Crypto Market Top Not In: 5 Technical Signals From Fundstrat's Mark Newton Support Ongoing Uptrend
According to PANews, Fundstrat analyst Mark Newton said on X that common technical indicators are being misused to call a crypto market top and outlined five reasons the uptrend remains intact, source: PANews; Mark Newton on X, 2025-11-02, x.com/MarkNewtonCMT/status/1984376764299133214. Newton stated the Elliott Wave structure shows no topping pattern, which argues against a finalized peak, source: Mark Newton on X, 2025-11-02, x.com/MarkNewtonCMT/status/1984376764299133214. He added the monthly DeMark exhaustion signal has not triggered, removing a key top confirmation often used by systematic traders, source: Mark Newton on X, 2025-11-02, x.com/MarkNewtonCMT/status/1984376764299133214. Newton noted MACD turning negative during range-bound action is not decisive without a confirmed sharp five-wave decline from the highs, reducing the weight of the recent bearish cross, source: Mark Newton on X, 2025-11-02, x.com/MarkNewtonCMT/status/1984376764299133214. He emphasized the medium-term trend since 2022 still shows higher highs and higher lows, keeping trend-following bias intact, source: Mark Newton on X, 2025-11-02, x.com/MarkNewtonCMT/status/1984376764299133214. Finally, Newton said market sentiment is far from levels that typically accompany major crypto tops, suggesting positioning and funding dynamics have not reached blow-off extremes, source: Mark Newton on X, 2025-11-02, x.com/MarkNewtonCMT/status/1984376764299133214.
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In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading, recent insights from fund analyst Mark Newton under Tom Lee's guidance are sparking renewed optimism among traders. Newton, in a detailed post, counters the narrative that the crypto market has reached its peak by outlining five compelling technical and sentiment-based reasons. This analysis comes at a crucial time when Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH) are navigating periods of consolidation, offering traders potential entry points for long-term positions. By dissecting these factors, we can better understand why the bull run might still have legs, emphasizing key trading indicators and market dynamics that savvy investors should monitor closely.
Understanding Elliott Wave and DeMark Signals in Crypto Trading
One of the primary arguments Newton presents is the absence of topping signals in the Elliott Wave structure, a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to predict market cycles based on investor psychology. In the context of BTC trading, Elliott Wave theory suggests that the current wave patterns are indicative of ongoing upward momentum rather than an impending reversal. For instance, without a clear five-wave decline from recent highs, traders should view any pullbacks as healthy corrections rather than the end of the trend. Complementing this, Newton highlights that monthly DeMark signals, which often signal exhaustion points in trends, have yet to materialize. These indicators are particularly useful for timing entries and exits in volatile assets like ETH or altcoins. Traders focusing on these metrics might consider support levels around BTC's recent lows, such as the $60,000 mark seen in mid-2023, as potential buying zones if sentiment remains positive. This technical foundation underscores why premature calls for a market top could lead to missed opportunities in cross-market plays, including correlations with stock indices like the S&P 500, where crypto often mirrors tech sector performance.
MACD Indicators and Trend Continuity Amid Consolidation
Diving deeper into momentum indicators, Newton addresses the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) turning negative during periods of sideways trading, a common occurrence that doesn't necessarily spell doom for the bull market. In crypto trading scenarios, such as the recent BTC consolidation phase, this weakening momentum is often a byproduct of reduced volatility rather than a confirmed downtrend. Without accompanying wave indicators confirming a sharp decline, MACD crossovers lose their predictive power, advising traders to avoid panic selling. Furthermore, the intermediate trend remains unbroken since 2022, with BTC and ETH consistently forming higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of a healthy uptrend. This resilience suggests that institutional flows, particularly from funds like those managed by Tom Lee, could continue driving prices higher. For stock market enthusiasts, this crypto strength might signal broader risk-on sentiment, potentially boosting tech stocks and AI-related equities that intersect with blockchain innovations. Traders should watch trading volumes on pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/BTC, where spikes could indicate renewed buying interest and validate these ongoing trends.
Market sentiment plays a pivotal role in Newton's thesis, as current levels are far from the euphoric highs that typically precede major crypto peaks. Unlike the frenzied retail participation seen in 2021, today's environment shows measured optimism, with on-chain metrics like active addresses and transaction volumes for BTC hovering at sustainable levels rather than speculative extremes. This tempered enthusiasm reduces the risk of a sudden capitulation, providing a window for strategic accumulation. From a trading perspective, this implies focusing on resistance levels, such as BTC's all-time high near $73,000 from earlier this year, as breakout targets. Institutional investors might leverage this analysis to hedge stock portfolios with crypto exposure, especially amid uncertainties in global markets. Overall, Newton's points encourage a data-driven approach, reminding traders to integrate multiple indicators for robust strategies rather than relying on isolated signals.
To wrap up this trading-focused breakdown, these insights from Mark Newton highlight actionable opportunities in the crypto space. By prioritizing Elliott Wave confirmations, DeMark timings, MACD contexts, trend integrity, and sentiment gauges, traders can navigate the market with greater confidence. While no real-time data is available here, historical patterns suggest that such analyses often precede rallies, as seen in BTC's recovery phases post-2022 lows. For those eyeing crossovers with stock markets, correlations with AI-driven firms could amplify gains, but always pair this with risk management tools like stop-loss orders. Staying informed on these technical nuances not only optimizes SEO-friendly searches for 'crypto market top signals' but also equips traders for long-term success in this dynamic arena.
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