BTC Price Outlook: Liquidity Shift to $81k–$85k Supports 100-Week SMA, Eyes Yearly Open Resistance; Watch $75k Risk | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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12/5/2025 10:27:00 PM

BTC Price Outlook: Liquidity Shift to $81k–$85k Supports 100-Week SMA, Eyes Yearly Open Resistance; Watch $75k Risk

BTC Price Outlook: Liquidity Shift to $81k–$85k Supports 100-Week SMA, Eyes Yearly Open Resistance; Watch $75k Risk

According to @MI_Algos, BTC bid liquidity has shifted into the $81k–$85k range, which should help keep price above the 100-Week SMA and prevent a lower low into the weekend, source: @MI_Algos. @MI_Algos adds this may set the stage for a retest of resistance at the Yearly Open Timescape Level before the weekly close, source: @MI_Algos. However, @MI_Algos cautions those bids at $81k–$85k may not intend to get filled, raising risk of a rug pull if price approaches, with the next support near $75k, source: @MI_Algos. Traders should closely monitor order-book behavior around $81k–$85k into the weekly close to gauge whether a retest higher or a grind toward $75k is more likely, source: @MI_Algos.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin traders are closely monitoring recent shifts in market liquidity, particularly as more bid orders have accumulated in the $81,000 to $85,000 range. According to Material Indicators, this influx of bids could provide crucial support, helping to maintain Bitcoin's price above the 100-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA) and averting a potential lower low over the weekend. This development might even pave the way for a retest of key resistance at the Yearly Open Timescape Level before the weekly candle closes, offering opportunistic entry points for those eyeing short-term rallies.

Analyzing Bitcoin's Support Levels and Liquidity Dynamics

In the volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, understanding liquidity pools is essential for predicting price movements. The recent movement of bid liquidity into the $81k-$85k zone, as noted on December 5, 2025, suggests a deliberate effort by market participants to defend against downside pressure. The 100-Week SMA, a long-term indicator often used by institutional traders to gauge market health, currently acts as a psychological floor. By keeping prices above this level, Bitcoin could avoid confirming a bearish trend reversal, which would otherwise signal weakness to the broader market. Traders should watch trading volumes closely; if volumes spike near these bids without significant selling pressure, it could indicate accumulation by whales preparing for an upward push. However, the analysis warns against complacency, emphasizing that these bids might not be intended to get filled. Instead, they could serve as a trap, luring in buyers before a sudden rug pull drives prices lower. This scenario aligns with historical patterns where liquidity clusters precede sharp reversals, reminding us of past events like the 2022 market crash where similar setups led to cascading liquidations.

Potential Retest of Resistance and Trading Opportunities

Looking ahead, a retest of the Yearly Open Timescape Level represents a critical resistance barrier for Bitcoin. This level, derived from yearly opening prices and timescape analysis, often acts as a magnet for price action, especially toward the end of trading weeks. If Bitcoin approaches this resistance, traders might consider scalping opportunities on the 4-hour or daily charts, targeting breakouts with stop-losses placed just below the $81k support. On-chain metrics, such as increased transaction volumes on major exchanges, could validate this move, providing data-driven confirmation. For instance, monitoring Bitcoin's spot trading pairs like BTC/USDT on platforms with high liquidity could reveal early signs of momentum. Yet, the cautionary note about a potential grind down to $75k support is vital. This lower level corresponds to previous swing lows and Fibonacci retracement points from the all-time high, making it a high-probability target for bears if the rug pull materializes. Risk management is key here; position sizing should account for volatility, with leverage kept low to avoid liquidation risks amid possible weekend gaps.

From a broader market perspective, these liquidity shifts occur against a backdrop of evolving crypto sentiment. Institutional flows, including those from ETF products, continue to influence Bitcoin's trajectory, potentially amplifying any retest or breakdown. Traders analyzing cross-market correlations might note how Bitcoin's movements impact altcoins like ETH, where similar support levels around $3,000 could come into play if BTC falters. Sentiment indicators, such as the Fear and Greed Index, currently hover in neutral territory, suggesting room for both upside surprises and downside risks. For those trading futures, keeping an eye on open interest and funding rates will be crucial, as spikes could precede the warned rug pull. Ultimately, this setup underscores the importance of technical analysis in crypto trading, where tools like moving averages and liquidity heatmaps provide actionable insights. By integrating these elements, traders can navigate the uncertainties, positioning themselves for profitable trades while mitigating losses. As always, combining this with fundamental news, such as regulatory updates or macroeconomic data, enhances decision-making. In summary, while the bid liquidity offers temporary stability, vigilance is essential to capitalize on retests or prepare for drops to $75k, ensuring a balanced approach to Bitcoin trading strategies.

Delving deeper into trading implications, consider the role of multiple trading pairs. For example, BTC/USD and BTC/EUR pairs often show varying liquidity depths, which could affect how these bids hold up under pressure. Historical data from December 2024, when Bitcoin tested similar levels, showed that bids around round numbers like $80k absorbed selling but eventually gave way during low-volume periods. This weekend's price action will be telling; if the 100-Week SMA holds firm, it could set the stage for a bullish continuation into the new year, potentially targeting $90k resistance. Conversely, a failure here might lead to a deeper correction, with on-chain metrics like active addresses declining as retail participation wanes. Traders should employ indicators such as RSI and MACD to spot divergences that signal exhaustion in either direction. For instance, an oversold RSI reading near $81k could prompt dip-buying, while overbought conditions at resistance might encourage shorts. Institutional involvement, evidenced by large block trades, further supports the narrative of strategic bid placements. In terms of SEO-optimized trading advice, focus on long-tail queries like 'Bitcoin support levels December 2025' or 'trading Bitcoin rug pull risks,' ensuring your strategy includes diversified portfolios to hedge against volatility. Remember, successful trading hinges on discipline, with entries backed by confluence from multiple timeframes and confirmed by volume profiles.

Material Indicators

@MI_Algos

A comprehensive crypto analytics platform offering trading signals and market data