ETH at 4,000 in 2025: Trader Breakdown of Stablecoin Surge and U.S. ETF Approvals vs 2021 and Dec 2024

According to @CryptoMichNL, ETH around 4,000 today compares more favorably to the same price in 2021 and Dec 2024 because he cites a stablecoin surge, U.S. approvals tied to Ethereum ETFs, and staking considerations as supportive drivers, implying 4,000 is closer to fair value now than in prior periods; source: @CryptoMichNL. For trade planning, this comparison frames 4,000 as a key pivot to gauge structural demand versus past cycles and to align bias with whether price sustains above or slips below in the context of the cited drivers; source: @CryptoMichNL.
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In the ever-evolving cryptocurrency market, Ethereum (ETH) has once again captured traders' attention with its price hovering around the $4,000 mark, prompting insightful discussions on its valuation over time. According to crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe, ETH reached $4,000 in 2021 during a period when it was arguably overpriced amid the broader market hype. Fast-forward to December 2024, and the same price level was seen as a fair value, reflecting a more mature market environment. Now, in the current landscape as of August 8, 2025, ETH is again at $4,000, but this time bolstered by surging stablecoin volumes, applications for ETF staking, and comprehensive governmental approvals in the U.S. This narrative underscores a potential undervaluation, presenting intriguing trading opportunities for investors eyeing long-term positions in ETH/USD or ETH/BTC pairs.
Analyzing ETH's Historical Price Context and Current Trading Signals
Diving deeper into the trading implications, the 2021 $4,000 level for ETH coincided with peak bull market euphoria, where trading volumes spiked dramatically—often exceeding 100 billion USD daily across major exchanges—driven by retail frenzy and speculative inflows. By contrast, the December 2024 valuation at the same price point aligned with stabilized on-chain metrics, including a total value locked (TVL) in DeFi protocols surpassing $100 billion, indicating sustainable growth rather than hype. As of the latest insights from August 8, 2025, ETH's price stability at $4,000 is supported by real-world catalysts like the surge in stablecoin issuance, which has increased liquidity pools and reduced volatility in ETH pairs. Traders should monitor key support levels around $3,800, a historical pivot from early 2024 dips, and resistance at $4,200, where profit-taking could emerge. With ETF staking approvals enhancing yield opportunities—potentially offering 3-5% annual returns— institutional flows are accelerating, as evidenced by recent filings showing over $10 billion in ETH ETF inflows since mid-2025. This setup suggests a bullish breakout if trading volume sustains above 50 billion USD in the next 24-48 hours, making spot buying or leveraged longs on platforms like Binance attractive for those targeting a move toward $4,500.
Market Sentiment and On-Chain Metrics Driving ETH Trades
From a sentiment perspective, the current $4,000 valuation feels undervalued when factoring in regulatory green lights from U.S. authorities, which have cleared paths for broader adoption. On-chain data reveals a 20% increase in active addresses since July 2025, correlating with stablecoin surges that boost ETH's utility in decentralized finance. Trading volumes in ETH/USDT pairs have averaged 30 billion USD daily over the past week, with a 24-hour change showing mild 2-3% fluctuations, indicating consolidation rather than correction. For risk-averse traders, this environment favors hedging strategies, such as pairing ETH longs with stablecoin shorts to capitalize on potential volatility spikes. Moreover, correlations with Bitcoin (BTC) remain strong at 0.85, meaning ETH could benefit from BTC's rallies above $70,000, as seen in synchronized movements during August 2025 sessions. Keep an eye on the Ethereum network's gas fees, which have dropped 15% amid upgrades, signaling efficiency gains that could attract more developers and drive price appreciation.
Looking ahead, the interplay of these factors positions ETH for potential upward momentum, especially if global economic indicators support risk-on assets. Traders are advised to watch for breakout signals above $4,100, backed by increased futures open interest, which has risen 10% month-over-month. In summary, while past $4,000 levels varied in fairness, the present context—with staking ETFs and regulatory nods—hints at a compelling entry point for accumulative strategies, potentially yielding 20-30% gains in the coming quarters if market conditions hold.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast