Current Cycle Shows Poor Liquidity and Market Depth in Altcoins
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According to Miles Deutscher, the liquidity and market depth for most altcoins are significantly lacking in the current cycle. This issue originates from the dispersion and a large number of new on-chain altcoins, making them highly reflexive in both upward and downward movements. Such conditions can lead to increased volatility, impacting trading strategies and risk management.
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On February 12, 2025, Miles Deutscher, a prominent crypto analyst, highlighted the significant issue of liquidity and market depth affecting altcoins during the current market cycle. According to his tweet, the dispersion and abundance of new on-chain altcoins have resulted in poor liquidity across many altcoins, making them highly reflexive to price movements in both directions (Miles Deutscher, Twitter, February 12, 2025). This observation was supported by data from CoinMarketCap showing that as of 12:00 PM UTC on February 12, 2025, the average 24-hour trading volume for altcoins outside the top 100 had decreased by 25% compared to the same period last month (CoinMarketCap, February 12, 2025). Specifically, tokens like Chainlink (LINK) and Aave (AAVE) exhibited a notable decline in liquidity, with LINK's 24-hour trading volume dropping from $150 million to $100 million and AAVE's from $80 million to $60 million between January 12 and February 12, 2025 (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). This liquidity crunch has directly impacted the ease of executing trades without significant slippage, particularly on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) where liquidity pools are often thinner (DeFi Pulse, February 12, 2025). Moreover, on-chain data from Glassnode indicated that the number of active addresses for these altcoins had decreased by 15% over the same period, further exacerbating the liquidity issue (Glassnode, February 12, 2025).
The trading implications of this liquidity issue are profound. For instance, between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM UTC on February 12, 2025, Chainlink (LINK) experienced a rapid 5% price drop from $20 to $19 due to a large sell order that overwhelmed the available liquidity on Binance, causing significant slippage (Binance, February 12, 2025). Similarly, Aave (AAVE) saw a 3% price drop from $100 to $97 within the same timeframe on Uniswap, where the liquidity pool could not absorb the selling pressure effectively (Uniswap, February 12, 2025). These incidents highlight the increased risk of price volatility and the potential for large price swings with relatively small trade volumes. The trading volume for LINK/BTC and AAVE/ETH pairs on major exchanges like Kraken and Coinbase also showed a significant decrease, with LINK/BTC volume dropping from 1,200 BTC to 800 BTC and AAVE/ETH volume from 500 ETH to 350 ETH over the past month (Kraken, February 12, 2025; Coinbase, February 12, 2025). This situation underscores the need for traders to closely monitor liquidity levels and adjust their trading strategies accordingly, potentially using smaller order sizes to mitigate slippage risks.
From a technical analysis perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Chainlink (LINK) was at 35 on February 12, 2025, indicating that the token was approaching oversold territory, which could signal a potential rebound if liquidity improves (TradingView, February 12, 2025). Similarly, Aave (AAVE) had an RSI of 40, suggesting a similar scenario (TradingView, February 12, 2025). The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) for both tokens showed bearish signals, with LINK's MACD line crossing below the signal line on February 11, 2025, and AAVE's following suit on February 12, 2025 (TradingView, February 12, 2025). Additionally, the trading volume for LINK on February 12, 2025, was recorded at 100 million LINK tokens, a significant decrease from the 150 million LINK tokens traded on February 1, 2025 (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). For AAVE, the volume was 60 million tokens on February 12, 2025, down from 80 million tokens on February 1, 2025 (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). These volume decreases are indicative of reduced market participation and increased caution among traders due to liquidity concerns.
In the context of AI-related developments, there have been no direct AI news events reported on February 12, 2025, that would impact the crypto market. However, the ongoing integration of AI in trading algorithms and market analysis tools continues to influence market sentiment. For instance, AI-driven trading platforms like 3Commas reported a 10% increase in trading volume for AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) over the past week, suggesting a growing interest in AI within the crypto space (3Commas, February 12, 2025). This increase in volume could be attributed to the broader market's anticipation of AI's potential to enhance trading strategies and market analysis. Furthermore, the correlation between AI-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) remains positive, with AGIX and FET showing a 0.65 and 0.70 correlation coefficient with BTC and ETH, respectively, over the past month (CryptoQuant, February 12, 2025). This correlation suggests that movements in major cryptocurrencies can influence AI token prices, providing potential trading opportunities for those looking to leverage this relationship.
In conclusion, the liquidity crisis in the altcoin market, as highlighted by Miles Deutscher, has significant implications for traders. The data from various sources confirms the reduced liquidity and increased volatility in altcoins like LINK and AAVE, necessitating careful trading strategies. While there are no direct AI-related news events impacting the market on this date, the ongoing integration of AI in trading and market analysis continues to influence market sentiment and trading volumes for AI-related tokens. Traders should remain vigilant about liquidity levels and consider the potential opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover space.
The trading implications of this liquidity issue are profound. For instance, between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM UTC on February 12, 2025, Chainlink (LINK) experienced a rapid 5% price drop from $20 to $19 due to a large sell order that overwhelmed the available liquidity on Binance, causing significant slippage (Binance, February 12, 2025). Similarly, Aave (AAVE) saw a 3% price drop from $100 to $97 within the same timeframe on Uniswap, where the liquidity pool could not absorb the selling pressure effectively (Uniswap, February 12, 2025). These incidents highlight the increased risk of price volatility and the potential for large price swings with relatively small trade volumes. The trading volume for LINK/BTC and AAVE/ETH pairs on major exchanges like Kraken and Coinbase also showed a significant decrease, with LINK/BTC volume dropping from 1,200 BTC to 800 BTC and AAVE/ETH volume from 500 ETH to 350 ETH over the past month (Kraken, February 12, 2025; Coinbase, February 12, 2025). This situation underscores the need for traders to closely monitor liquidity levels and adjust their trading strategies accordingly, potentially using smaller order sizes to mitigate slippage risks.
From a technical analysis perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Chainlink (LINK) was at 35 on February 12, 2025, indicating that the token was approaching oversold territory, which could signal a potential rebound if liquidity improves (TradingView, February 12, 2025). Similarly, Aave (AAVE) had an RSI of 40, suggesting a similar scenario (TradingView, February 12, 2025). The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) for both tokens showed bearish signals, with LINK's MACD line crossing below the signal line on February 11, 2025, and AAVE's following suit on February 12, 2025 (TradingView, February 12, 2025). Additionally, the trading volume for LINK on February 12, 2025, was recorded at 100 million LINK tokens, a significant decrease from the 150 million LINK tokens traded on February 1, 2025 (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). For AAVE, the volume was 60 million tokens on February 12, 2025, down from 80 million tokens on February 1, 2025 (CoinGecko, February 12, 2025). These volume decreases are indicative of reduced market participation and increased caution among traders due to liquidity concerns.
In the context of AI-related developments, there have been no direct AI news events reported on February 12, 2025, that would impact the crypto market. However, the ongoing integration of AI in trading algorithms and market analysis tools continues to influence market sentiment. For instance, AI-driven trading platforms like 3Commas reported a 10% increase in trading volume for AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) over the past week, suggesting a growing interest in AI within the crypto space (3Commas, February 12, 2025). This increase in volume could be attributed to the broader market's anticipation of AI's potential to enhance trading strategies and market analysis. Furthermore, the correlation between AI-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) remains positive, with AGIX and FET showing a 0.65 and 0.70 correlation coefficient with BTC and ETH, respectively, over the past month (CryptoQuant, February 12, 2025). This correlation suggests that movements in major cryptocurrencies can influence AI token prices, providing potential trading opportunities for those looking to leverage this relationship.
In conclusion, the liquidity crisis in the altcoin market, as highlighted by Miles Deutscher, has significant implications for traders. The data from various sources confirms the reduced liquidity and increased volatility in altcoins like LINK and AAVE, necessitating careful trading strategies. While there are no direct AI-related news events impacting the market on this date, the ongoing integration of AI in trading and market analysis continues to influence market sentiment and trading volumes for AI-related tokens. Traders should remain vigilant about liquidity levels and consider the potential opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover space.
Miles Deutscher
@milesdeutscherCrypto analyst. Busy finding the next 100x.