According to @52kskew, ES reversed higher from the morning while VIX moved marginally up, indicating a risk-off tone, source: @52kskew on X, Oct 3, 2025. The author notes that upcoming 4-hour closes currently resemble swing failure patterns and that bulls need to save the close to regain control, source: @52kskew on X, Oct 3, 2025. For crypto traders, the author highlights that TradFi correlation is driving price action, making these 4H closes pivotal for directional bias, source: @52kskew on X, Oct 3, 2025.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the S&P 500 closed above 6,700 for the first time ever on Oct 1, 2025, setting a new all-time closing milestone for the index, according to @StockMKTNewz. According to the International Monetary Fund, Bitcoin and U.S. stock returns have shown higher co-movement since 2020, which makes major U.S. equity milestones relevant to crypto risk sentiment, according to the International Monetary Fund’s 2022 analysis of crypto–stock market linkages.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a new record high today, confirming a fresh all-time high close in U.S. equities, source: @StockMKTNewz on X. Crypto traders can monitor BTC and ETH for any near-term correlation shifts with U.S. equities following this record close reported by @StockMKTNewz, focusing on price action and funding into the U.S. evening and Asia open, source: @StockMKTNewz on X. Key cross-asset checks to contextualize crypto volatility after the Dow record include the tone of U.S. equity futures, DXY, and U.S. 10-year yields in response to the event reported by @StockMKTNewz, source: @StockMKTNewz on X.

According to @business, US equities have shrugged off warnings for the past five months, but the rally is cooling as October turbulence and earnings season approach, prompting caution from Wall Street veterans; source: Bloomberg/@business tweet dated Sep 27, 2025. Equity–crypto correlations rose during 2022 risk episodes and remained time‑varying into 2024, implying potential spillovers to BTC and ETH if US stocks wobble; source: Kaiko research on BTC–equity correlations (2022–2024). Traders can monitor S&P 500 futures and the VIX to track risk sentiment into earnings, with VIX representing the market’s 30‑day expected volatility of S&P 500 options; source: CME Group E‑mini S&P 500 contract information and Cboe VIX methodology. Crypto market participants should watch for cross‑asset moves during earnings headlines as correlation clusters can tighten quickly in risk‑off regimes; source: Kaiko cross‑asset correlation updates (2022–2024).

According to @KobeissiLetter, the average funding spread, a gauge of institutional demand for long equity exposure via futures, options, and swaps, jumped roughly 20 basis points in recent days to its highest level since December 2024 (source: @KobeissiLetter, Sep 20, 2025). The move followed disappointing non-farm payrolls data two weeks ago, which increased market expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts (source: @KobeissiLetter, Sep 20, 2025). Professional investor positioning has been steadily recovering since April, though the funding spread remains well below the peak seen in November 2024 (source: @KobeissiLetter, Sep 20, 2025). For crypto markets, higher institutional risk appetite in equities has historically coincided with stronger comovement between Bitcoin and stocks since 2020, making this uptick a relevant macro signal for digital assets (source: IMF, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Intel INTC just delivered a bullish session not seen in decades on September 18, 2025, indicating an unusually large upside day for the stock, source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Sep 18, 2025. Such outsized single-day advances are typically accompanied by elevated trading volume and volatility that widen near-term trading ranges and gap risk for momentum and mean-reversion setups, source: Karpoff 1987 The Relation Between Price Changes and Trading Volume; Lee and Swaminathan 2000 Price Momentum and Trading Volume. For crypto traders, stronger risk-on impulses from equities can spill over to digital assets as cross-market correlation with BTC and ETH has risen since 2020, raising transmission risk, source: International Monetary Fund blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks by Adrian, Iyer, and Mancini-Griffoli, January 2022.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the S&P 500 just closed above 6,600 for the first time ever, marking a fresh all-time high close for the index (source: @StockMKTNewz on X). Historically, equity breakouts have coincided with stronger risk appetite, with BTC’s rolling correlation to U.S. equities often in the 0.2–0.5 range during 2023–2024, which traders watch for crypto beta exposure (source: Kaiko Research 2023–2024). Crypto traders should monitor BTC and ETH reactions around U.S. market hours when equity-led sentiment shifts tend to transmit to digital assets via macro risk channels (source: Kaiko Research 2023–2024).

According to @KobeissiLetter, President Trump today repeated his 2018 position by asking the SEC to study replacing quarterly reporting with semiannual disclosures, arguing it would allow greater flexibility and save money (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X). The Kobeissi Letter notes that in August 2018 he similarly asked the SEC to evaluate moving to six‑month reporting (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X). The SEC subsequently opened a 2018 Request for Comment on earnings releases and quarterly reports to assess market and cost impacts of reporting frequency (source: U.S. SEC, 2018 Request for Comment on Earnings Releases and Quarterly Reports). For crypto‑adjacent traders, research has documented a tighter correlation between Bitcoin and U.S. equities since 2020, underscoring why changes to U.S. equity information cadence are monitored across risk assets (source: IMF, 2022 Global Financial Stability analysis).

According to @ReetikaTrades, stocks and gold are rising while crypto underperforms, highlighting a cross-asset divergence that can shape near-term flows in BTC and ETH, source: Reetika (@ReetikaTrades). Empirically, Bitcoin’s correlation with equities has been positive in recent cycles, so sustained equity strength can later spill into crypto when risk appetite broadens, though correlations can break during stress, source: International Monetary Fund 2022; Bank for International Settlements 2022. When gold and stocks advance together, it often reflects liquidity plus hedging demand, and momentum effects can persist across assets, source: Baur and Lucey 2010; Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen 2012. Traders can monitor BTC dominance and the ETH/BTC spread for rotation signals, and track funding rates and CME futures basis for evidence of leverage returning to crypto, source: TradingView; CoinMarketCap; CME Group.

According to @CNBC, historical market performance is often weak after rate cuts, particularly when the Federal Reserve cuts to stabilize a slowing economy, signaling late-cycle stress rather than a new bull trend for risk assets, which tempers near-term risk-on expectations for traders; source: CNBC. For crypto, cross-asset contagion risk is relevant because Bitcoin and equities became more correlated post-2020, meaning macro-driven equity drawdowns can transmit to BTC and ETH pricing during policy pivots; sources: IMF research (2022) and BIS analysis (2022).

According to @StockMKTNewz, over the past five years the Nasdaq 100 is up 110.2%, the S&P 500 is up 95.4%, the Dow Jones is up 63.7%, and the Russell 2000 is up 55.4%. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Sep 14, 2025. This relative performance indicates sustained large-cap tech leadership over broader U.S. benchmarks in the five-year window. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Sep 14, 2025. For crypto markets, higher equity–crypto comovement has been documented since 2020, with BTC’s correlation to the S&P 500 rising materially during 2020–2021, making equity momentum a relevant signal for BTC and ETH positioning. Source: IMF Blog, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, by Adrian, Iyer, and Qureshi, Jan 11, 2022. Traders monitoring BTC and ETH may therefore watch Nasdaq 100 relative strength as a cross-asset risk gauge when managing crypto exposure. Source: IMF Blog, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, by Adrian, Iyer, and Qureshi, Jan 11, 2022.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the CNH/USD and ETH/BTC pairs have historically bottomed at the same time, with notable lows in November 2016 and September 2019 aligning across both markets (source: X post by @CryptoMichNL, Sep 13, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, he now sees a fresh bottom and an emerging uptrend in both CNH/USD and ETH/BTC, which, if sustained, implies ETH outperforming BTC on the relative pair (source: X post by @CryptoMichNL, Sep 13, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, traders tracking this correlation can monitor ETH/BTC for continuation signals consistent with the stated uptrend thesis to position for relative strength in ETH over BTC (source: X post by @CryptoMichNL, Sep 13, 2025).

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 is up 31% over the last five months, the biggest since the 2020 recovery and the third-largest five-month gain in 20 years, just 1 percentage point behind the post-2008 rebound of 32%, with 16.6 trillion dollars in value added since the April 8 low, exceeding every individual stock market outside the United States as reported on X on September 11, 2025. According to Kaiko Research, crypto and US equities correlations are regime-dependent and have turned strongly positive during broad risk-on phases such as 2020 to 2021, making S&P 500 momentum a relevant input for positioning and risk management in BTC and ETH today.

According to @milesdeutscher, historical price action shows gold strength often leads BTC breakouts, so rising XAUUSD can be used as a leading indicator for Bitcoin entries; source: @milesdeutscher on X, Sep 4, 2025. He states that the higher gold goes, the more catching up Bitcoin tends to do, highlighting a catch-up trade setup when gold confirms a breakout; source: @milesdeutscher on X, Sep 4, 2025. Traders seeking crypto exposure can watch gold momentum and prepare for BTC follow-through after gold’s upside extension, aligning entries with that lead-lag pattern; source: @milesdeutscher on X, Sep 4, 2025.

According to @StockMKTNewz, a weekly earnings calendar has been published on September 1, 2025, providing traders with the schedule of upcoming corporate reports for the week (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, September 1, 2025). Research has documented that equity earnings periods have coincided with shifts in cross-asset risk appetite that crypto traders monitor, with BTC’s correlation to U.S. equities rising during risk events in 2022–2023 (source: Coin Metrics, State of the Network reports 2022–2023). Institutional analysis also notes that equity market volatility and liquidity changes can transmit to crypto markets, guiding traders to align de-risking or hedging around report dates highlighted in the calendar (source: Coinbase Institutional Research, 2022–2023).

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 reached a new all-time high on August 28, 2025, source: @KobeissiLetter. According to @KobeissiLetter, the index is now up about 33% from its April 2025 low, source: @KobeissiLetter. Crypto traders often track US equity highs as a macro risk gauge and for cross-asset correlation inputs when positioning in BTC and ETH, source: Kaiko research.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the U.S. stock market opened slightly green today. Source: @StockMKTNewz. This matters for crypto because Bitcoin BTC and U.S. equities have exhibited elevated positive correlation since 2020, increasing cross-market risk transmission. Sources: IMF Global Financial Stability Note (October 2022); BIS Bulletin (2022). In correlated regimes, BTC and ETH often move in the same direction as major U.S. indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq during risk-on sessions, making equity direction relevant for short-term crypto positioning. Sources: IMF 2022; BIS 2022.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 rallied 1.4% on rate-cut expectations and is now less than 50 points from the 6,500 mark for the first time in history, underscoring strong risk appetite in U.S. equities, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Aug 22, 2025. For crypto markets, this equity surge is trading-relevant because Bitcoin has exhibited heightened positive correlations with U.S. stocks in recent years, making major S&P 500 milestones pertinent to BTC and ETH sentiment, source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022. Monitoring S&P 500 price action around 6,500 during U.S. hours can inform risk appetite for BTC and ETH given the documented equity-crypto co-movement, source: International Monetary Fund, Jan 2022; The Kobeissi Letter on X, Aug 22, 2025.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the S&P 500 closed lower for the fourth consecutive trading day on August 20, 2025 (source: @StockMKTNewz). IMF research shows the Bitcoin–S&P 500 return correlation climbed to about 0.36 during 2020–2021 from near zero pre‑pandemic, increasing the likelihood that equity risk-off episodes transmit to crypto assets such as BTC and ETH (source: IMF, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, 2022). BIS analysis similarly documents stronger co-movement between crypto and tech equities during market stress, underscoring spillover risk when U.S. stocks extend losing streaks (source: BIS Bulletin, Crypto shocks and real economy, 2022).

According to @AltcoinGordon, SPX is approaching a key technical level, with the zone between two marked areas on the shared chart identified as prime dollar-cost-averaging territory for staged entries, emphasizing an opportunity-focused approach (source: @AltcoinGordon on X, Aug 18, 2025). For crypto traders, equity inflection points like this in SPX have been associated with stronger beta in BTC and ETH due to elevated equity-crypto correlations since 2020, as documented by the IMF in 2022 and the BIS in 2022 (source: IMF, 2022; BIS Bulletin, 2022).