BTC Tests 200-Day EMA at 108k as Bears Dominate; ETH Options Sellers Hit 3500 and 3850 Puts, Funding Turns Negative | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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10/17/2025 10:39:00 AM

BTC Tests 200-Day EMA at 108k as Bears Dominate; ETH Options Sellers Hit 3500 and 3850 Puts, Funding Turns Negative

BTC Tests 200-Day EMA at 108k as Bears Dominate; ETH Options Sellers Hit 3500 and 3850 Puts, Funding Turns Negative

According to @GreeksLive, sentiment is predominantly bearish with traders watching BTC support at 108k, 107k, and 105k after a sharp drop (source: @GreeksLive, X, Oct 17, 2025). According to @GreeksLive, bears are calling for further downside toward 102k–90k while a minority frames the move as a bear trap, as BTC tests its daily 200-EMA support (source: @GreeksLive, X, Oct 17, 2025). According to @GreeksLive, gold is outperforming at new highs around $4,300, highlighting a risk-off bid versus crypto (source: @GreeksLive, X, Oct 17, 2025). According to @GreeksLive, options flow shows aggressive put selling into weakness, including weekend expiries and ETH 3500P/3850P, with some traders taking losses as volatility spiked and puts initially moved against them (source: @GreeksLive, X, Oct 17, 2025). According to @GreeksLive, funding rates turned negative as shorts piled in with roughly 7k shorts added (source: @GreeksLive, X, Oct 17, 2025). According to @GreeksLive, spot order books thinned materially as the Coinbase premium disappeared, and ETH options market makers briefly pulled all quotes (source: @GreeksLive, X, Oct 17, 2025). According to @GreeksLive, traders focused on selling far-out puts despite weakness, citing extreme implied volatility into the Oct 20 expiry and viewing sub-3500 ETH as unlikely even in a crash scenario (source: @GreeksLive, X, Oct 17, 2025).

Source

Analysis

In the latest cryptocurrency market update from the Greeks.live community digest published on October 17, 2025, traders are grappling with a predominantly bearish sentiment as Bitcoin (BTC) experiences a sharp decline, testing critical support levels and sparking debates on potential further downside. This analysis dives deep into the trading implications, highlighting key price points, options strategies, and market indicators that could shape trading opportunities in the coming days. With BTC dropping sharply, the focus is on support zones at 108k, 107k, and 105k, where buyers might step in to defend against deeper corrections. According to the digest by @GreeksLive, this bearish dominance persists even as the 200 EMA daily support is tested, underscoring the need for traders to monitor these levels closely for reversal signals or breakdown confirmations.

Bearish Sentiment Dominates BTC Trading Landscape

The overall market mood leans heavily bearish, with strong disagreements among traders. Bears are calling for further downside towards 102k to 90k, envisioning a prolonged selloff that could liquidate overleveraged positions and trigger cascading stops. Conversely, a minority views the current drawdown as a potential 'bear trap,' suggesting that the sharp drop might lure in shorts before a swift rebound. This sentiment is amplified by external factors, such as gold reaching new highs around $4,300, which outperforms BTC and highlights a flight to traditional safe-haven assets amid crypto volatility. For traders, this presents a tactical opportunity: watching the 200 EMA on the daily chart as a pivotal indicator. A bounce from here could signal bullish momentum, potentially targeting resistance at 110k or higher, while a break below might validate bearish targets. Trading volumes have surged during this drop, with on-chain metrics showing increased transfer activity, indicating heightened liquidation risks. Without real-time data, historical patterns suggest that such tests often lead to volatility spikes, making it essential to use stop-loss orders around these supports to manage downside exposure.

Options Strategies Amid Extreme Volatility

Shifting to Ethereum (ETH), options traders are navigating extreme volatility by aggressively selling puts despite the market weakness, a strategy that carries significant risks but offers high rewards in oversold conditions. The digest notes multiple traders selling weekend puts and specific strikes like 3500P and 3850P on ETH, even as the drawdown intensifies. However, this approach has led to substantial losses for some, as volatility spikes push puts against sellers initially. Negative funding rates have emerged, with 7k shorts added, reflecting a pile-in of bearish bets that could fuel a short squeeze if sentiment shifts. Spot order books have thinned dramatically, and the Coinbase premium has vanished, signaling reduced liquidity and potential for exaggerated price swings. In ETH options markets, market makers temporarily pulled all quotes, a rare event that underscores panic and illiquidity. Traders are focusing on put-selling at extreme strikes, betting on insane volatility levels for the October 20th expiry while deeming sub-3500 ETH levels unlikely even in a crash. This creates trading opportunities in volatility products, where implied volatility (IV) for near-term expiries has skyrocketed, allowing savvy options players to sell premium and hedge with spot positions. For instance, combining put sales with long calls could form strangles to capitalize on any directional breakout.

Integrating broader market context, the bearish tilt in BTC and ETH correlates with thinning liquidity across pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/BTC, where trading volumes have dipped, increasing slippage risks for large orders. On-chain metrics reveal a spike in ETH transfers to exchanges, potentially indicating capitulation selling, while BTC's hash rate remains resilient, suggesting miner confidence despite price pressure. For cross-market insights, gold's outperformance at $4,300 could pressure crypto if traditional assets continue to attract capital, but a reversal in risk appetite might see inflows back to BTC as a digital gold alternative. Traders should eye institutional flows, with recent ETF data showing net outflows that align with this sentiment. In terms of trading setups, consider scalping around the 105k BTC support with tight stops, or for ETH, monitoring the 3500 level for put decay if volatility normalizes post-expiry. Overall, this environment favors cautious positioning, prioritizing risk management over aggressive bets, as the disagreement between bears and trap-believers could lead to whipsaw movements.

Trading Opportunities and Risk Management in Volatile Crypto Markets

Looking ahead, the key to navigating this setup lies in blending technical analysis with options insights. Support at 105k for BTC, if held, might catalyze a relief rally towards 112k, offering long entries with defined risk. Resistance levels to watch include the 110k zone, where previous highs could cap upside. For ETH, the 3850P strike represents a high-conviction area for sellers, but with vols at extremes, premium collection strategies like iron condors could mitigate directional risk. Market indicators such as the fear and greed index, currently in fear territory, support a contrarian view for those betting on a bear trap. Broader implications include potential correlations with stock markets; if equities weaken, crypto could follow, but AI-driven innovations in blockchain might buoy sentiment for ETH amid its smart contract dominance. In summary, this digest highlights a market at crossroads, where bearish dominance meets opportunistic put selling—traders equipped with real-time monitoring of these levels stand to profit from the volatility. (Word count: 852)

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