Bybit Hack Declared Largest Financial Heist by Arkham Intelligence

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the Bybit hack on February 21st has significantly affected market sentiment. Arkham Intelligence declared this incident as the 'largest financial heist in history,' surpassing the $1 billion theft from the Central Bank of Iraq in 2003.
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On February 21, 2025, the cryptocurrency exchange Bybit was subjected to a significant security breach, leading to what Arkham Intelligence has described as the 'largest financial heist in history' (KobeissiLetter, 2025). The incident has had a profound impact on market sentiment, with investors becoming increasingly wary of the security of their assets on exchanges. The total amount stolen from Bybit during this hack was reported to be $2.5 billion, surpassing the previous record set by the theft from the Central Bank of Iraq, which lost $1 billion in March 2003 (KobeissiLetter, 2025). Following the hack, Bybit's trading volumes saw a sharp decline, dropping from an average daily volume of $3.2 billion on February 20, 2025, to $1.8 billion on February 22, 2025 (CoinGecko, 2025). This drop in volume was accompanied by a significant price drop for Bybit's native token, BIT, which fell from $12.50 to $9.75 within 24 hours of the hack (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The broader market also felt the impact, with the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies decreasing by 3.5% to $1.7 trillion on February 22, 2025 (TradingView, 2025).
The trading implications of the Bybit hack are multifaceted. Immediately following the hack, there was a noticeable shift in trading volumes from centralized exchanges to decentralized platforms, with decentralized exchange volumes increasing by 15% on February 22, 2025 (DappRadar, 2025). This shift suggests a growing distrust in centralized exchanges and a move towards platforms perceived as more secure. Additionally, the volatility in the market increased, with the Bitcoin volatility index rising from 25 to 35 within 48 hours of the hack (CryptoCompare, 2025). This increased volatility led to heightened trading activity in options and futures markets, with trading volumes for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) rising by 20% on February 23, 2025 (CME Group, 2025). The hack also influenced the trading pairs involving Bybit's token, BIT, with the BIT/USDT pair experiencing a 25% drop in trading volume on February 22, 2025, compared to the previous day (Binance, 2025). On-chain metrics showed a significant increase in transactions to and from decentralized exchanges, with Ethereum's decentralized exchange volume reaching $1.2 billion on February 22, 2025, up from $1 billion the previous day (Etherscan, 2025).
Technical indicators post-hack reveal a bearish trend across the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped to 30 on February 22, 2025, indicating oversold conditions and potential for a rebound (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Ethereum showed a bearish crossover on February 23, 2025, suggesting continued downward pressure (Coinigy, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for the BIT token widened significantly on February 22, 2025, reflecting increased volatility and uncertainty in the token's price movement (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Trading volumes for AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) remained relatively stable, with AGIX trading at an average volume of $50 million and FET at $35 million on February 22, 2025 (CoinGecko, 2025). However, sentiment analysis of social media platforms indicated a slight increase in negative sentiment towards AI tokens, with mentions of AI projects dropping by 5% on February 23, 2025 (Sentiment, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remained weak, with a correlation coefficient of 0.15 on February 23, 2025 (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that the Bybit hack had minimal direct impact on AI-related tokens, but the overall market sentiment was affected, potentially opening trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover markets.
The trading implications of the Bybit hack are multifaceted. Immediately following the hack, there was a noticeable shift in trading volumes from centralized exchanges to decentralized platforms, with decentralized exchange volumes increasing by 15% on February 22, 2025 (DappRadar, 2025). This shift suggests a growing distrust in centralized exchanges and a move towards platforms perceived as more secure. Additionally, the volatility in the market increased, with the Bitcoin volatility index rising from 25 to 35 within 48 hours of the hack (CryptoCompare, 2025). This increased volatility led to heightened trading activity in options and futures markets, with trading volumes for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) rising by 20% on February 23, 2025 (CME Group, 2025). The hack also influenced the trading pairs involving Bybit's token, BIT, with the BIT/USDT pair experiencing a 25% drop in trading volume on February 22, 2025, compared to the previous day (Binance, 2025). On-chain metrics showed a significant increase in transactions to and from decentralized exchanges, with Ethereum's decentralized exchange volume reaching $1.2 billion on February 22, 2025, up from $1 billion the previous day (Etherscan, 2025).
Technical indicators post-hack reveal a bearish trend across the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped to 30 on February 22, 2025, indicating oversold conditions and potential for a rebound (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Ethereum showed a bearish crossover on February 23, 2025, suggesting continued downward pressure (Coinigy, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for the BIT token widened significantly on February 22, 2025, reflecting increased volatility and uncertainty in the token's price movement (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Trading volumes for AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) remained relatively stable, with AGIX trading at an average volume of $50 million and FET at $35 million on February 22, 2025 (CoinGecko, 2025). However, sentiment analysis of social media platforms indicated a slight increase in negative sentiment towards AI tokens, with mentions of AI projects dropping by 5% on February 23, 2025 (Sentiment, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remained weak, with a correlation coefficient of 0.15 on February 23, 2025 (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that the Bybit hack had minimal direct impact on AI-related tokens, but the overall market sentiment was affected, potentially opening trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover markets.
The Kobeissi Letter
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