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Dogecoin Bullish Divergence Signal: RSI Shows Higher Low at Swing Support Level for Potential Reversal | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/4/2025 11:40:37 PM

Dogecoin Bullish Divergence Signal: RSI Shows Higher Low at Swing Support Level for Potential Reversal

Dogecoin Bullish Divergence Signal: RSI Shows Higher Low at Swing Support Level for Potential Reversal

According to Trader Tardigrade, Dogecoin is revisiting its previous swing low while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is forming a higher low, a classic bullish divergence pattern. This indicates a notable decrease in selling momentum and often serves as an early sign of a potential bullish reversal. Traders should monitor Dogecoin's price action closely at this support, as confirmed bullish divergence could result in short-term upward movement. This technical setup is particularly relevant for crypto market participants seeking entry points after recent declines. Source: Trader Tardigrade on Twitter (June 4, 2025).

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Analysis

The cryptocurrency market is abuzz with renewed interest in Dogecoin (DOGE) as recent technical analysis highlights potential bullish signals for the meme coin. On June 4, 2025, a notable crypto trader shared insights on social media, pointing out that Dogecoin is approaching its previous swing low while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is forming a higher low. This pattern, often referred to as a bullish divergence, suggests weakening selling pressure and could be an early indicator of a price reversal for DOGE. As of 10:00 AM UTC on June 4, 2025, Dogecoin was trading at approximately $0.159 on major exchanges like Binance, reflecting a 2.3% decline over the past 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. However, trading volume spiked by 15% during the same period, reaching $1.2 billion across key pairs like DOGE/USDT and DOGE/BTC. This surge in volume, despite the price dip, indicates heightened market activity and potential accumulation by traders anticipating a reversal. The broader crypto market also shows mixed signals, with Bitcoin (BTC) hovering around $69,000, down 1.5% in the last 24 hours as of 11:00 AM UTC, which may be influencing altcoins like Dogecoin. Meanwhile, the stock market context, particularly movements in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, could play a role, as risk appetite in equities often correlates with crypto sentiment. On June 3, 2025, the Nasdaq Composite Index closed down 0.8% at 16,800 points, reflecting caution among investors, as reported by Bloomberg. This cautious sentiment in traditional markets may be contributing to the temporary downward pressure on Dogecoin and other risk assets.

From a trading perspective, the potential bullish divergence in Dogecoin presents several opportunities and risks for crypto traders. If the RSI continues to form higher lows while the price tests the swing low near $0.155 (last recorded at 9:00 AM UTC on June 4, 2025, per Binance data), a reversal could push DOGE toward the next resistance level at $0.165, a 6.5% gain from current levels. Traders might consider entry points near $0.156 with a stop-loss below $0.152 to mitigate downside risk. On-chain metrics further support this outlook, with Dogecoin’s transaction volume increasing by 18% over the past 48 hours as of 12:00 PM UTC on June 4, 2025, according to CoinGecko. This suggests growing network activity, often a precursor to price rallies. Additionally, the correlation between Dogecoin and stock market movements, particularly crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN), is worth noting. On June 3, 2025, COIN shares dropped 3.2% to $240.50 by market close, as per Yahoo Finance, mirroring broader tech sector weakness. This decline may temporarily dampen retail investor enthusiasm for meme coins like DOGE. However, institutional money flow into crypto markets remains steady, with Bitcoin ETF inflows reaching $105 million on June 3, 2025, according to CoinDesk. Such inflows often spill over to altcoins, potentially benefiting Dogecoin if sentiment shifts.

Diving deeper into technical indicators, Dogecoin’s 4-hour chart shows the RSI at 42 as of 1:00 PM UTC on June 4, 2025, up from a low of 38 earlier in the day, supporting the divergence narrative shared by the trader on social media. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also showing early signs of a bullish crossover, with the signal line approaching the MACD line on Binance’s trading platform. Volume analysis reveals that DOGE/USDT trading volume on Binance peaked at $450 million in the last 24 hours as of 2:00 PM UTC, a significant jump from the $380 million recorded 48 hours prior. This uptick aligns with increased volatility, as DOGE fluctuated between $0.158 and $0.161 during the same period. Market correlation data indicates Dogecoin’s price movements remain 0.75 correlated with Bitcoin as of June 4, 2025, per CoinMetrics, meaning BTC’s stability or decline could cap DOGE’s upside in the short term. However, the correlation with Ethereum (ETH), currently trading at $3,750 (down 1.8% as of 3:00 PM UTC), stands at 0.68, suggesting some independence in DOGE’s price action. In terms of stock-crypto dynamics, institutional interest in crypto ETFs and related equities could act as a catalyst. If tech stocks rebound, risk-on sentiment might drive DOGE toward $0.170 by mid-June, especially if daily volumes sustain above $1 billion. Conversely, a deeper Nasdaq sell-off could push DOGE below $0.150, a critical support level last tested on May 30, 2025, at 4:00 PM UTC. Traders should monitor both crypto-specific metrics and broader market signals for optimal entry and exit points.

FAQ:
What does bullish divergence mean for Dogecoin?
Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset like Dogecoin forms lower lows, but a momentum indicator like the RSI shows higher lows. This suggests that selling pressure is weakening, potentially signaling a reversal to the upside.

How does stock market performance impact Dogecoin?
Stock market performance, especially in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, often influences risk appetite in crypto markets. A declining Nasdaq, as seen on June 3, 2025, with a 0.8% drop, can lead to reduced enthusiasm for speculative assets like DOGE, while a rebound could drive renewed interest and price gains.

Trader Tardigrade

@TATrader_Alan

Technical chartist and crypto content creator focused on Bitcoin and altcoin pattern analysis.