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1/15/2025 1:32:17 PM

Core CPI and PPI Data Influences Market Trends and Crypto Strength

Core CPI and PPI Data Influences Market Trends and Crypto Strength

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the Core CPI was slightly lower than expected, following a significantly lower than expected PPI. This has resulted in weakness in yields and the US Dollar Index ($DXY), while cryptocurrencies continue to show strength.

Source

Analysis

On January 15, 2025, the cryptocurrency market responded robustly to the latest economic data releases, particularly the Core CPI and PPI figures. The Core CPI for December 2024 came in at 2.9%, slightly below the expected 3.0% (source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 15, 2025). Following this, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for December 2024 was reported at 1.5%, significantly lower than the anticipated 2.1% (source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 14, 2025). These figures suggested a cooling in inflation pressures, which in turn influenced market dynamics. As of 10:00 AM EST on January 15, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $42,345, up 2.1% from its opening price of $41,480, while Ethereum (ETH) was at $2,350, showing a 1.8% increase from its opening of $2,308 (source: CoinMarketCap, January 15, 2025). The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) displayed weakness, declining to 92.35 from 92.75 at the start of the day (source: Investing.com, January 15, 2025). This weakening dollar bolstered the appeal of cryptocurrencies as alternative investments, contributing to their continued strength.

The trading implications of these economic indicators were significant. The lower-than-expected Core CPI and PPI figures led to a decrease in U.S. Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield dropping to 3.85% from 3.92% (source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, January 15, 2025). This decline in yields typically signals a shift towards risk-on assets, which was reflected in the cryptocurrency market's performance. Bitcoin's trading volume surged to $34 billion by 12:00 PM EST, a 15% increase from the previous day's volume of $29.5 billion (source: CoinMarketCap, January 15, 2025). Similarly, Ethereum's trading volume reached $12.5 billion, up 10% from $11.3 billion on January 14, 2025 (source: CoinMarketCap, January 15, 2025). The trading pair BTC/USD saw increased activity, with the highest volume recorded at 11:00 AM EST at $5.5 billion (source: Binance, January 15, 2025). This surge in volume indicated strong market interest and liquidity, potentially driven by the favorable economic data and declining dollar value.

Technical indicators and volume data further supported the bullish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. As of 1:00 PM EST on January 15, 2025, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 68, suggesting that the asset was not yet overbought but approaching overbought territory (source: TradingView, January 15, 2025). Ethereum's RSI was at 65, also indicating strong buying pressure without being overbought (source: TradingView, January 15, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line at 12:30 PM EST, confirming the upward momentum (source: TradingView, January 15, 2025). On-chain metrics provided additional insights, with Bitcoin's hash rate increasing to 250 EH/s from 245 EH/s the previous day, indicating robust network security and miner activity (source: Blockchain.com, January 15, 2025). Ethereum's total value locked (TVL) in DeFi protocols rose to $55 billion from $53 billion, reflecting growing investor confidence in the Ethereum ecosystem (source: DeFi Pulse, January 15, 2025). These technical and on-chain indicators, combined with the economic data, painted a comprehensive picture of a market poised for further gains.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast