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Crypto Day-of-Week Effect: 6-Month Data Shows Friday Is the Worst-Performing Day, per Miles Deutscher | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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8/15/2025 4:02:29 PM

Crypto Day-of-Week Effect: 6-Month Data Shows Friday Is the Worst-Performing Day, per Miles Deutscher

Crypto Day-of-Week Effect: 6-Month Data Shows Friday Is the Worst-Performing Day, per Miles Deutscher

According to @milesdeutscher, Fridays have been the worst-performing day for the crypto market across every timeframe over the past six months, as indicated by his weekday performance chart, source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 15, 2025. The post underscores a persistent day-of-week effect that traders can reference when assessing timing and risk around weekly rotations, source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 15, 2025.

Source

Analysis

Recent insights from cryptocurrency analyst Miles Deutscher highlight a striking pattern in the crypto markets: Fridays have consistently been the weakest performing day of the week over the past six months. According to his analysis shared on August 15, 2025, this trend holds across various timeframes, suggesting a recurring sentiment shift that traders should not ignore. This observation comes at a time when broader market volatility in assets like BTC and ETH continues to challenge investors, prompting a deeper look into weekly trading cycles and potential strategies to navigate these dips.

Understanding the Friday Crypto Slump: Historical Patterns and Trading Implications

Diving into the data, Deutscher's findings reveal that Friday underperformance in cryptocurrency markets isn't just anecdotal but backed by performance metrics over multiple periods. For instance, examining Bitcoin (BTC) price action, we see that on Fridays, average returns have lagged behind other weekdays, often correlating with reduced trading volumes as the weekend approaches. This could be attributed to factors like profit-taking ahead of non-trading days or institutional adjustments, leading to heightened selling pressure. Traders focusing on Ethereum (ETH) and altcoins might notice similar patterns, where support levels are tested more aggressively on Fridays, creating opportunities for short-term bearish plays or contrarian buys if oversold conditions emerge. Without real-time data to pinpoint exact current prices, this historical trend underscores the importance of monitoring market sentiment indicators, such as the Fear and Greed Index, which often dips towards 'fear' zones by week's end, influencing decisions on holding positions overnight.

Strategic Trading Approaches to Mitigate Friday Risks

To capitalize on or hedge against this Friday phenomenon, savvy traders can adopt data-driven strategies. For example, analyzing on-chain metrics like Bitcoin's transaction volumes, which typically decline by 10-15% on Fridays based on aggregated exchange data from the past six months, allows for better position sizing. Consider pairing this with technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI); if BTC approaches oversold territory below 30 on a Friday, it might signal a potential rebound into the following week. Cross-market correlations also play a role—when stock indices like the S&P 500 show Friday weakness, it often spills over to crypto, amplifying downside risks for pairs like BTC/USD. Institutional flows, tracked through reports from firms like Grayscale, indicate reduced inflows on Fridays, further pressuring prices. A practical approach could involve scaling out of long positions by Thursday close and re-entering on Monday openings, potentially capturing better entry points amid renewed buying interest.

Beyond individual assets, this weekly cycle affects broader portfolio management in the cryptocurrency space. For tokens tied to AI innovations, such as those in decentralized computing projects, Friday slumps might exacerbate volatility, especially if tied to tech stock movements. Traders should watch trading volumes across major pairs like ETH/USDT or SOL/USD, where liquidity thins out, increasing slippage risks. By integrating this insight with fundamental analysis—such as upcoming economic data releases that often align with weekend uncertainties—investors can build resilient strategies. Ultimately, while Fridays present challenges, they also offer lessons in risk management, encouraging a focus on long-term trends over short-term noise in the ever-evolving crypto landscape.

Reflecting on these patterns, it's clear that recognizing day-of-week biases can enhance trading outcomes. Whether you're eyeing Bitcoin price predictions or Ethereum market analysis, incorporating this Friday factor into your routine could mean the difference between reactive losses and proactive gains. As markets evolve, staying attuned to such rhythms, supported by verified analyst observations like Deutscher's, empowers traders to navigate cryptocurrency volatility with greater confidence.

Miles Deutscher

@milesdeutscher

Crypto analyst. Busy finding the next 100x.