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Crypto Majors Outperform Altcoins in 2025: Trade the Majors-Over-Alts Trend for Stronger Risk-Adjusted Returns | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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8/11/2025 2:31:54 AM

Crypto Majors Outperform Altcoins in 2025: Trade the Majors-Over-Alts Trend for Stronger Risk-Adjusted Returns

Crypto Majors Outperform Altcoins in 2025: Trade the Majors-Over-Alts Trend for Stronger Risk-Adjusted Returns

According to @adriannewman21, crypto majors are outperforming the broader altcoin market in the current cycle (source: @adriannewman21 on X, August 11, 2025). He notes that many altcoins are still sinking, unlike prior bull runs when broad alt exposure often produced gains (source: @adriannewman21 on X, August 11, 2025). He adds that randomly spreading capital across altcoins is not working now, urging investors to be selective and conviction-driven instead (source: @adriannewman21 on X, August 11, 2025). For traders, this points to a majors-over-alts tilt and a focus on relative-strength names rather than blanket alt exposure (source: @adriannewman21 on X, August 11, 2025).

Source

Analysis

In the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading, a notable shift is underway as highlighted by investor Adrian Newman on August 11, 2025. Drawing parallels to the Magnificent 7 stocks that have dominated the equity markets in recent years, major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are significantly outperforming the broader altcoin market. This trend marks a departure from previous bull cycles, where altcoins often surged alongside majors. Instead, many altcoins are experiencing continued declines, emphasizing the need for strategic investment rather than random speculation. Traders must now adopt informed views to capitalize on returns, focusing on fundamentals and market dynamics rather than hype-driven bets.

Crypto Majors Lead the Charge Amid Altcoin Struggles

The comparison to the MAG-7 underscores a maturing crypto market where blue-chip assets like BTC and ETH are attracting institutional flows and demonstrating resilience. According to Adrian Newman, this outperformance mirrors how tech giants such as Apple and Nvidia have outpaced broader indices. In trading terms, this suggests opportunities in major pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD, which have shown stronger support levels during market dips. For instance, historical data from past cycles indicates that during the 2021 bull run, altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) posted massive gains, but current sentiment reveals many alts trading below their yearly highs as of mid-2025. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, such as Bitcoin's hash rate stability and Ethereum's transaction volumes, which remain robust, signaling potential for upward momentum. This divergence creates trading setups where shorting underperforming alts against longing majors could yield profits, especially with increased volatility in pairs like SOL/BTC, which has seen alt ratios sinking over the past quarters.

Trading Strategies for Navigating the New Bull Cycle

Unlike previous cycles where throwing money at any token could result in outsized returns, the current environment demands a more discerning approach. Investors with clear views on macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate changes and regulatory developments, are better positioned. For example, correlating crypto majors with stock market leaders reveals cross-market opportunities; a rally in MAG-7 stocks often boosts BTC sentiment due to shared investor bases. Recent trading volumes on exchanges show BTC spot volumes exceeding $50 billion daily in peak sessions, far outpacing altcoin liquidity. Support levels for BTC around $60,000 and ETH near $3,000 have held firm in recent tests, providing entry points for swing trades. On-chain data from sources like Glassnode highlights reduced altcoin whale activity, with many tokens seeing declining active addresses, which could signal further downside. Traders might consider dollar-cost averaging into majors while using technical indicators like RSI and moving averages to time altcoin dips for potential rebounds, but caution is advised as broader market corrections could exacerbate alt losses.

This shift also ties into AI-driven trading tools, where algorithms analyzing sentiment and volume can help identify outperforming assets. For AI tokens like Fetch.ai (FET) or Render (RNDR), which blend crypto with artificial intelligence, the underperformance against majors presents both risks and opportunities. Institutional flows into BTC ETFs, which have amassed billions in assets under management, further solidify majors' dominance, potentially drawing correlations to stock market inflows. Looking ahead, if global economic recovery accelerates, majors could break resistance levels, with BTC targeting $80,000 based on Fibonacci extensions from recent lows. However, altcoin traders face headwinds from reduced retail participation, as evidenced by lower trading volumes in pairs like ADA/USDT, down 30% year-over-year. To optimize returns, focus on portfolio allocation with 70% in majors and selective alt exposure, leveraging tools like stop-loss orders to manage risks in this selective bull market.

Broader Market Implications and Cross-Asset Correlations

From a broader perspective, this major-alt divergence influences overall crypto market sentiment, with total market cap increasingly concentrated in top assets. Trading insights suggest watching for correlations with stock indices; a downturn in MAG-7 could pressure BTC, creating short-term selling opportunities. Conversely, positive AI advancements in stocks like Microsoft might uplift related crypto tokens, offering arbitrage plays. On-chain metrics reveal Ethereum's gas fees stabilizing, supporting DeFi activity on majors while alt ecosystems struggle with user migration. For traders, this means prioritizing volume-backed moves, such as BTC's 24-hour changes often dictating alt directions. In summary, embracing an investor mindset with data-driven views is crucial for navigating this cycle, where random investments no longer guarantee success, but strategic positioning in outperforming majors does.

Adrian

@adriannewman21

Intern @Newmangrp, @newmancapitalvc. @0xeorta. NBA trash talker. BlackRock my ex-daddy. I am in the culture, are you? Building in 2025.