According to @charliebilello, the combined revenues of Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT) reached a record $1.8 trillion over the last 12 months (source: @charliebilello). The reported breakdown is Amazon $691 billion, Apple $416 billion, Google $386 billion, and Microsoft $294 billion (source: @charliebilello). The total is described as larger than the GDP of all but 15 countries, underscoring the scale of these mega-cap leaders (source: @charliebilello). The source does not reference cryptocurrencies or digital asset market impacts (source: @charliebilello).

According to Charlie Bilello, the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet fell 24 percent over the last three years while the S&P 500 rose 90 percent, showing equities advanced during quantitative tightening rather than quantitative easing, source: Charlie Bilello on X dated Nov 1, 2025. According to Charlie Bilello, this regime suggests liquidity-only models tied to Fed balance sheet size would not have captured the full SPX uptrend in this window, making trend and earnings driven signals more relevant for trade timing, source: Charlie Bilello on X dated Nov 1, 2025. According to Charlie Bilello, crypto market participants should note that risk assets can rally despite balance sheet contraction, indicating central bank liquidity is not a standalone buy signal for digital assets, source: Charlie Bilello on X dated Nov 1, 2025. According to Charlie Bilello, a detailed video breakdown is provided for further context on the SPX move and the balance sheet trajectory, source: YouTube video referenced by Charlie Bilello.

According to @charliebilello, the S&P 500 has delivered an average annual return of 12 percent since 1980 while experiencing an average intra-year drawdown of minus 14 percent, underscoring the risk and return tradeoff that guides equity positioning and timing. source: https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1984735736583610691 For traders, this historical drawdown profile implies that position sizing, stop-loss thresholds, and VaR should be calibrated to withstand mid-teens pullbacks even in strong years when managing SPX or SPY exposure. source: https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1984735736583610691 Because crypto has exhibited higher co-movement and volatility spillovers with U.S. equities since 2020, equity risk-off phases often coincide with BTC and ETH drawdowns, making these equity drawdown statistics directly relevant for crypto risk budgeting and execution. source: https://blogs.imf.org/en/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks/

According to @charliebilello, bull markets have lasted about 5x longer than bear markets on average, with bulls returning roughly +254% over five years and bears declining about −31% over one year, source: Charlie Bilello on X Nov 1, 2025 and video link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtNrkP9I9X8. According to @charliebilello, markets spend more time compounding wealth than destroying it and the biggest risk is interrupting compounding, source: Charlie Bilello on X Nov 1, 2025. According to @charliebilello, these averages frame multi-year bull cycles and typical one-year bear drawdowns as critical context for maintaining exposure and setting risk limits in trading plans, source: Charlie Bilello on X Nov 1, 2025.

According to Charlie Bilello, Q3 year-over-year revenue growth printed META +26%, MSFT +18%, NFLX +17%, GOOGL +16%, AMZN +13%, TSLA +12%, and AAPL +8%, versus the S&P 500 proxy SPY at +3%, source: Charlie Bilello, X, Oct 30, 2025. Based on these figures, spreads over the SPY baseline are META +23 percentage points, MSFT +15 points, NFLX +14 points, GOOGL +13 points, AMZN +10 points, TSLA +9 points, and AAPL +5 points, highlighting clear dispersion for relative-strength and growth-tilt trades, source: Charlie Bilello, X, Oct 30, 2025. Traders can monitor follow-through in leaders versus laggards as price action digests revenue momentum and index flows, while crypto participants track equity risk tone as a cross-asset input rather than a causal signal, source: Charlie Bilello, X, Oct 30, 2025.

According to @charliebilello, Microsoft reported record Q3 revenue of $78B (+18% YoY) and record net income of $28B (+12% YoY), while Azure and cloud services revenue rose 40% YoY and beat estimates, supporting a constructive read for $MSFT positioning (source: @charliebilello). Per @charliebilello, the Azure outperformance highlights ongoing cloud and AI momentum; traders can use this data point to gauge $MSFT-led tech risk appetite and monitor any correlation-driven sentiment shifts in crypto markets (source: @charliebilello).

According to @charliebilello, the S&P 500 finished the week at a new all-time high, the 34th record close of the year, highlighting easy financial conditions even as inflation rises; source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 26, 2025. According to @charliebilello, he expects the Federal Reserve to cut the Fed Funds Rate again this week to a 3.75-4.00% target range, positioning policy more dovish into the upcoming decision; source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 26, 2025. For crypto-focused portfolios, traders are likely to treat the FOMC decision as a key macro catalyst and monitor volatility in liquidity-sensitive assets like BTC and ETH around the announcement window; source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 26, 2025.

According to @charliebilello, Tesla revenue reached a record 28 billion dollars in Q3, up 12 percent year over year and the fastest growth since Q2 2023, as reported on X and bilello.blog/newsletter. Net income was 1.37 billion dollars, below expectations and down 37 percent from a year ago, per Charlie Bilello on X. The profit decline was driven by lower EV prices and a 50 percent increase in operating expenses tied to AI and other R and D, per Charlie Bilello on X. The cited update did not mention any direct cryptocurrency holdings or impacts, per Charlie Bilello on X.

According to @charliebilello, with 10% of S&P 500 companies reported, trailing twelve-month operating earnings are expected to reach another record high, up 10% year over year, signaling stronger aggregate profitability for the index (source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 19, 2025). According to @charliebilello, the update references $SPX and includes a video briefing for additional context on the earnings trajectory and expectations (source: @charliebilello on X and YouTube, Oct 19, 2025).

According to @charliebilello, Harvard Business School will teach Walmart’s turnaround as a success case this fall, spotlighting how labor investment translated into equity outperformance (source: @charliebilello). In 2015, Walmart raised wages for nearly half of its roughly 1 million hourly workers to address high turnover and low morale, and shares initially fell about 10% on the announcement, marking a short-term cost shock (source: @charliebilello). Since 2016, wages rose 48%, coinciding with a happier, more productive workforce, an improved shopping experience, and an approximately 450% surge in WMT’s stock price, illustrating a long-term re-rating after execution improved (source: @charliebilello). Trading takeaway: the data show an initial selloff followed by multi-year gains after operational gains materialized, so traders can use WMT as a historical analog when evaluating labor-investment headlines across retail peers, while noting the source mentions no cryptocurrencies and cites no direct crypto market impact (source: @charliebilello).

According to @charliebilello, the US consumer dollar’s purchasing power has roughly halved over the last 30 years due to inflation, while the S&P 500 gained about 888% after inflation, or roughly 8% per year, highlighting the real return gap between cash and equities, source: Charlie Bilello via Creative Planning. For traders, this underscores that long-horizon equity exposure has historically outpaced inflation and preserved real wealth versus holding cash, source: Charlie Bilello via Creative Planning. Crypto angle: Bitcoin has increasingly moved with US equities since 2020, with IMF research documenting a rise in BTC–S&P 500 co-movement during the pandemic, making equity strength and inflation narratives relevant to crypto risk appetite, source: International Monetary Fund 2022. Practical takeaway: monitor US CPI and the S&P 500 trend as macro inputs for BTC and ETH positioning when inflation and equity momentum influence risk-on regimes, source: International Monetary Fund 2022; Charlie Bilello via Creative Planning.

According to @charliebilello, a new post highlights the top 30 S&P 500 stocks over the past 30 years, with the full ranking available at bilello.blog/newsletter and announced on X on Oct 5, 2025, source: @charliebilello X post; bilello.blog/newsletter. According to @charliebilello, the clearly defined universe S&P 500, 30-year horizon, and top-30 cutoff provide a consistent sample that traders can use to evaluate long-term compounders and sector leadership for momentum and trend-following screens, source: @charliebilello X post; bilello.blog/newsletter. According to @charliebilello, cross-asset traders can reference the equity leadership ranking as a risk sentiment input when benchmarking exposure timing and beta in broader risk assets including crypto, source: @charliebilello X post; bilello.blog/newsletter.

According to @charliebilello, Bitcoin (BTC) crossed above $125,000 today for the first time, marking its 17th $1,000 milestone of the year, source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 5, 2025. For traders, this establishes $125,000 as the latest breakout reference level and documents 17 stepwise threshold breaks this year to gauge momentum, source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 5, 2025.

According to @charliebilello, gold is up 48% YTD in 2025 and Bitcoin (BTC) is up 31%, making them the top two performing major assets so far this year, source: X post on Oct 4, 2025 https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1974461342833680700. He also states this is the first time gold and Bitcoin have occupied the #1 and #2 spots in any calendar year, underscoring year-to-date momentum leadership for GLD and BTC, source: same X post and accompanying video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mPyTe3AjUtA&t=528s.

According to Charlie Bilello, the S&P 500 (SPX) ended the week at a fresh all-time high, its 31st new high of 2025 (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 4, 2025). Bilello also shared a YouTube video with additional context on the SPX advance (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 4, 2025). For crypto traders, IMF research documents that since 2020 Bitcoin has shown higher correlation with U.S. equities, making equity record highs relevant for BTC and ETH risk sentiment (source: IMF blog by Tobias Adrian, Tara Iyer, and Mahvash S. Qureshi, Jan 11, 2022). Given these documented spillovers, monitoring BTC and ETH behavior during U.S. sessions following equity breakouts is relevant for positioning and risk management (source: IMF blog by Tobias Adrian, Tara Iyer, and Mahvash S. Qureshi, Jan 11, 2022).

According to Charlie Bilello, the Dow crossed above 47,000 for the first time, joining the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite at record highs, underscoring broad U.S. equity strength (source: Charlie Bilello on X). According to Charlie Bilello, this is the 13th straight calendar year in which the Dow has posted at least one all-time high, an unprecedented streak for the index (source: Charlie Bilello on X). According to IMF research, Bitcoin and U.S. equities exhibited significantly higher return correlations post-2020, so crypto traders may monitor BTC and ETH for potential sentiment spillovers when major U.S. indices set new records (source: IMF research 2022).

According to Charlie Bilello, OpenAI’s private valuation has reached about $500 billion (source: Charlie Bilello, X post on Oct 3, 2025). He adds that at this size, if OpenAI were public, it would be the 16th largest company in the S&P 500 by market capitalization (source: Charlie Bilello, X post on Oct 3, 2025). Bilello also notes the company’s valuation has expanded from roughly $28 billion to $500 billion in about two and a half years (source: Charlie Bilello, X post on Oct 3, 2025). For traders, these figures provide a high-profile benchmark for relative-value and sentiment checks across AI-exposed equities and AI-linked crypto narratives, grounded in the valuation numbers reported here (source for figures: Charlie Bilello, X post on Oct 3, 2025).

According to @charliebilello, Tesla delivered a record 497,000 vehicles in the 3rd quarter, up 7% year over year, setting a new high that traders can use to frame TSLA momentum into the next earnings window; source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 2, 2025. The post cites deliveries only and does not include production mix, average selling price, or margin details, so positioning should anchor to the 497,000 headline while awaiting official updates; source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 2, 2025. Given the record print, traders may monitor TSLA pre-market liquidity, options implied volatility, and potential gap risk around the cash open for tactical entries and hedges; source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 2, 2025.

According to @charliebilello, the S&P 500 has posted positive returns during the last six U.S. government shutdowns, and the index rose 0.4% in the prior session to a new all-time high; source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025, and bilello.blog/newsletter. For traders, this pattern of SPX resilience during shutdowns aligns with elevated stock‑crypto correlations observed since 2020, informing cross-asset risk positioning; source: IMF Global Financial Stability Note, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, January 2022. Monitoring SPX trend alongside BTC and ETH is warranted given IMF-documented increases in shock transmission between equities and crypto markets; source: IMF 2022 and Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025.

According to @charliebilello, a new X post compiles Bitcoin (BTC) returns since 2010, providing a 15-year performance timeline that traders use to contextualize BTC’s trend and cycle behavior; source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025. The post offers a historical return reference that market participants can apply when benchmarking risk, sizing positions, and setting drawdown expectations in BTC strategies; source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025. For trading workflows, the historical series referenced in the post can inform momentum lookbacks, regime identification, and backtesting assumptions for BTC; source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025.