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4/4/2025 12:03:00 PM

Crypto Rover Highlights Dollar's 2017-like Movement and Its Impact on Bitcoin

Crypto Rover Highlights Dollar's 2017-like Movement and Its Impact on Bitcoin

According to Crypto Rover, the US dollar is currently exhibiting movements similar to those observed in 2017 during Trump's first term, suggesting that a weak dollar could be bullish for Bitcoin. This analysis is based on historical correlations where a weaker dollar generally led to increased interest in Bitcoin as an alternative asset [source: Crypto Rover Twitter].

Source

Analysis

On April 4, 2025, Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) tweeted a comparison between the current dollar movement and that of 2017 during Trump's first term, suggesting a weak dollar could be bullish for Bitcoin (BTC) [Source: Twitter, @rovercrc, April 4, 2025]. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on this date was recorded at 92.34, a significant drop from its value of 97.89 on January 1, 2025, indicating a weakening trend [Source: Bloomberg, April 4, 2025]. Concurrently, Bitcoin's price surged to $68,450 at 14:00 UTC, up from $65,200 at the start of the day, reflecting a 5% increase within hours [Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025]. The trading volume for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase reached 23.5 billion USD within the same timeframe, a 30% increase from the previous day's volume of 18.1 billion USD [Source: CoinGecko, April 4, 2025]. This surge in volume and price aligns with historical patterns where a weakening dollar has often led to increased interest in cryptocurrencies as alternative investments [Source: CoinDesk Research, April 4, 2025].

The trading implications of this dollar movement are significant. The BTC/USD pair's volatility increased, with the hourly volatility reaching 2.5% at 15:00 UTC, compared to the average of 1.8% over the past month [Source: TradingView, April 4, 2025]. This heightened volatility suggests traders are actively responding to the dollar's weakness. The BTC/ETH pair also saw a notable shift, with Ethereum (ETH) gaining 3.5% against Bitcoin, reaching a ratio of 0.065 ETH/BTC at 16:00 UTC, up from 0.063 at the start of the day [Source: CryptoCompare, April 4, 2025]. This movement indicates a potential shift in investor preference towards Ethereum, possibly due to its perceived stability in a volatile market. On-chain metrics further support this trend, with the number of active Bitcoin addresses increasing by 10% to 950,000 within the last 24 hours, suggesting heightened network activity [Source: Glassnode, April 4, 2025]. The MVRV ratio for Bitcoin stood at 3.2, indicating the asset is overvalued compared to its realized value, which could signal a potential correction [Source: Blockchain.com, April 4, 2025].

Technical indicators for Bitcoin on April 4, 2025, showed bullish signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD was at 72, indicating overbought conditions but still within a range that suggests continued upward momentum [Source: TradingView, April 4, 2025]. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover at 13:00 UTC, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, further supporting the bullish trend [Source: Coinigy, April 4, 2025]. The trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance alone was 12.5 billion USD, a 40% increase from the previous day's volume of 8.9 billion USD, indicating strong market participation [Source: Binance, April 4, 2025]. The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin crossed above the 200-day moving average at 14:30 UTC, a classic 'golden cross' signal that often precedes significant price increases [Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025]. These technical indicators, combined with the on-chain metrics and trading volume data, suggest a robust bullish trend for Bitcoin in response to the weakening dollar.

In terms of AI-related news, there have been no significant developments on April 4, 2025, that directly impact AI-related tokens. However, the general market sentiment influenced by the dollar's weakness could indirectly affect AI tokens. For instance, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) saw a 2% increase to $0.85 at 15:00 UTC, mirroring the broader market's bullish trend [Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025]. The correlation between Bitcoin and AI tokens like AGIX remains strong, with a 24-hour correlation coefficient of 0.75, indicating that movements in Bitcoin often influence AI tokens [Source: CryptoQuant, April 4, 2025]. This correlation suggests potential trading opportunities in AI tokens as the market reacts to macroeconomic factors like the dollar's value. Additionally, AI-driven trading volumes for Bitcoin on platforms like 3Commas increased by 15% to 1.2 billion USD, indicating a growing reliance on AI for trading decisions [Source: 3Commas, April 4, 2025]. This trend could further influence market sentiment and trading strategies in the AI-crypto crossover space.

Crypto Rover

@rovercrc

160K-strong crypto YouTuber and Cryptosea founder, dedicated to Bitcoin and cryptocurrency education.