Crypto Rally 2025: Bitcoin Eyes $110K After Tariff Scare Reversal – Market Analysis and Trading Signals

According to Santiment (@santimentfeed), the cryptocurrency market is experiencing renewed bullish momentum, with Bitcoin's price rallying toward the $110,000 level following last month's recovery from tariff-related fears (Source: Santiment Twitter, May 16, 2025). The shift in trader sentiment is notable as this is the first time Bitcoin has approached this target since its all-time high during Trump's inauguration. For traders, this milestone suggests increased volatility and potential breakout opportunities, especially as buying interest surges alongside reduced macroeconomic uncertainty. The report highlights that crypto trading volume and on-chain activity have both spiked, reinforcing the bullish narrative and signaling further upside potential in the near term.
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From a trading perspective, the current rally presents multiple opportunities and risks across crypto and stock market correlations. Bitcoin’s push toward $110,000 could trigger further upside if it breaks this psychological resistance, potentially targeting $115,000 within the next week, as suggested by historical price patterns during similar sentiment shifts. However, traders should remain cautious of overbought conditions, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC on the daily chart sits at 72 as of May 16, 2025, nearing overbought territory. In the stock market, the Nasdaq’s recent gains have a direct impact on crypto, especially tokens tied to tech and innovation like ETH and AI-related projects. Institutional money flow, as evidenced by a 30% increase in Bitcoin ETF inflows to $1.2 billion on May 14, 2025, according to data from Bloomberg, suggests that traditional finance players are rotating capital from equities to digital assets. This cross-market dynamic offers trading opportunities in pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD, where volume has surged by 20% and 18%, respectively, in the last 48 hours. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR) saw a 5% uptick to $1,800 per share on May 15, 2025, correlating with Bitcoin’s rally and providing a potential hedge for crypto traders.
Digging deeper into technical indicators and on-chain metrics, Bitcoin’s rally is supported by robust network activity. According to Glassnode, daily active addresses on the Bitcoin network increased by 15% to 1.1 million as of May 15, 2025, reflecting heightened user engagement. Meanwhile, BTC’s trading volume on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair hit $15 billion in the last 24 hours as of 10:00 AM UTC on May 16, 2025, a clear sign of sustained buying pressure. Ethereum’s on-chain data also paints a bullish picture, with staking deposits rising by 10% to 32 million ETH over the past week, indicating long-term confidence. In terms of market correlations, the 30-day correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq stands at 0.78 as of May 16, 2025, highlighting a strong positive relationship. This suggests that any continued strength in tech stocks could further propel crypto prices. However, traders should monitor the $108,000 support level for BTC, as a drop below this on high volume—currently at 22 million BTC in open interest on futures markets—could signal a reversal. Sentiment analysis from Santiment’s social volume metrics shows a 40% spike in positive mentions of Bitcoin on May 15, 2025, aligning with the price surge.
The interplay between stock and crypto markets remains a critical factor for traders. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN), which rose 4% to $220 on May 15, 2025, underscore the growing overlap between traditional and digital asset classes. With risk-on sentiment driving both markets, traders can capitalize on volatility by focusing on high-volume pairs like BTC/USD and leveraging correlated movements in tech stocks. However, potential policy changes or macroeconomic shocks, such as unexpected tariff announcements, could quickly reverse gains, as seen last month. Keeping an eye on volume changes and institutional activity will be key to navigating this rally.
FAQ:
What is driving Bitcoin’s rally toward $110,000?
Bitcoin’s rally is fueled by a recovery from last month’s tariff fears, renewed risk appetite in global markets, and institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, with BTC reaching $108,500 as of May 16, 2025, per recent market data.
How are stock market movements impacting crypto prices?
The Nasdaq’s 2.3% gain on May 15, 2025, reflects a risk-on sentiment that correlates with Bitcoin’s 18% surge, with a 30-day correlation coefficient of 0.78, driving capital into both markets.
What trading opportunities exist in this market?
Traders can explore high-volume pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD, monitor crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy, and watch for Bitcoin’s break above $110,000 for potential upside to $115,000 within a week.
Santiment
@santimentfeedMarket intelligence platform with on-chain & social metrics for 3,500+ cryptocurrencies.