According to @caprioleio, the Chinese stock market is forming a giant two-decade ascending triangle, and a breakout could drive a mind-blowing global capital rotation into China, source: Charles Edwards on X, Aug 28, 2025. According to @caprioleio, China’s accelerating AI and auto industries align as potential tailwinds for such a move, shaking up the global stage, source: Charles Edwards on X, Aug 28, 2025. According to @caprioleio, the post does not reference cryptocurrencies or provide index-level targets or timing details, source: Charles Edwards on X, Aug 28, 2025.

According to Charles Edwards (@caprioleio), quantum computing is Bitcoin’s biggest existential threat and, once a replacement is selected, the ecosystem would have roughly 12 months to migrate, placing urgency on protocol choices that traders should monitor; source: Charles Edwards on X, Aug 21, 2025. Bitcoin relies on ECDSA over secp256k1 for transaction signatures, which is vulnerable to sufficiently powerful quantum attacks such as Shor’s algorithm, making signature replacement the core mitigation; source: NIST Post-Quantum Cryptography program and Bitcoin.org Developer Guide. NIST has standardized post-quantum signature schemes including CRYSTALS-Dilithium and SPHINCS+, offering candidate pathways for migration that Bitcoin developers could evaluate; source: NIST Post-Quantum Cryptography standards 2022–2024. Traders should watch for any Bitcoin Improvement Proposal introducing post-quantum signatures and activation timelines, as protocol changes require broad consensus and staged rollout; source: Bitcoin Improvement Proposals repository. Coins reveal public keys when spent, so UTXOs with exposed public keys carry higher quantum-theft risk under a breakthrough, informing on-chain risk assessment; source: Bitcoin.org Developer Guide and Bitcoin Wiki.

According to @caprioleio, a rules-based strategy that only buys BTC when Bitcoin ETF net purchases exceed the network’s daily supply achieved a 127% cumulative return with lower risk in backtests, source: X post by @caprioleio on 2025-08-19 and Capriole live chart capriole.com/charts/?chart=…. The signal times entries by comparing ETF net flow to estimated daily issuance, offering a data-driven filter for BTC exposure, source: @caprioleio and Capriole live chart capriole.com/charts/?chart=…. Traders can monitor the live chart to align positions with periods of ETF demand dominance over supply, which the source highlights as historically favorable in the backtest, source: @caprioleio and Capriole live chart capriole.com/charts/?chart=….

According to @caprioleio, Bitcoin treasury companies with lower Days Cover have higher average 90-day returns. Source: @caprioleio on X, Aug 18, 2025. According to @caprioleio, traders can track and filter all companies by the Days Cover metric on Capriole Charts to implement this screen. Source: @caprioleio; Capriole Charts.

According to @caprioleio, Capriole Investments released Issue 66 titled The Cycle Top, asking whether the Bitcoin cycle is dead and which metrics are most important to navigate a market top, signaling traders should watch for market-top indicators that could guide BTC risk management. Source: Capriole Investments on X, August 15, 2025. The post highlights that the report centers on identifying actionable metrics for market-top navigation, indicating potential implications for timing, drawdown control, and position sizing in BTC. Source: Capriole Investments on X, August 15, 2025.

According to @caprioleio, a key Bitcoin chart is the most important to watch now, and every prior occurrence of its signal has seen BTC up over 100% on average, source: X post on Aug 15, 2025 https://twitter.com/caprioleio/status/1956151289253126646. He directed traders to a related YouTube discussion for further details, source: X post and YouTube link https://youtu.be/vcDaN0ASr0c. The post did not disclose the exact indicator name or timeframe, but the stated historical performance metric is explicit, source: X post above.

According to @caprioleio, a live Treasury Company Screener covering every Bitcoin treasury company globally is now available at capriole.com/charts with the ability to filter by any criteria and view all desired metrics for trading analysis. source: @caprioleio This enables traders to quickly identify and compare BTC treasury exposure across companies to build BTC-beta baskets and refine Bitcoin-linked equity and crypto strategies using customizable filters and metrics. source: @caprioleio

According to Charles Edwards (@caprioleio), a crypto cycle top is unlikely until influencers broadly call for an ETH-over-BTC flippening, highlighting sentiment as a key timing signal (source: Charles Edwards on X, Aug 13, 2025). This positions rising flippening chatter as a late-cycle indicator to monitor for de-risking or tighter stops in BTC and ETH pairs per Edwards’ view (source: Charles Edwards on X, Aug 13, 2025).

According to @caprioleio, Bitcoin’s long-term holder share of supply has just pulled back from a peak while BTC is already rallying, a setup that historically preceded strong price gains 80% of the time over the last decade and 100% of the time when price was already rising. Source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio); Capriole Charts capriole.com/charts. The metric referenced is the Bitcoin long-term holder share of supply tracked by Capriole Charts, which Edwards cites as the basis for these historical hit rates. Source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio); Capriole Charts capriole.com/charts. For trading, this on-chain pattern is presented as a bullish confirmation historically, with the current conditions matching a pullback from an LTH supply peak alongside an ongoing BTC rally. Source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio); Capriole Charts capriole.com/charts.

According to @caprioleio, Bitcoin is gunning for the highest daily close ever, putting the BTC all-time daily closing high in focus for today’s session (source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) post on X, Aug 12, 2025). If BTC secures a record daily close, that would mark a new all-time daily closing high and confirm the session focus identified by @caprioleio; traders can use the daily close level as a clear confirmation or invalidation marker for breakout strategies (source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) post on X, Aug 12, 2025).

According to Charles Edwards (@caprioleio), the Copper to Gold ratio shows Bitcoin is still far from a market top and is currently nearer a buy signal than a sell signal, indicating a risk-on backdrop supportive of BTC. Source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) on X, August 12, 2025.

According to @caprioleio, Semler Scientific (SMLR) trades at an mNAV of 0.9, indicating a discount to its marked net asset value, source: @caprioleio. According to @caprioleio, its Bitcoin holdings are worth more than the company’s equity market capitalization, source: @caprioleio. According to @caprioleio, the BTC yield is 0.25% and the firm is growing its Bitcoin balance by approximately 2% per week, source: @caprioleio. According to @caprioleio, Days Cover is -48 and debt-to-market-cap stands at 17%, with leverage described as conservative, source: @caprioleio. For traders, these metrics flag SMLR as a potential BTC proxy where the NAV discount and BTC balance growth rate are key variables to monitor versus spot BTC performance and peer Bitcoin treasury stocks, source: @caprioleio.

According to @caprioleio, the GENIUS Act and a 401K Executive Order curtailed memecoins and redirected flows into DeFi utility tokens, marking the start of an alt season led by fundamentals, source: @caprioleio on X, August 11, 2025. The author adds that TradFi demand for DeFi exposure is rising, suggesting institutional appetite for utility-driven protocols, source: @caprioleio on X, August 11, 2025. The post provides no supporting data, tickers, or timelines to quantify rotation or policy impact, source: @caprioleio on X, August 11, 2025.

According to @caprioleio, utility token charts are now looking stronger than memecoins for the first time in a long period, a shift he describes as a positive change. Source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) on X, Aug 10, 2025, https://twitter.com/caprioleio/status/1954669910409478165 Based on this observation, traders can position for sector rotation by prioritizing relative strength in utility-driven altcoins over meme tokens and focusing on momentum confirmation across higher time frames. Source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) on X, Aug 10, 2025, https://twitter.com/caprioleio/status/1954669910409478165 Practical tactics include monitoring utility-vs-memecoin ratio charts, favoring breakouts in fundamentally driven utility names, and reducing exposure to weakening meme baskets while volatility remains elevated. Source: Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) on X, Aug 10, 2025, https://twitter.com/caprioleio/status/1954669910409478165

According to @caprioleio, 150 publicly listed companies now hold Bitcoin (BTC) as their reserve asset, marking a significant milestone in institutional crypto adoption. This trend suggests accelerating corporate integration of Bitcoin, which could further boost liquidity and price action in the BTC market as more companies allocate reserves to digital assets (source: @caprioleio).

According to @caprioleio, a comprehensive set of deep Bitcoin Treasury Company analytics is launching this week, providing traders with highly granular and live metrics for every Bitcoin-holding Treasury Company worldwide. This new analytics tool promises to deliver actionable insights that have not been previously available, allowing traders to monitor institutional BTC holdings and potential market movements in real time. This development is expected to enhance transparency and inform trading strategies based on institutional Bitcoin (BTC) activity, as reported by @caprioleio.

According to @caprioleio, historical data shows that when daily Bitcoin sales by treasury companies exceed 1500 BTC, it has consistently marked local price lows for Bitcoin during the last market cycle, indicating a reliable buy signal for traders (source: @caprioleio on X, August 5, 2025). This pattern provides actionable insights for cryptocurrency investors seeking optimal BTC entry points.

According to Charles Edwards, the Bitcoin Yardstick indicator has recently demonstrated effective market timing for BTC, capturing significant entry and exit signals. Traders may find this tool valuable for identifying optimal buying and selling opportunities in Bitcoin, as recent data suggests its signals have aligned closely with key price movements. This trading insight highlights the potential for improved timing strategies in the current cryptocurrency market, as reported by the source.

According to Charles Edwards, widespread predictions of a 'super cycle'—meaning no more major bear markets—preceded the top of the Bitcoin (BTC) cycle in 2021 by only a few months, signaling a key psychological indicator for traders to monitor in future bull markets. This historical pattern underscores the importance of tracking market sentiment extremes as potential reversal signals for BTC price action (source: Charles Edwards).

According to @caprioleio, Capriole Charts will release detailed company-level analytics covering every Bitcoin treasury company worldwide next week. The update includes both existing and new analytical models, offering traders fresh insights into corporate BTC holdings and market flows. This data can enhance trading strategies by revealing institutional Bitcoin accumulation and distribution trends, which are key indicators for BTC price movements. Source: @caprioleio.