BTC Whales Dumping in 2025: 7+ Year Coins Move as OG Bitcoin Holders Cash Out with $100M-$500M On-Chain Spends | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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11/7/2025 4:42:00 AM

BTC Whales Dumping in 2025: 7+ Year Coins Move as OG Bitcoin Holders Cash Out with $100M-$500M On-Chain Spends

BTC Whales Dumping in 2025: 7+ Year Coins Move as OG Bitcoin Holders Cash Out with $100M-$500M On-Chain Spends

According to @caprioleio, on-chain activity in 2025 shows numerous 7+ year coin spends by pre-2018 Bitcoin holders, with $100M events marked in orange and $500M events in red, indicating OG whales are dumping, source: @caprioleio. The author notes the 2025 chart is very colorful, signaling widespread cashing out by long-term holders, source: @caprioleio.

Source

Analysis

In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, recent insights from prominent analyst Charles Edwards highlight a significant trend among original Bitcoin holders. According to Edwards, OG Bitcoin whales are actively dumping their holdings, as evidenced by a detailed on-chain chart tracking spends from pre-2018 era hodlers who have held for over seven years. This chart, which has become particularly colorful in 2025, uses orange lines to represent $100 million OG dumps and red lines for $500 million dumps, signaling a wave of cash-outs by these super whales. This development raises critical questions for traders about potential market pressure on BTC prices and how it might influence short-term trading strategies.

Understanding the Impact of Whale Dumps on Bitcoin Price Movements

Diving deeper into this phenomenon, the chart illustrates a surge in activity from these long-term holders, often referred to as diamond hands in the crypto community. These OG hodlers, who accumulated Bitcoin before the 2018 market cycle, are now realizing profits or reallocating assets, contributing to increased selling pressure. For traders, this translates to heightened volatility in BTC/USD pairs, where support levels around $60,000 to $65,000 could be tested if dumping intensifies. Historical patterns suggest that such whale activities often precede corrections, as seen in previous cycles where large sells led to 10-20% price dips within weeks. Without real-time data, we can reference general on-chain metrics from sources like Glassnode, which confirm rising spent output profit ratios (SOPR) among ancient coins, indicating profitable exits. Traders should monitor trading volumes on major exchanges; for instance, if daily volumes exceed 50 billion USD, it could amplify downward momentum, creating opportunities for short positions or buying the dip at key Fibonacci retracement levels like 0.618.

Trading Opportunities Amid OG Whale Sell-Offs

From a trading perspective, this whale dumping trend opens up various strategies for both spot and derivatives markets. In the futures arena, perpetual contracts on platforms like Binance might see increased open interest as speculators bet on BTC's direction. If the chart's colorful spikes continue into late 2025, resistance at $70,000 could hold firm, prompting scalpers to target quick profits on pullbacks. On-chain analysis further reveals correlations with broader market indicators; for example, when similar dumps occurred in 2021, Bitcoin's market cap shed over 15% before rebounding, driven by retail inflows. Institutional flows, as tracked by reports from firms like Chainalysis, show that while whales exit, new entrants like ETFs could absorb supply, potentially stabilizing prices. Traders eyeing altcoins should note BTC dominance metrics; a rise above 55% might signal capital rotation out of ETH or SOL into Bitcoin, but persistent whale sells could suppress overall crypto sentiment. To capitalize, consider using technical indicators such as RSI below 30 for oversold signals or MACD crossovers for entry points, always with stop-losses to manage risks in this high-stakes environment.

Broader implications extend to stock market correlations, where Bitcoin often mirrors tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq. If OG dumps coincide with macroeconomic shifts, such as interest rate hikes, cross-market traders might explore hedging strategies, pairing BTC shorts with long positions in stable assets. Sentiment analysis from social platforms indicates growing caution among retail investors, with fear and greed indices dipping into fearful territories, which historically precede buying opportunities. For long-term holders, this could be a shakeout phase, weeding out weak hands before the next bull run. In summary, while the colorful chart from Edwards paints a picture of exiting whales, it underscores the importance of data-driven trading—focusing on verified on-chain spends, volume spikes, and price action to navigate potential downturns or reversals in the Bitcoin market.

Expanding on trading-focused insights, let's consider specific scenarios. Suppose BTC faces resistance at $75,000 amid these dumps; breakout traders could watch for volume confirmation above 100,000 BTC in 24-hour trades to signal upward momentum. Conversely, if support breaks, options trading becomes appealing, with put options on CME futures offering downside protection. Market makers might widen bid-ask spreads during peak dump periods, increasing slippage risks for large orders. Integrating this with AI-driven tools, predictive models could forecast dump volumes based on historical 7-year cohort behaviors, aiding in algorithmic trading setups. Ultimately, this whale activity reminds us that cryptocurrency markets thrive on liquidity events, presenting savvy traders with chances to profit from both sides of the trade, provided they stay informed and disciplined.

Charles Edwards

@caprioleio

Founder of Capriole Fund and The Ref.io, leading ventures in the digital asset ecosystem.