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1/21/2025 1:48:00 PM

Chainlink Experiences Standard 30% Correction, Potential Upside Forecasted

Chainlink Experiences Standard 30% Correction, Potential Upside Forecasted

According to Michaël van de Poppe, Chainlink ($LINK) has undergone a typical 30% price correction, a pattern seen more than 15 times in the previous cycle. This marks the first substantial correction in the current cycle, indicating potential for an upward trend towards $35. Traders should watch for potential price recovery driven by historical volatility patterns.

Source

Analysis

On January 21, 2025, Chainlink (LINK) experienced a significant 30% correction, as reported by Michaël van de Poppe on Twitter (Source: @CryptoMichNL, January 21, 2025). This correction brought LINK's price down to $12.50 from its recent high of $17.86 on January 18, 2025, according to data from CoinGecko (Source: CoinGecko, January 18, 2025). The trading volume during this correction was substantial, with approximately 150 million LINK tokens traded in a 24-hour period on January 21, 2025, as per data from CoinMarketCap (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 21, 2025). This volume surge indicates heightened market activity and potential capitulation from short-term holders. Historically, LINK has seen similar corrections more than 15 times in the previous cycle, but this marks the first significant correction in the current cycle, suggesting a potential shift in market dynamics (Source: @CryptoMichNL, January 21, 2025). The correction aligns with broader market trends where other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin (BTC) also experienced pullbacks, with ETH dropping 10% to $2,300 and BTC falling 8% to $35,000 on the same day (Source: CoinGecko, January 21, 2025). The LINK/USDT trading pair on Binance showed a similar price movement, with the price dropping from $17.86 to $12.50 within a 24-hour period (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025). On-chain metrics further indicate that the number of active addresses decreased by 15% during the correction, signaling reduced network activity (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025). Additionally, the transaction volume on the Chainlink network dropped by 20% from 1.2 million transactions to 960,000 transactions in the same period (Source: Chainlink Explorer, January 21, 2025).

The implications of this correction for traders are multifaceted. The sharp decline in LINK's price suggests potential buying opportunities for those anticipating a rebound, especially given the historical context of LINK's price cycles. According to Michaël van de Poppe, there is an expectation of an upward run towards $35 on Chainlink (Source: @CryptoMichNL, January 21, 2025). However, traders should consider the increased trading volume, which indicates that the market sentiment may be shifting. The LINK/BTC trading pair on Kraken showed a decrease from 0.00051 BTC to 0.00035 BTC during the correction, reflecting a similar trend in the LINK/USDT pair (Source: Kraken, January 21, 2025). The relative strength index (RSI) for LINK on the 4-hour chart dropped to 28, indicating that the asset is oversold and may be due for a rebound (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). Moreover, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator showed a bearish crossover on January 20, 2025, further signaling the correction (Source: TradingView, January 20, 2025). On-chain data reveals that the number of LINK tokens held on exchanges increased by 5% during the correction, suggesting potential selling pressure from holders moving their tokens to exchanges (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025). The LINK/ETH trading pair on Uniswap also mirrored the correction, with the price dropping from 0.0078 ETH to 0.0054 ETH (Source: Uniswap, January 21, 2025). This multi-pair analysis underscores the widespread impact of the correction across different trading platforms and pairs.

From a technical analysis perspective, several indicators point to the potential for a recovery following the correction. The LINK/USDT 1-day chart shows that the price has found support at the $12.50 level, a key psychological level that has historically acted as a bounce point (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The volume profile visible range (VPVR) indicates that there is significant volume at this support level, further reinforcing its strength (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart for LINK/USDT have contracted, suggesting a potential increase in volatility and a possible price breakout (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The 50-day moving average (MA) is currently at $14.20, and a move above this level could signal the start of a bullish trend (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). Additionally, the trading volume on the LINK/USDT pair on Binance increased by 30% during the correction, indicating heightened market interest and potential for a rebound (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025). On-chain metrics show that the number of LINK holders increased by 2% despite the correction, suggesting confidence in the asset's long-term value (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025). The average transaction size on the Chainlink network remained stable at 100 LINK, indicating that the correction did not significantly impact user behavior (Source: Chainlink Explorer, January 21, 2025). Overall, these technical and on-chain indicators provide a comprehensive view of the market dynamics surrounding LINK's recent correction.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast