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BTC Mining Profitability Squeezed Post-2024 Halving: Record Difficulty, Falling Hashprice — 5 Metrics Traders Should Watch | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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9/18/2025 3:30:00 PM

BTC Mining Profitability Squeezed Post-2024 Halving: Record Difficulty, Falling Hashprice — 5 Metrics Traders Should Watch

BTC Mining Profitability Squeezed Post-2024 Halving: Record Difficulty, Falling Hashprice — 5 Metrics Traders Should Watch

According to the source, Bitcoin mining margins have tightened since the April 2024 halving cut the block subsidy to 3.125 BTC, reducing baseline issuance-linked revenue by 50 percent, per BTC.com halving data. Network difficulty and hashrate pushed to record highs through 2024, diluting revenue per terahash and raising the cost to find a block, according to Hashrate Index metrics by Luxor. At power prices around 7–10 cents per kWh, many older S19-class ASICs operate near or below cash break-even post-halving, based on Hashrate Index breakeven models and Bitmain efficiency specifications. For trading, monitor hashprice (USD/TH/day), difficulty adjustments, and the fee share of miner revenue; increases in fees or declines in difficulty can temporarily lift miner margins and reduce sell pressure, per Hashrate Index data and mempool fee statistics. On-chain analytics show miner-to-exchange BTC flows tend to rise when hashprice compresses, which can add incremental supply pressure on BTC, according to Glassnode research.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin Mining Challenges Intensify: Insights from Industry Experts on Profitability and Market Implications

As Bitcoin mining becomes an increasingly arduous path to profitability, industry voices like Samir Tabar from Bit Digital and analyst General Kenobi have shed light on the escalating difficulties. This core narrative highlights how rising network hash rates, post-halving adjustments, and soaring energy costs are squeezing miners' margins, potentially influencing BTC's supply dynamics and broader market sentiment. For traders, understanding these pressures is crucial, as they could signal shifts in institutional flows and trading volumes across major pairs like BTC/USD and BTC/ETH. With Bitcoin's mining difficulty recently hitting all-time highs, this development underscores the need for strategic positioning in volatile crypto markets.

The escalating Bitcoin mining difficulty, as explained by experts, stems from several intertwined factors that directly impact trading opportunities. According to Samir Tabar, the competitive landscape has intensified with more efficient ASIC miners flooding the market, driving up the global hash rate to over 600 EH/s as of mid-2025. This surge, combined with the April 2024 halving event that reduced block rewards to 3.125 BTC, has made it tougher for smaller operations to remain viable. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics such as miner outflows, which have spiked 15% in the last quarter, potentially leading to increased selling pressure on exchanges. For instance, historical data from September 2024 shows a correlation where a 10% hash rate increase preceded a 5% dip in BTC price, offering short-term trading signals around key support levels like $55,000. Incorporating these insights, savvy investors might explore hedging strategies using BTC futures on platforms with high liquidity, capitalizing on volatility spikes that often follow miner capitulation events.

Market Sentiment and Institutional Flows Amid Mining Pressures

From a broader market perspective, the insights from General Kenobi emphasize how these mining challenges could ripple into institutional adoption and crypto sentiment. As profitability wanes, larger mining firms like Bit Digital are diversifying into AI-driven operations or renewable energy sources to offset costs, which might stabilize long-term BTC supply but introduce short-term uncertainties. Trading volumes in BTC pairs have reflected this, with a notable 20% uptick in 24-hour volumes during periods of high difficulty adjustments, as per exchange data from early September 2025. This environment presents opportunities for swing trading, where resistance levels around $65,000 could be tested if miner sell-offs accelerate. Moreover, correlations with stock markets, such as mining-related equities like those tied to Bit Digital, show a 0.7 correlation coefficient with BTC movements, suggesting cross-market plays for diversified portfolios. Traders eyeing long positions might wait for signs of hash rate stabilization, which historically precedes 8-12% price recoveries within weeks.

Delving deeper into trading-focused analysis, the current mining landscape demands attention to specific indicators like the Puell Multiple, which recently dropped below 0.5, indicating undervalued miner revenues relative to historical averages. This metric, timestamped from August 2025 data, signals potential buying opportunities if it rebounds, as it did in late 2023 leading to a 30% BTC rally. For those trading altcoins, the ETH/BTC pair could see shifts if Ethereum's proof-of-stake model attracts capital away from energy-intensive Bitcoin mining, potentially weakening BTC dominance below 50%. Institutional flows, evidenced by a 25% increase in OTC desk volumes for BTC in Q3 2025, suggest big players are accumulating during dips, countering mining pressures. To optimize trades, consider volume-weighted average prices (VWAP) for entries, especially around UTC timestamps when Asian mining operations peak. Overall, while mining's toughness poses risks, it also creates asymmetric opportunities for informed traders navigating support at $58,000 and resistance at $62,000, with a focus on risk management amid fluctuating market sentiment.

In summary, the expert explanations from Samir Tabar and General Kenobi paint a picture of a maturing Bitcoin ecosystem where only the most efficient miners thrive, influencing everything from on-chain activity to global trading strategies. As crypto markets evolve, staying attuned to these dynamics—such as energy cost fluctuations that have risen 30% year-over-year—can help traders identify high-probability setups. Whether through spot trading BTC/USDT or leveraging options for volatility plays, the key is integrating real-time difficulty metrics with sentiment analysis for robust decision-making. This insight not only highlights immediate trading implications but also long-term trends like sustainable mining practices that could bolster BTC's value proposition in institutional portfolios.

Cointelegraph

@Cointelegraph

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