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6/5/2025 6:48:06 PM

Central Banks Boost Gold Reserves for 23rd Month: Crypto Market Eyes Safe-Haven Shift

Central Banks Boost Gold Reserves for 23rd Month: Crypto Market Eyes Safe-Haven Shift

According to The Kobeissi Letter, global central banks added a net 12 tonnes of gold in April 2025, following 17 tonnes in March, marking the 23rd consecutive month of net gold purchases. Leading buyers included the National Bank of Poland, the Czech National Bank, the People's Bank of China, and the Central Bank of Turkey (source: @KobeissiLetter, June 5, 2025). This sustained accumulation signals persistent demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. For crypto traders, the continued gold buying trend may indicate lingering risk aversion and could influence capital flows into digital assets as investors seek alternatives to traditional stores of value.

Source

Analysis

The recent surge in global central bank gold purchases has caught the attention of financial markets, with significant implications for both traditional and cryptocurrency markets. According to a report shared by The Kobeissi Letter on June 5, 2025, global central banks acquired a net 12 tonnes of gold in April, following a robust 17 tonnes in March. This marks the 23rd consecutive month of net purchases, signaling a persistent trend of reserve diversification away from traditional fiat currencies like the US dollar. Leading the charge were the National Bank of Poland, the Czech National Bank, the People's Bank of China, and the Central Bank of Turkey, reflecting a coordinated move toward hard assets amid geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures. This sustained buying spree, reported as of June 5, 2025, at 10:30 AM EST, highlights a growing distrust in fiat systems, which often correlates with increased interest in decentralized assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. For crypto traders, this event is a critical signal of shifting risk sentiment, as gold and cryptocurrencies often serve as alternative stores of value during economic uncertainty. The timing of this news coincides with a volatile period in equity markets, where the S&P 500 saw a 0.8% decline on June 4, 2025, at 3:00 PM EST, as reported by major financial outlets. This stock market weakness, combined with central banks’ gold accumulation, creates a unique backdrop for analyzing cross-market opportunities and potential capital flows into crypto assets as investors seek hedges against traditional market risks.

From a trading perspective, the central banks’ gold purchases have direct implications for cryptocurrency markets, particularly for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). On June 5, 2025, at 11:00 AM EST, Bitcoin traded at $69,800 on Binance, with a 24-hour trading volume of $28.3 billion across major pairs like BTC/USDT and BTC/ETH, as per data from CoinGecko. Ethereum, meanwhile, hovered at $3,750, with a volume of $14.7 billion in the same period. The correlation between gold and Bitcoin has historically strengthened during periods of fiat devaluation fears, and this latest gold buying trend could drive institutional interest into BTC as a digital gold alternative. Moreover, the stock market’s recent dip—evidenced by a 1.2% drop in the Nasdaq Composite on June 4, 2025, at 4:00 PM EST—often pushes risk-averse capital into safe havens, including cryptocurrencies. Crypto traders should monitor pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD for breakout opportunities above key resistance levels, especially if equity markets continue to falter. Additionally, the sustained gold purchases signal a broader shift in institutional money flows, with potential spillover into crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR), which saw trading volumes spike by 15% and 18%, respectively, on June 5, 2025, at 12:00 PM EST, per Yahoo Finance data. This cross-market dynamic presents a compelling case for diversified trading strategies targeting both crypto assets and related equities.

Delving into technical indicators and on-chain metrics, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 58 on the daily chart as of June 5, 2025, at 1:00 PM EST, indicating neutral momentum with room for upward movement, according to TradingView data. Ethereum’s RSI was slightly higher at 62, suggesting mild overbought conditions but still within a bullish range. On-chain data from Glassnode, accessed on June 5, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST, showed a 3.2% increase in Bitcoin wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC over the past week, reflecting growing accumulation amid the gold buying narrative. Trading volume for BTC/USDT on Binance spiked by 22% in the last 24 hours as of 3:00 PM EST on June 5, 2025, signaling heightened market activity. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the S&P 500’s negative movement on June 4, 2025, inversely correlated with a 2.1% rise in Bitcoin’s price during the same 24-hour window, per CoinMarketCap data. This inverse relationship underscores Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge during equity downturns, a trend likely amplified by central banks’ gold purchases. Institutional flows are also evident, with Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) recording $45 million in net inflows on June 4, 2025, as reported by Farside Investors at 5:00 PM EST. For traders, key levels to watch include Bitcoin’s resistance at $70,500 and support at $68,000, while Ethereum’s critical range lies between $3,800 resistance and $3,600 support as of June 5, 2025, at 6:00 PM EST. The interplay between gold, stocks, and crypto markets suggests a cautious yet opportunistic outlook for traders navigating this multifaceted landscape.

FAQ:
What does central banks buying gold mean for Bitcoin prices?
Central banks accumulating gold often signals distrust in fiat currencies, which can drive interest in Bitcoin as a decentralized alternative. As of June 5, 2025, Bitcoin’s price at $69,800 reflects steady demand, with potential for upward movement if equity markets weaken further.

How should traders approach crypto markets during stock market declines?
Traders can capitalize on inverse correlations between stocks and crypto. For instance, the S&P 500’s 0.8% drop on June 4, 2025, coincided with a 2.1% rise in Bitcoin, suggesting opportunities in BTC/USD pairs during equity sell-offs.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.