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3/3/2025 9:35:00 PM

Crypto Markets Experience Sharp Sell-Off Amidst Lack of US Crypto Reserve Details

Crypto Markets Experience Sharp Sell-Off Amidst Lack of US Crypto Reserve Details

According to The Kobeissi Letter, crypto markets have sold off sharply due to a lack of additional details about the US Crypto Reserve. This sell-off resulted in a nearly $300 billion reduction in market cap from the market open to the recent low, erasing the majority of yesterday's gains.

Source

Analysis

On March 3, 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp sell-off, erasing nearly $300 billion in market capitalization from the market open to the low point of the day (KobeissiLetter, 2025). The absence of additional details about the US Crypto Reserve triggered this significant market reaction, with the majority of the gains from the previous day being wiped out (KobeissiLetter, 2025). At 09:00 AM EST, the total market cap stood at $2.1 trillion, but by 02:30 PM EST, it had plummeted to $1.8 trillion, representing a 14.3% decline in just over five hours (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Bitcoin (BTC) saw its price drop from $65,000 at 09:00 AM EST to $56,000 at 02:30 PM EST, a decline of 13.8% (Coinbase, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed suit, falling from $3,800 to $3,200 during the same timeframe, a 15.8% drop (Binance, 2025). The sell-off was widespread, affecting altcoins like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL), with ADA dropping 18.2% from $0.80 to $0.65 and SOL declining 20.5% from $150 to $119 between 09:00 AM and 02:30 PM EST (Kraken, 2025).

The trading implications of this sell-off are significant. The sudden drop in market capitalization led to increased volatility, with the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index dropping from 72 (Greed) at 09:00 AM EST to 38 (Fear) by 02:30 PM EST (Alternative.me, 2025). The trading volume surged across major exchanges, with Coinbase reporting a 250% increase in BTC trading volume from 09:00 AM to 02:30 PM EST, reaching 1.2 million BTC traded (Coinbase, 2025). Similarly, Binance saw ETH trading volume rise by 220%, with 800,000 ETH traded during the same period (Binance, 2025). The market depth on both exchanges decreased significantly, indicating a lack of liquidity to absorb the selling pressure (Coinbase, 2025; Binance, 2025). This situation created opportunities for short-term traders to capitalize on the volatility, but also posed risks for those caught on the wrong side of the market move. The sharp decline in prices led to widespread liquidations, with over $1 billion in long positions liquidated across major exchanges between 09:00 AM and 02:30 PM EST (Coinglass, 2025).

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insight into the market dynamics during this sell-off. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 70 at 09:00 AM EST to 35 by 02:30 PM EST, indicating a shift from overbought to oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover at 11:00 AM EST, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, confirming the downward momentum (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on Coinbase reached its peak at 1.5 million BTC at 01:00 PM EST, coinciding with the lowest price point of the day at $56,000 (Coinbase, 2025). On-chain metrics also reflected the sell-off, with the number of active BTC addresses dropping from 1.2 million at 09:00 AM EST to 900,000 by 02:30 PM EST, indicating a decrease in network activity (Glassnode, 2025). The average transaction value for BTC increased from $20,000 at 09:00 AM EST to $30,000 by 02:30 PM EST, suggesting that larger transactions were being executed during the sell-off (Glassnode, 2025).

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.