BTC, ETH Options Expiry Data: 267k BTC, 1.28M ETH; Put-Call Ratio 0.35/0.45; Max Pain $95,000/$3,100; $23.6B BTC Notional | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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12/26/2025 12:53:00 PM

BTC, ETH Options Expiry Data: 267k BTC, 1.28M ETH; Put-Call Ratio 0.35/0.45; Max Pain $95,000/$3,100; $23.6B BTC Notional

BTC, ETH Options Expiry Data: 267k BTC, 1.28M ETH; Put-Call Ratio 0.35/0.45; Max Pain $95,000/$3,100; $23.6B BTC Notional

According to @GreeksLive, on Dec 26, 2025, 267,000 BTC options expired with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.35, a maximum pain level at $95,000, and $23.6 billion in notional value. According to @GreeksLive, 1.28 million ETH options expired with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.45 and a maximum pain level at $3,100, with the post not providing an ETH notional figure.

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market witnessed a significant event on December 26, 2025, with the expiration of a massive volume of Bitcoin and Ethereum options, according to data shared by Greeks.live on Twitter. This expiration involved 267,000 BTC options with a notably low Put-Call Ratio of 0.35, indicating a strong bullish sentiment among traders as more call options were in play compared to puts. The maximum pain point was set at $95,000 for BTC, with a staggering notional value of $23.6 billion. Similarly, 1.28 million ETH options expired, featuring a Put-Call Ratio of 0.45 and a maximum pain point at $3,100. These figures highlight the immense scale of derivatives trading in the crypto space and offer critical insights for traders looking to navigate post-expiration market dynamics.

Bullish Signals from Low Put-Call Ratios in BTC and ETH Options

Diving deeper into the trading implications, the low Put-Call Ratio for BTC at 0.35 suggests that market participants were heavily skewed towards expecting upward price movements, as call options outnumbered puts significantly. This ratio, often used as a sentiment indicator, points to optimism in the Bitcoin market, potentially driven by institutional interest and broader economic factors. With the maximum pain point at $95,000, traders should watch for price pinning effects around this level leading up to expiration, where market makers might adjust positions to minimize losses. Post-expiration, the removal of this options overhang could lead to reduced volatility and open doors for breakout trades. For instance, if BTC prices hover above key support levels like $90,000, traders might consider long positions targeting resistance at $100,000, backed by historical patterns where low put-call ratios precede rallies. The $23.6 billion notional value underscores the liquidity involved, making BTC a focal point for high-volume trading strategies such as straddles or covered calls in the derivatives market.

ETH Options Expiration and Market Correlations

On the Ethereum side, the expiration of 1.28 million options with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.45 also leans bullish, though slightly less aggressively than BTC. This metric implies a moderate preference for calls, reflecting confidence in ETH's potential amid developments in decentralized finance and layer-2 scaling solutions. The maximum pain point at $3,100 is particularly noteworthy, as it could act as a magnet for spot prices during the expiration window, influencing trading volumes across major exchanges. Traders analyzing on-chain metrics might observe increased transaction activity post-expiration, with ETH's trading pairs like ETH/USDT showing potential for upward momentum if volumes spike above average daily levels. Correlating this with broader market trends, such as stock market movements in tech-heavy indices, could reveal cross-asset opportunities; for example, a rally in AI-related stocks might boost sentiment for AI tokens, indirectly supporting ETH as the backbone of many such projects. Institutional flows into ETH derivatives, often tracked through metrics like open interest, suggest that post-expiration dips could be buying opportunities, with support at $2,900 and resistance near $3,500 based on recent trading data.

From a broader trading perspective, these expirations on December 26, 2025, could set the tone for year-end cryptocurrency market sentiment, especially with notional values in the billions signaling robust participation. Traders should monitor key indicators like trading volumes, which for BTC often exceed $50 billion daily during high-impact events, and on-chain metrics such as active addresses to gauge real demand. In terms of strategies, options traders might shift to rolling over positions into January contracts, focusing on implied volatility drops post-expiration that could favor theta decay plays. For spot traders, this event underscores the importance of risk management, with stop-losses placed below max pain points to mitigate any unexpected volatility spikes. Looking at correlations, BTC and ETH often move in tandem, with a correlation coefficient around 0.85 in recent months, meaning a bullish resolution for one could lift the other. Additionally, external factors like regulatory news or macroeconomic data releases could amplify these effects, creating trading opportunities in pairs like BTC/ETH for relative value trades. Overall, this expiration data from Greeks.live provides a roadmap for informed decision-making, emphasizing the need for data-driven approaches in the volatile crypto landscape. By integrating these insights with real-time price action—such as BTC's 24-hour changes and volume trends—traders can identify high-probability setups, whether through technical analysis of moving averages or fundamental assessments of market cap shifts. As the market evolves, staying attuned to such derivatives events remains crucial for capitalizing on Bitcoin and Ethereum trading opportunities, potentially leading to profitable outcomes in both bull and bear scenarios.

To optimize trading strategies further, consider the historical context where similar low put-call ratios have led to 5-10% price increases within a week post-expiration. For BTC, support levels around $92,000 could serve as entry points for longs, while ETH traders might eye $3,000 as a psychological barrier. Market sentiment, bolstered by institutional adoption metrics like ETF inflows, adds another layer, suggesting sustained upward pressure. In summary, this December 26 event reinforces the bullish undercurrents in crypto, offering traders actionable insights for navigating support and resistance levels effectively.

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