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Bull Score Index Falls to 20 After Only 2 Days vs 60+ Days in Past Bear Markets — CryptoQuant Signal Traders Should Watch | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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8/27/2025 9:45:00 PM

Bull Score Index Falls to 20 After Only 2 Days vs 60+ Days in Past Bear Markets — CryptoQuant Signal Traders Should Watch

Bull Score Index Falls to 20 After Only 2 Days vs 60+ Days in Past Bear Markets — CryptoQuant Signal Traders Should Watch

According to Milk Road, the Bull Score Index has dropped to 20 based on data attributed to CryptoQuant and analyst @jjcmoreno, source: Milk Road on X on Aug 27, 2025; CryptoQuant via @jjcmoreno. Milk Road stated that in past bear markets the index stayed around this low level for more than 60 days, source: Milk Road on X on Aug 27, 2025. They also noted the current sub-20 stretch has lasted only two days so far, making it too early to call but worth monitoring, source: Milk Road on X on Aug 27, 2025. For trading, the key watch is whether the sub-20 reading persists over multiple weeks, since prolonged lows previously coincided with bear market phases per the historical context cited, source: Milk Road on X on Aug 27, 2025.

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market is showing signs of potential turbulence as the Bull Score Index has recently dropped to 20, according to insights from market analyst Julio Moreno and data analytics platform CryptoQuant. This metric, which gauges overall market bullishness, has historically lingered at such low levels for over 60 days during previous bear markets. However, in this instance, the dip has only persisted for two days as of August 27, 2025, sparking discussions among traders about whether this signals a prolonged downturn or a fleeting correction. For crypto investors monitoring Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) price action, this development warrants close attention, as it could influence trading strategies in the coming weeks.

Understanding the Bull Score Index and Its Trading Implications

The Bull Score Index serves as a composite indicator that aggregates various on-chain metrics, investor sentiment, and market momentum to provide a snapshot of bullish conditions in the crypto space. When it falls to extremes like 20, it often correlates with heightened volatility and potential capitulation phases. In past cycles, such as the 2018 and 2022 bear markets, prolonged stays at these levels preceded significant price bottoms for major assets like BTC, which saw drawdowns exceeding 70% before recoveries. This time, the brevity of the drop—merely two days—suggests it might be too premature to declare a full bear market. Traders should watch for confirmation signals, such as sustained low trading volumes or breakdowns below key support levels. For instance, if BTC fails to hold above $55,000 in the near term, it could validate bearish theses and open doors for short-selling opportunities in derivatives markets.

Correlating with Current Market Sentiment and On-Chain Data

Diving deeper into on-chain metrics, recent data indicates a mixed sentiment landscape. Bitcoin's exchange reserves have been declining, hinting at reduced selling pressure from long-term holders, which could counterbalance the low Bull Score. However, trading volumes across major pairs like BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT have dipped by approximately 15% over the last 48 hours as of late August 2025, reflecting cautious participation. Ethereum, in particular, shows vulnerability with its price hovering around $2,400, down 5% week-over-week. Institutional flows, tracked through ETF inflows, remain positive but subdued, with about $200 million net inflows in the past week. This setup presents trading opportunities: contrarian buyers might accumulate at current levels, targeting resistance at $60,000 for BTC, while risk-averse traders could hedge with options strategies anticipating a volatility spike.

From a broader perspective, this Bull Score dip aligns with macroeconomic uncertainties, including potential interest rate adjustments and geopolitical tensions, which often spill over into crypto markets. Altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK) have mirrored the sentiment, with SOL dropping 8% in 24 hours to around $140. Savvy traders are eyeing cross-market correlations, such as Bitcoin's influence on stock indices like the Nasdaq, where AI-driven tech stocks could provide hedging avenues. If the index rebounds swiftly, it might signal a false alarm, encouraging dip-buying in high-conviction tokens. Conversely, an extension beyond 60 days at this level could trigger cascading liquidations, emphasizing the need for stop-loss orders and diversified portfolios.

Strategic Trading Approaches Amid Uncertainty

For those engaging in active trading, consider technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which for BTC currently sits at 35 on the daily chart, indicating oversold conditions ripe for a bounce. Pair this with moving averages: a crossover below the 200-day MA could confirm bearish momentum. On-chain analytics reveal that whale activity has increased, with large transfers exceeding 1,000 BTC in the past day, potentially positioning for accumulation. Looking ahead, if the Bull Score climbs back above 50 within the next week, it could catalyze a relief rally, targeting $65,000 for BTC and $2,800 for ETH. Traders should monitor key timestamps, such as end-of-month closes, for pivotal shifts. Ultimately, while it's early days, this metric underscores the importance of data-driven decisions in navigating crypto's volatile terrain, blending historical patterns with real-time vigilance for optimal outcomes.

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

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