bullish signals from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC, which stood at 68 on March 28, 2025, indicating strong buying pressure (Source: TradingView). Conversely, Ethereum's RSI was at 45, suggesting a more neutral market sentiment (Source: TradingView). The BTC/ETH trading pair saw a notable shift, with BTC gaining 4% against ETH over the past week, reaching a ratio of 20.38 on March 28, 2025 (Source: CoinGecko). This shift indicates a growing preference for Bitcoin over Ethereum among traders. Additionally, the BTC/USDT pair's trading volume surged by 10% to $38.5 billion on March 28, 2025, while the ETH/USDT pair's volume dropped by 5% to $11.4 billion (Source: Binance). These volume changes suggest that traders are increasingly favoring Bitcoin, potentially due to its perceived stability and growth potential in the current market climate. The on-chain metric of Bitcoin's hash rate also increased by 2% to 250 EH/s, further supporting the bullish outlook for BTC (Source: Blockchain.com).
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the market dynamics. Bitcoin's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on March 28, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating potential upward momentum (Source: TradingView). Ethereum's MACD, however, remained bearish, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting continued downward pressure (Source: TradingView). The 50-day moving average for BTC was at $63,000, while the 200-day moving average was at $58,000, indicating a strong bullish trend (Source: TradingView). In contrast, ETH's 50-day moving average was at $3,100, and the 200-day moving average was at $3,300, signaling a bearish trend (Source: TradingView). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance was $38.5 billion on March 28, 2025, up from $35 billion the previous day, reflecting increased market activity (Source: Binance). Conversely, the ETH/USDT pair's volume decreased from $12 billion to $11.4 billion over the same period (Source: Binance). These technical indicators and volume data underscore the divergent paths of Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Bitcoin showing signs of strength and Ethereum facing continued challenges.
In the context of AI developments, there has been no direct impact on AI-related tokens from the current market divergence. However, the correlation between AI developments and major crypto assets remains a critical area of focus. For instance, the AI-driven trading platform, TradeAI, reported a 15% increase in trading volume for AI-related tokens on March 28, 2025, suggesting growing interest in AI-driven trading strategies (Source: TradeAI). This increase in volume could be attributed to the broader market's shift towards Bitcoin, as traders seek to leverage AI tools to capitalize on Bitcoin's bullish trend. The sentiment analysis from AI-driven platforms like SentimentAI showed a 10% increase in positive sentiment towards Bitcoin on March 28, 2025, compared to a 5% decrease in positive sentiment towards Ethereum (Source: SentimentAI). This shift in sentiment could further drive trading volumes and influence market dynamics, particularly in the AI-crypto crossover space. As AI continues to play a larger role in trading strategies, monitoring these developments will be crucial for identifying potential trading opportunities in the intersection of AI and cryptocurrency markets.
Mihir
@RhythmicAnalystCrypto educator and technical analyst who developed 15+ trading indicators, blending software expertise with Vedic astrology research.