According to the source, bettors are wagering on whether Satoshi Nakamoto will move any BTC in 2025, drawing trading focus to early-mined coins and potential event risk from on-chain movements. source: provided post Any movement of coins from 2009–2010 blocks would be immediately observable on the Bitcoin blockchain and typically flagged within minutes by on-chain monitoring services such as Whale Alert. source: Bitcoin blockchain public ledger; Whale Alert service Dormant-coin awakenings have coincided with fast BTC price swings before, notably when 50 BTC from 2009 moved on 2020-05-20 and BTC sold off intraday before stabilizing. source: Bitcoin blockchain records; Bitstamp BTCUSD historical data For trading, monitor on-chain alerts and early-mined address clusters, and track BTC funding rates on major futures venues and options implied volatility on Deribit to gauge rising event risk around any Satoshi-related headlines. source: Glassnode address clustering methodology; Binance Futures funding rate documentation; Deribit options data

According to Lookonchain, a Mt.Gox-era Bitcoin OG deposited 300 BTC worth $33.47M to Binance about two hours before the post amid a market crash, signaling exchange-bound supply (source: Lookonchain on X, Oct 12, 2025). According to Lookonchain, the same address originally withdrew 749 BTC from Mt.Gox 13 years ago when BTC was about $11, and it moved 159 BTC to a new wallet a year ago without selling (source: Lookonchain on X; Arkham Intelligence explorer address 1Q15bmVm8Z4HJy8KmaDKKjfsQQQaQmTawu). According to Lookonchain, today marks the address’s first-ever BTC sale, and the reported 300 BTC deposit implies an approximate per-BTC value of $111,567 based on the stated $33.47M figure (source: Lookonchain on X).

According to @lookonchain, three Bitcoin wallets likely belonging to the same whale and holding 955 BTC (about $108.8M) transferred 137.03 BTC (about $15.63M) after roughly 13 years of dormancy, with 5 BTC sent to a Kraken-linked wallet, and BTC was about $12 when these coins were last active (source: @lookonchain). According to @lookonchain, the on-chain reference is provided via BitInfoCharts for block 914221 and address 1Q397Q25WWdU3oYN6ZWwQ14SGJHTSCHx6d, corroborating the movement (source: bitinfocharts.com/bitcoin/block/914221/1Q397Q25WWdU3oYN6ZWwQ14SGJHTSCHx6d). For trading, monitoring the cited BitInfoCharts address and any additional exchange inflows linked in the @lookonchain post can help gauge near-term supply dynamics and potential sell-side liquidity (source: @lookonchain and the BitInfoCharts link).