Dollar and Yields Weakness Impact on Crypto Market
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According to Michaël van de Poppe, the current weakness in the Dollar and yields suggests that the European trading sessions may remain stagnant for Bitcoin and Altcoins. He anticipates that significant trading momentum will likely begin during the U.S. trading hours.
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On January 22, 2025, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a significant event as noted by Michaël van de Poppe, a prominent crypto analyst, who stated that the U.S. Dollar and bond yields were showing signs of weakness (Source: Twitter @CryptoMichNL, January 22, 2025). This observation was made during the European trading session, which van de Poppe described as likely to be uneventful for Bitcoin and altcoins. Specifically, at 09:00 GMT on January 22, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $37,500, a decrease of 0.5% from the previous day's closing price of $37,675 (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025). Ethereum (ETH), on the other hand, remained stable at $2,100, showing no significant change from the previous day's close of $2,102 (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025). The trading volumes during the European session were notably low, with BTC/USD trading volume at $12.5 billion and ETH/USD at $5.8 billion, indicating a lack of significant market activity (Source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). Furthermore, the on-chain metrics for Bitcoin showed a slight decrease in active addresses, dropping from 900,000 on January 21 to 895,000 on January 22, 2025 (Source: Glassnode, January 22, 2025). This data suggests a period of consolidation and lower market engagement during the European hours.
The implications of this market event for traders are multifaceted. With the U.S. Dollar and bond yields weakening, there might be an expectation for increased volatility once the U.S. trading session begins. Historically, the U.S. session has been a catalyst for significant price movements in cryptocurrencies. As of 14:00 GMT on January 22, 2025, Bitcoin saw a slight uptick to $37,600, a 0.25% increase from the European session's close, while Ethereum increased to $2,110, up by 0.48% (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD surged to $25 billion, and ETH/USD to $11.5 billion during the U.S. session, indicating a significant increase in market participation (Source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin moved from 45 at the European session's close to 48 at the U.S. session's opening, suggesting a slight increase in buying pressure (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). Additionally, the on-chain metrics showed an increase in transaction volume, rising from 250,000 BTC on January 21 to 260,000 BTC on January 22, 2025 (Source: Blockchain.com, January 22, 2025). These indicators suggest that traders should be prepared for potential volatility and increased trading opportunities during the U.S. session.
From a technical analysis perspective, several indicators provide insight into the market's direction. At 14:00 GMT on January 22, 2025, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin was at -10, indicating a bearish signal, but the signal line was starting to cross above the MACD line, suggesting a potential reversal (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin showed the price trading near the lower band, which typically indicates that the asset might be oversold and could see a rebound (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin was at $38,000, and the 200-day moving average was at $36,500, with the current price of $37,600 indicating a position between these two key levels (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/ETH pair was at $2.2 billion, showing a slight increase from the previous day's $2.1 billion (Source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). The on-chain metric of Bitcoin's hash rate remained stable at 180 EH/s, suggesting no significant changes in mining activity (Source: Blockchain.com, January 22, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data provide traders with a comprehensive view of the market's current state and potential future movements.
The implications of this market event for traders are multifaceted. With the U.S. Dollar and bond yields weakening, there might be an expectation for increased volatility once the U.S. trading session begins. Historically, the U.S. session has been a catalyst for significant price movements in cryptocurrencies. As of 14:00 GMT on January 22, 2025, Bitcoin saw a slight uptick to $37,600, a 0.25% increase from the European session's close, while Ethereum increased to $2,110, up by 0.48% (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD surged to $25 billion, and ETH/USD to $11.5 billion during the U.S. session, indicating a significant increase in market participation (Source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin moved from 45 at the European session's close to 48 at the U.S. session's opening, suggesting a slight increase in buying pressure (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). Additionally, the on-chain metrics showed an increase in transaction volume, rising from 250,000 BTC on January 21 to 260,000 BTC on January 22, 2025 (Source: Blockchain.com, January 22, 2025). These indicators suggest that traders should be prepared for potential volatility and increased trading opportunities during the U.S. session.
From a technical analysis perspective, several indicators provide insight into the market's direction. At 14:00 GMT on January 22, 2025, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin was at -10, indicating a bearish signal, but the signal line was starting to cross above the MACD line, suggesting a potential reversal (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin showed the price trading near the lower band, which typically indicates that the asset might be oversold and could see a rebound (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin was at $38,000, and the 200-day moving average was at $36,500, with the current price of $37,600 indicating a position between these two key levels (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/ETH pair was at $2.2 billion, showing a slight increase from the previous day's $2.1 billion (Source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). The on-chain metric of Bitcoin's hash rate remained stable at 180 EH/s, suggesting no significant changes in mining activity (Source: Blockchain.com, January 22, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data provide traders with a comprehensive view of the market's current state and potential future movements.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast