BTC Range Retest After Liquidity Sweep: ETH -10% Risk and 1–2 Week Altcoin Momentum, Key BTC Level at $121K

According to @CryptoMichNL, a classic liquidity sweep followed weak macro data and sent BTC back into its prior range (source: @CryptoMichNL). He adds that on higher timeframes he expects BTC to drift slightly lower and then consolidate before any upside attempts (source: @CryptoMichNL). He also expects ETH to drop another 10% near term, with altcoins potentially showing 1–2 weeks of momentum afterward (source: @CryptoMichNL). He identifies $121K as the crucial BTC level that must break to confirm strength (source: @CryptoMichNL).
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In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, recent insights from trader Michaël van de Poppe highlight a classic market dynamic playing out for Bitcoin and other digital assets. Following disappointing macroeconomic data, Bitcoin experienced a liquidity sweep that pushed it back into its established trading range. This movement underscores the importance of monitoring key levels and broader economic indicators when planning trades in the crypto space. As van de Poppe notes, on higher timeframes, we could see BTC dipping slightly lower before entering a consolidation phase, setting the stage for potential shifts in Ethereum and altcoin momentum.
Bitcoin's Liquidity Sweep and Range Trading Opportunities
The liquidity sweep in Bitcoin, triggered by weak macro data, serves as a reminder of how external economic factors can influence crypto prices. Traders often look for these sweeps as they clear out stop-loss orders and create opportunities for reversal or continuation patterns. According to van de Poppe's analysis dated August 14, 2025, BTC has returned to its range, which typically implies a period of sideways movement before a decisive breakout. For active traders, this means watching support levels closely; a drop below current lows could signal further downside, while holding the range might attract buyers looking for accumulation zones. Incorporating technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or moving averages can help identify overbought or oversold conditions within this range. Historically, such sweeps have led to increased trading volume, providing liquidity for larger players to enter positions. If BTC consolidates as predicted, short-term scalpers might find profitable trades by fading extremes within the range, aiming for quick profits on bounces from support to resistance.
Ethereum's Potential 10% Drop and Altcoin Momentum
Shifting focus to Ethereum, van de Poppe anticipates another 10% decline, which could bring ETH to critical support levels around its recent lows. This projection aligns with broader market sentiment where ETH often follows BTC's lead but with amplified volatility due to its smart contract ecosystem and upcoming upgrades. Traders should monitor ETH/BTC pairs for relative strength; a 10% drop in ETH could equate to underperformance against Bitcoin, presenting opportunities for pair trading strategies. For instance, if ETH approaches the $2,500 level—assuming current prices— it might test the 200-day moving average, a key indicator for long-term trends. Once this drop materializes and consolidation begins, altcoins are expected to gain 1-2 weeks of momentum. This window could be ideal for rotating capital into high-beta altcoins like Solana (SOL) or Chainlink (LINK), which often rally when ETH stabilizes. On-chain metrics, such as increased transaction volumes or wallet activity, would validate this shift, offering data-driven entry points for traders.
Crucial Breakout Level at $121K and Strategic Trading Insights
The crucial level to break, as emphasized by van de Poppe, stands at $121,000 for Bitcoin. Breaking above this could invalidate the bearish short-term outlook and propel BTC toward new highs, potentially igniting a broader market rally. Conversely, failure to breach this level might reinforce the consolidation narrative, leading to prolonged range-bound trading. From a risk management perspective, traders should set stop-losses just below recent swing lows and target profits near this $121K resistance. Incorporating macroeconomic calendars is essential here; upcoming data releases could either support a breakout or trigger another liquidity event. For diversified portfolios, this scenario suggests hedging with stablecoins during consolidation while preparing to allocate to altcoins post-ETH dip. Overall, this analysis points to a tactical approach: scale into positions during dips, monitor volume spikes for confirmation, and stay agile amid macro uncertainties. By focusing on these elements, traders can navigate the current landscape with informed strategies, potentially capitalizing on the anticipated altcoin surge after BTC and ETH stabilize.
In summary, the interplay between Bitcoin's range trading, Ethereum's projected decline, and altcoin opportunities creates a multifaceted environment for cryptocurrency investors. Emphasizing precise entry and exit points based on levels like $121K, combined with real-time volume analysis, can enhance trading outcomes. As the market evolves, staying attuned to macro data remains key to avoiding pitfalls and seizing momentum-driven trades.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast