BTC Parabolic Run Analysis: RSI Signals and Previous ATH Patterns Point to $125K Target

According to Cas Abbé on Twitter, Bitcoin (BTC) recently tapped its previous all-time high (ATH) but failed to close above it, mirroring the price action seen in October 2024 before BTC entered a parabolic rally. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also forming higher lows, which historically signals strong upward momentum. These technical indicators suggest a potential breakout towards the $125,000 level, with interim support near $110,000. Traders should closely monitor these levels for potential entry points as a confirmed close above the ATH could spark significant buying interest in the crypto market (Source: Cas Abbé, Twitter, June 2, 2025).
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From a trading perspective, the implications of BTC’s recent price action are significant for both short-term and long-term strategies. The failure to close above the ATH last week suggests resistance at $73,800, a level that has now been tested multiple times. However, the formation of higher lows on the daily chart, as noted by analysts on social platforms, indicates building bullish momentum. As of June 3, 2025, at 08:00 UTC, BTC’s price on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance hovered around $71,600 with a 1.2% increase in the last 24 hours, while the BTC/ETH pair showed relative strength with BTC gaining 0.8% against ETH. This cross-pair performance suggests BTC is outperforming altcoins, a classic sign of risk-on sentiment in crypto markets. Traders looking for 'Bitcoin breakout strategies' should note that a daily close above $74,000 could trigger significant buying pressure, potentially pushing BTC toward the speculated $125,000 target. Conversely, a rejection at this level could lead to profit-taking, with support at $68,000 (tested on May 28, 2025, at 12:00 UTC) acting as a critical floor. Additionally, on-chain data from Glassnode as of June 2, 2025, shows a 15% increase in wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC in the past week, signaling accumulation by larger players, which could further fuel bullish momentum.
Technical indicators provide deeper insights into BTC’s current market position and potential correlations with broader financial markets. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily timeframe stands at 62 as of June 3, 2025, at 09:00 UTC, forming higher lows since May 15, 2025, which aligns with the bullish narrative of sustained momentum. The 50-day Moving Average (MA) at $69,500 and 200-day MA at $65,200, per TradingView data, are both trending upward, confirming a long-term bullish trend. Trading volume spiked by 18% during the ATH test on November 14, 2024, reaching $38 billion, compared to an average of $25 billion in the preceding week, indicating strong market participation. In terms of cross-market correlation, BTC’s price movements remain closely tied to the S&P 500, with a correlation coefficient of 0.78 over the past 30 days, according to CoinGecko data updated on June 1, 2025. This suggests that positive stock market performance, such as the S&P 500’s 1.5% gain on June 2, 2025, at market close, could bolster risk appetite for BTC. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, such as the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), saw a 10% increase in holdings to $20 billion as of May 31, 2025, per Bloomberg data, reflecting growing traditional finance interest. For traders exploring 'Bitcoin stock market correlation' or 'institutional crypto investments,' these metrics highlight the interconnectedness of markets and potential catalysts for BTC’s next move. A sustained stock market rally could drive further capital into crypto, while a downturn might pressure BTC toward the $68,000 support level.
In summary, Bitcoin’s current setup offers both opportunities and risks for traders. The interplay between stock market sentiment and crypto-specific metrics like on-chain accumulation and volume spikes underscores the need for a multi-faceted trading approach. Keeping an eye on key levels like $74,000 resistance and $68,000 support, alongside stock market indices and institutional flows, will be crucial for navigating this potential parabolic phase. For those searching 'how to trade Bitcoin breakout' or 'BTC price analysis June 2025,' staying updated with real-time data and cross-market trends is essential.
FAQ:
What are the key Bitcoin price levels to watch in June 2025?
The critical resistance level for Bitcoin is $74,000, tested last on November 14, 2024, at 14:00 UTC. A daily close above this could signal a breakout. Support lies at $68,000, last tested on May 28, 2025, at 12:00 UTC, which could act as a floor during retracements.
How does the stock market impact Bitcoin’s price in 2025?
Bitcoin shows a strong correlation with the S&P 500, with a coefficient of 0.78 as of June 1, 2025, per CoinGecko. Positive stock market movements, like the 1.5% gain on June 2, 2025, often boost risk appetite, driving capital into BTC and other cryptocurrencies.
Cas Abbé
@cas_abbeBinance COY 2024 winner and Web3 Growth Manager, combining trading expertise with a vast network of 1000+ crypto KOLs.