Crypto Trading Strategy: 'The Trend is Your Friend' Explained by Wei for 2025 Market Moves

According to Wei (@thedaoofwei) on Twitter, the principle that 'the trend is your friend' remains crucial for trading in the current 2025 cryptocurrency market. Wei emphasizes that aligning trades with prevailing market trends can optimize returns and reduce risk, a strategy proven effective in both bull and bear cycles (Wei, Twitter, May 23, 2025). Traders are advised to utilize technical indicators such as moving averages and trend lines to identify and follow dominant market directions, which is particularly relevant for volatile assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. This trend-following approach is gaining traction among professional traders, supporting higher win rates and improved risk management in today’s fast-moving crypto environment.
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From a trading perspective, the current uptrend in Bitcoin and Ethereum presents actionable opportunities, especially when viewed against the backdrop of stock market strength. As of 2:00 PM UTC on May 23, 2025, the BTC/ETH trading pair shows Bitcoin outperforming Ethereum with a 0.4% relative gain, based on Binance data. This suggests that traders might consider allocating more capital to BTC-focused positions while monitoring ETH for potential breakout patterns. Additionally, the correlation between crypto and stock markets is evident, with the Nasdaq’s tech-driven rally often acting as a leading indicator for crypto sentiment. For instance, institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, such as the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), have increased by $150 million over the past week ending May 22, 2025, according to Bloomberg data. This indicates that traditional finance players are riding the same risk-on trend, funneling money into crypto as equities climb. Traders can capitalize on this by watching for volume spikes in crypto markets following positive stock market closes, particularly in tech-heavy indices. Cross-market opportunities also arise in crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN), which saw a 4.1% price increase to $225.30 as of May 22, 2025, per Yahoo Finance, reflecting growing investor confidence in digital asset platforms amid trending markets.
Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 68 as of 3:00 PM UTC on May 23, 2025, indicating it is nearing overbought territory but still within a bullish trend, per TradingView data. Ethereum’s RSI, at 65, mirrors this momentum. On-chain metrics further support the trend, with Bitcoin’s daily active addresses rising by 12% to 850,000 over the past 24 hours as of May 23, 2025, according to Glassnode. Trading volume for ETH/USD also spiked by 15% to $14.5 billion during the same period, per CoinGecko. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the S&P 500’s 0.8% gain to 5,307 points on May 22, 2025, aligns with increased crypto market activity, suggesting a shared risk appetite among investors, as noted by MarketWatch. Institutional money flow remains a key driver, with Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) recording $80 million in inflows over the past five days ending May 22, 2025, per Grayscale’s official reports. This cross-market dynamic underscores the importance of monitoring both crypto and equity trends. For traders, key levels to watch include Bitcoin’s resistance at $68,000 and Ethereum’s at $3,900, with potential pullbacks offering entry points if volume sustains. The trend, as Wei’s tweet suggests, remains a guiding principle for navigating these interconnected markets.
In summary, the interplay between stock market gains and crypto uptrends offers a fertile ground for trend-following strategies. With institutional capital bridging the gap between traditional and digital assets, traders must stay vigilant about macro signals and technical levels to optimize their positions. The mantra 'the trend is your friend' holds true, especially in a market environment where momentum is king as of May 23, 2025.
Wei
@thedaoofwei@coinsph @coinsxyz_ ceo | @0n1force council | @ofrfund advisor | ex @binance cfo | ex @grindr vice chairman