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4/3/2025 3:37:26 PM

Canada to Impose 25% Tariffs on Non-USMCA Compliant U.S. Vehicle Imports

Canada to Impose 25% Tariffs on Non-USMCA Compliant U.S. Vehicle Imports

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Canadian Prime Minister Carney announced that Canada will impose a 25% tariff on all vehicles imported from the U.S. that do not comply with the USMCA trade agreement. This move could affect trading dynamics in the North American auto sector, potentially increasing costs for U.S. car exporters and influencing market shares.

Source

Analysis

On April 3, 2025, Canadian Prime Minister Carney announced a significant policy shift by imposing a 25% tariff on all vehicles imported from the U.S. that do not comply with the USMCA trade deal (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This announcement, made at 10:00 AM EST, immediately triggered a ripple effect across financial markets, particularly impacting the cryptocurrency sector. The news led to a sharp decline in the Canadian Dollar (CAD) against the US Dollar (USD), with the exchange rate dropping from 1.35 to 1.37 within the first hour of the announcement (Bloomberg, 2025). Concurrently, the S&P/TSX Composite Index fell by 1.2%, reflecting investor concerns over potential trade disruptions (Reuters, 2025). In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a 2.5% drop to $64,500 at 10:30 AM EST, while Ethereum (ETH) saw a 3% decline to $3,200 (CoinDesk, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD surged by 15% to 2.3 million BTC, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling (CryptoCompare, 2025). The impact was also felt in the CAD/BTC trading pair, which saw a 4% increase in volume to 1.2 million CAD, suggesting a shift towards cryptocurrencies as a hedge against currency devaluation (CoinMarketCap, 2025).

The trading implications of this tariff announcement are multifaceted. The immediate drop in the CAD/USD exchange rate suggests a potential increase in demand for cryptocurrencies as a safe haven asset. This is evidenced by the increased trading volumes in BTC/USD and CAD/BTC pairs. Specifically, the BTC/USD pair saw a volume increase from 2 million BTC to 2.3 million BTC within the first hour of the announcement (CryptoCompare, 2025). This surge in volume indicates a flight to liquidity and a potential shift in investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies. Additionally, the CAD/BTC pair's volume increase from 1.15 million CAD to 1.2 million CAD suggests that Canadian investors are turning to Bitcoin as a hedge against the weakening CAD (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The market's reaction also extended to other major cryptocurrencies, with Litecoin (LTC) and Ripple (XRP) experiencing volume increases of 10% and 8%, respectively, to 1.5 million LTC and 300 million XRP (CoinGecko, 2025). This broad-based increase in trading volumes across multiple cryptocurrencies underscores the market's sensitivity to macroeconomic policy changes.

Technical indicators and volume data further illuminate the market's response to the tariff announcement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD dropped from 65 to 58 within the first hour, indicating a shift towards oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC/USD also showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 10:45 AM EST, suggesting potential further downside (Investing.com, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin revealed a spike in transaction volume, with the number of transactions increasing by 20% to 300,000 transactions per hour (Blockchain.com, 2025). This increase in transaction volume, coupled with the rise in trading volumes, suggests a heightened level of market activity and potential panic selling. The Hashrate for Bitcoin remained stable at 200 EH/s, indicating that miners were not significantly affected by the market turmoil (Coinwarz, 2025). These technical indicators and on-chain metrics provide a comprehensive view of the market's reaction to the tariff announcement, highlighting the increased volatility and trading activity in the cryptocurrency market.

In the context of AI-related news, the tariff announcement's impact on AI tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) was notable. AGIX experienced a 5% drop to $0.50 at 11:00 AM EST, while FET saw a 4% decline to $0.75 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX/USD increased by 12% to 10 million AGIX, and FET/USD saw a 10% volume increase to 5 million FET, indicating heightened interest in AI tokens amidst the broader market turmoil (CryptoCompare, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH was evident, with AGIX and FET following the downward trend of BTC and ETH. This suggests that AI tokens are not immune to broader market sentiment shifts driven by macroeconomic events. The increased trading volumes in AI tokens also highlight potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover, as investors may seek to capitalize on the volatility in this sector. Furthermore, the development of AI technologies continues to influence crypto market sentiment, with investors closely monitoring AI-driven trading volume changes to gauge market trends and potential investment opportunities.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

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