BTC, ETH Options Expiry Data: 41K BTC and 228K ETH Contracts; IV Jumps to 50%-100%, Max Pain at $105,000/$3,475 as Puts Reach 30% Share
According to @GreeksLive, 41,000 BTC options expired with a put-call ratio of 0.61, a maximum pain point at $105,000, and $3.95 billion in notional value, while 228,000 ETH options expired with a put-call ratio of 0.59, a maximum pain point at $3,475, and $730 million notional, source: @GreeksLive. Both BTC and ETH prices continue to fall, with BTC now below $100,000 without a clear rebound and ETH logging three straight monthly losses as sentiment shifts from neutral to negative, source: @GreeksLive. Implied volatility is rebounding broadly with BTC near-term IV approaching 50% and averaging around 45%, while ETH IV is above 70% for major expirations and near 100% in the short term, signaling rising volatility expectations, source: @GreeksLive. Bitcoin put-option volume and its share of total options trading have been steadily increasing, with puts now around a 30% share and risk aversion the dominant stance, source: @GreeksLive. The author characterizes this Q4 as the worst on record, citing macro uncertainty and divided sentiment, and advises against leveraged trading, source: @GreeksLive.
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In the latest cryptocurrency market developments, a significant options expiration event unfolded on November 14, 2025, impacting both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) trading landscapes. According to Greeks.live, a prominent options data provider, approximately 41,000 BTC options contracts expired with a put-call ratio of 0.61, highlighting a market tilt towards bullish sentiments but tempered by ongoing price declines. The maximum pain point was pegged at $105,000, with a notional value reaching $3.95 billion. Similarly, 228,000 ETH options expired, showing a put-call ratio of 0.59, a maximum pain point at $3,475, and a notional value of $730 million. This expiration comes amid persistent downward pressure on prices, with Bitcoin dipping below the critical $100,000 psychological barrier and Ethereum marking three consecutive monthly losses. Traders are closely monitoring these metrics as they signal shifting market dynamics, potentially offering insights into future volatility and trading strategies in the crypto space.
Bitcoin Price Drop and Options Market Indicators
Bitcoin's recent price action has been particularly noteworthy, as it breached the $100,000 threshold without immediate signs of rebound, according to the November 14, 2025, analysis from Greeks.live. This decline aligns with the expiration of options contracts where the put-call ratio of 0.61 suggests more call options were in play, indicating some underlying optimism among traders despite the bearish trend. The maximum pain point at $105,000 implies that many options holders faced losses unless prices hovered around this level at expiration. With a notional value of $3.95 billion, this event underscores the scale of institutional involvement in BTC derivatives. Key indicators reveal a rebound in implied volatility (IV), with Bitcoin's near-term IV approaching 50% and averaging around 45%. This uptick in IV points to heightened expectations of price swings, which could present trading opportunities for volatility-based strategies. For instance, traders might consider straddles or strangles to capitalize on potential sharp movements, especially as put-option volumes have increased, comprising about 30% of total options trading—a new norm reflecting growing risk aversion. In a broader context, this data suggests that BTC traders should watch support levels below $100,000, such as historical lows around $95,000 from earlier 2025 charts, while resistance might form near the expired max pain point if sentiment shifts.
Ethereum's Volatility Surge and Market Sentiment Shift
Ethereum, on the other hand, exhibited even more pronounced volatility signals during the same expiration period. The put-call ratio of 0.59 for the 228,000 expired contracts indicates a similar bullish bias in options positioning, yet ETH has suffered three straight monthly declines, exacerbating negative sentiment. The maximum pain point at $3,475, combined with a $730 million notional value, highlights the financial stakes involved. According to the same Greeks.live report dated November 14, 2025, Ethereum's implied volatility for major expirations has surged above 70%, with short-term IV nearing 100%. This dramatic rise in IV reflects intensifying market uncertainty, potentially driven by macroeconomic factors and broader crypto ecosystem challenges. Traders analyzing ETH pairs, such as ETH/USD or ETH/BTC, should note this as a cue for increased hedging activities. The growing dominance of put options in trading volumes suggests that participants are prioritizing downside protection, making it inadvisable to engage in high-leverage positions amid such divided sentiment. For those eyeing rebounds, monitoring on-chain metrics like transaction volumes and gas fees could provide additional context, especially if IV levels sustain above 70%, signaling potential for explosive moves in either direction.
Trading Strategies Amid Rising Risk Aversion
As market sentiment transitions from neutral to negative, the overall options data paints a picture of caution for Q4 2025, described as one of the worst on record by Greeks.live. With macroeconomic uncertainties looming, such as potential interest rate adjustments and geopolitical tensions, traders are advised against leveraged plays. Instead, focus on delta-neutral strategies that leverage the elevated IV without directional bias. For BTC, consider calendar spreads exploiting the difference between near-term 50% IV and longer-term averages. ETH traders might benefit from iron condors to define risk in a high-volatility environment nearing 100% IV. Cross-market correlations are also key; for example, BTC's drop below $100,000 could influence altcoin liquidity, including ETH, potentially leading to correlated dips or recoveries. Institutional flows, evident from the billion-dollar notional values, suggest watching for whale activities on exchanges like Binance or Coinbase for early rebound signals. Ultimately, this expiration event emphasizes the importance of risk management, with put options' 30% share indicating a market preparing for further downside. By integrating these insights, traders can navigate the turbulent crypto waters, positioning for opportunities when volatility peaks resolve into clearer trends.
In summary, the November 14, 2025, options expiration underscores a pivotal moment for BTC and ETH markets, with rising IV and shifting sentiments offering both risks and rewards. As prices continue to falter, staying attuned to these derivatives metrics will be crucial for informed trading decisions, potentially turning current pessimism into strategic advantages for savvy investors.
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