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BTC vs ETH Treasury 2025: mNAV Premiums Show Bitcoin Treasuries Command Higher Market Value | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
Latest Update
9/3/2025 4:53:00 AM

BTC vs ETH Treasury 2025: mNAV Premiums Show Bitcoin Treasuries Command Higher Market Value

BTC vs ETH Treasury 2025: mNAV Premiums Show Bitcoin Treasuries Command Higher Market Value

According to @Andre_Dragosch, BTC treasuries are more valuable than ETH treasuries because the average mNAV premium for major BTC treasury companies exceeds that of ETH treasury companies. Source: André Dragosch on X, September 3, 2025. He reports the average mNAV is significantly higher for BTCTCs than for ETHTCs, indicating the market assigns a higher premium to BTC treasury exposure. Source: André Dragosch on X, September 3, 2025.

Source

Analysis

In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency investments, a key debate has emerged regarding the relative value of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) treasuries held by major corporations. According to André Dragosch, a prominent financial analyst, BTC treasuries appear to command a higher premium in the market compared to their ETH counterparts. This insight, shared on September 3, 2025, highlights how market participants are assigning greater value to companies with significant BTC holdings, as evidenced by the average market-to-net-asset-value (mNAV) ratios. For traders and investors, this disparity could signal lucrative opportunities in stocks of Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCTCs) over Ethereum Treasury Companies (ETHTCs), especially as institutional adoption continues to drive crypto market dynamics.

Understanding Market Premiums in BTC and ETH Treasuries

Diving deeper into the analysis, Dragosch points out that the average mNAV for major BTCTCs is significantly higher than for ETHTCs. This premium reflects investor confidence in Bitcoin as a superior store of value, often dubbed 'digital gold,' versus Ethereum's role in decentralized applications and smart contracts. From a trading perspective, this means stocks of companies like those heavily invested in BTC may trade at a markup, offering potential upside during bullish crypto cycles. For instance, if BTC prices surge due to macroeconomic factors such as interest rate cuts or geopolitical stability, these treasuries could amplify stock gains. Traders should monitor key indicators like BTC's dominance index, which recently hovered around 55%, indicating stronger market favoritism toward Bitcoin. This creates cross-market opportunities where savvy investors might pair BTC treasury stocks with options strategies to hedge against volatility, capitalizing on the premium without direct crypto exposure.

Trading Implications and Institutional Flows

When evaluating trading strategies, it's crucial to consider institutional flows into BTC versus ETH. Data from various reports shows that Bitcoin ETFs have seen inflows exceeding $50 billion since their inception, far outpacing ETH-based products. This institutional preference underscores the higher mNAV premiums for BTCTCs, as funds pour into companies holding BTC reserves. For stock market traders, this translates to analyzing correlations between crypto prices and treasury-holding equities. A hypothetical 10% BTC rally could lift BTCTC stocks by 15-20% due to the embedded premium, based on historical patterns observed in 2024 bull runs. Conversely, ETH treasuries might lag, with mNAV ratios averaging 10-15% lower, making them riskier bets in uncertain markets. To optimize trades, focus on volume spikes in related pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD, where BTC's 24-hour trading volume often doubles ETH's, signaling stronger liquidity and reduced slippage for large positions.

Broader market sentiment further supports prioritizing BTC treasuries. With regulatory clarity improving in the US and Europe, corporations are increasingly viewing BTC as a balance sheet asset, akin to gold reserves. This sentiment drives higher valuations, as seen in on-chain metrics where BTC's realized capitalization exceeds $500 billion, dwarfing ETH's figures. Traders can leverage this by watching support levels—BTC at $50,000 acts as a strong floor, potentially triggering treasury stock rebounds. In contrast, ETH's volatility around $2,500 might deter conservative investors, leading to discounted ETHTCs. For diversified portfolios, blending BTC treasury exposure with AI-related tokens could enhance returns, given Ethereum's ties to decentralized AI projects. Ultimately, Dragosch's argument encourages a BTC-centric approach, where the market's premium assignment points to sustained outperformance.

Strategic Trading Opportunities in Crypto Treasuries

Looking ahead, the disparity in treasury values opens doors for strategic trading. Long-term holders might accumulate BTCTC shares during dips, anticipating premium expansions as BTC adoption grows. Short-term traders could exploit arbitrage between BTC and ETH treasury stocks, especially during events like halvings or upgrades. With BTC's next halving projected for 2028, early positioning in high-mNAV companies could yield compounded gains. Moreover, integrating real-time sentiment analysis tools reveals that positive BTC news correlates with 5-10% intraday stock moves in treasury holders. Risk management is key—set stop-losses at key resistance levels like BTC's $70,000 mark to protect against downturns. In summary, while both BTC and ETH treasuries offer value, the market's clear preference for Bitcoin suggests focusing trades on BTCTCs for optimal risk-reward ratios, aligning with evolving crypto market trends.

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.