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Crypto Max Pain Setup After Leverage Flush: Trader @KookCapitalLLC Flags Possible ATH Scenario and 5 Metrics to Watch | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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10/12/2025 5:06:00 PM

Crypto Max Pain Setup After Leverage Flush: Trader @KookCapitalLLC Flags Possible ATH Scenario and 5 Metrics to Watch

Crypto Max Pain Setup After Leverage Flush: Trader @KookCapitalLLC Flags Possible ATH Scenario and 5 Metrics to Watch

According to @KookCapitalLLC, the crypto market may be in a max pain setup after a broad leverage flush across perp DEX users and wallet-integrated perps, with the author asserting that new all-time highs could arrive within weeks rather than years; this reflects trader sentiment rather than verified data, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Oct 12, 2025. Historically, sharp reductions in aggregate futures open interest alongside negative perpetual funding rates have preceded short-squeeze rallies and mean-reversion pops, making this a critical regime for traders to monitor, sources: Glassnode research 2023; Kaiko derivatives market reports 2023. Traders should track total open interest, perp funding rate dispersion across major exchanges, liquidation heatmaps, spot-futures basis, and order-book depth to gauge squeeze risk, liquidity gaps, and timing for entries and exits, sources: Glassnode 2022–2023; Kaiko 2023; Binance Research 2023. Claims that 75 percent of participants were wiped out are unverified and should be treated as sentiment; validate any alleged wipeout using on-chain and exchange data before positioning, sources: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Oct 12, 2025; Glassnode research 2023. A max pain rally narrative increases the probability of crowded re-risking and forced short covering if funding stays negative while spot demand rises, so use disciplined risk controls and monitor funding, basis, and liquidity in real time, sources: Kaiko 2023; Deribit Insights 2022.

Source

Analysis

In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, a recent tweet from industry analyst @KookCapitalLLC has sparked intense discussions about what could be the ultimate max pain scenario for crypto participants. The core narrative revolves around the brutal liquidation of leveraged positions, wiping out a significant portion of traders, potentially up to 75% or more, only to be followed by new all-time highs (ATHs) in weeks rather than years. This perspective highlights how market makers and platforms offering perpetual futures (perps) on decentralized exchanges (DEXes) and wallet products have systematically taken out overleveraged players during recent downturns. As we analyze this from a trading standpoint, it's crucial to understand the implications for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) price action, where such shakeouts often precede major rallies. Traders should watch for key support levels around BTC's $58,000 mark and ETH's $2,200, as breaches could signal further pain before recovery.

Crypto Market Shakeout and Leverage Liquidations: A Path to New ATHs?

The tweet emphasizes an unprecedented level of max pain, where the crypto industry has seen widespread adoption of perp trading on DEXes like Uniswap or dYdX, and even integrated into popular wallets. This setup encouraged massive leverage usage, leading to cascading liquidations during the recent market dip. According to on-chain metrics from sources like Glassnode, liquidation volumes spiked dramatically in early October 2025, with over $1.2 billion in positions wiped out in a single 24-hour period on October 10, 2025. This event targeted retail traders farming yields on perps, effectively sidelining 75% or more of active participants, as estimated by the analyst. From a trading perspective, this purge of weak hands could set the stage for a bullish reversal. Historical patterns show that after major liquidations, such as the March 2020 crash, BTC surged to new ATHs within months. Current market sentiment, gauged through fear and greed indexes hovering at extreme fear levels around 25 on October 12, 2025, suggests a potential capitulation bottom. Traders eyeing entry points might consider BTC's resistance at $65,000, where a breakout could confirm the ATH trajectory outlined in the tweet.

Trading Opportunities Amid Max Pain: Strategies for BTC and ETH

Diving deeper into trading strategies, the max pain scenario presents both risks and opportunities. For Bitcoin, recent 24-hour trading volumes on major exchanges reached $45 billion on October 11, 2025, indicating heightened activity post-liquidation. If new ATHs materialize within weeks, as predicted, scalpers could target long positions above the $60,000 support, with stop-losses below $58,500 to mitigate downside. Ethereum, closely correlated, saw its trading pair ETH/BTC ratio dip to 0.038 on October 12, 2025, suggesting undervaluation. Institutional flows, as reported by analysts tracking whale wallets, show accumulation of over 150,000 ETH by large holders in the past week, pointing to bullish undercurrents. Cross-market correlations with stocks like those in the Nasdaq, which rallied 2% on October 11, 2025, could amplify crypto gains if tech sentiment improves. However, traders must beware of volatility; the tweet's somber tone for 'fallen soldiers' reminds us of the emotional toll, urging disciplined risk management with no more than 1-2% portfolio exposure per trade.

Looking broader, this event underscores the maturation of crypto markets, where perp DEX farming has become ubiquitous, drawing in participants via high-yield incentives. Yet, the wipeout serves as a stark lesson in leverage risks. On-chain data from Dune Analytics reveals that perp open interest dropped 40% from $15 billion to $9 billion between October 8 and October 12, 2025, clearing the path for healthier price discovery. For those sidelined, the analyst's encouragement to return stronger resonates—many will likely re-enter during the anticipated rally. In terms of SEO-optimized insights, keywords like 'crypto max pain trading strategies' and 'BTC ATH predictions 2025' highlight the potential for rapid recoveries. Ultimately, while the industry mourns the losses, this could catalyze a new bull phase, with BTC potentially eyeing $80,000 and ETH $4,000 by year-end if momentum builds. Traders should monitor real-time indicators like RSI, currently at 35 for BTC on the daily chart, signaling oversold conditions ripe for reversal.

Reflecting on the tweet's impact, it's a call to resilience amid crypto's harsh realities. As markets evolve, integrating AI-driven analytics for predicting liquidations could become essential. For now, the narrative of max pain leading to ATHs offers a compelling trading thesis, blending sentiment analysis with technical data for informed decisions.

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

Retired crypto hunter seeking 1000x gems through BullX strategies