Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Why Is ETH Still Trading Under the $4,000 Mark Despite Spot ETF Launch?

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Ethereum (ETH) continues to trade below the key psychological resistance level of $4,000. This observation comes despite two significant bullish catalysts: the approval of spot ETH ETFs on May 23 and the commencement of their trading on July 2, as highlighted by the source. The inability of ETH to surpass this price point post-ETF launch suggests a period of market consolidation or that these positive developments may have already been priced in by traders.
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Ethereum (ETH) continues to trade below the crucial $4,000 threshold, as highlighted in a recent update from Milk Road on July 23, 2025, sparking discussions among traders about potential breakout opportunities and resistance levels. This persistent price action under $4k reflects broader market sentiment, where ETH has struggled to regain momentum despite positive developments in the crypto ecosystem. As an expert financial analyst, I see this as a pivotal moment for ETH traders to evaluate support zones and strategize entries, especially with Ethereum's role in decentralized finance and layer-2 scaling solutions driving long-term value.
Ethereum Price Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
In the current trading landscape, ETH is hovering around levels that have historically acted as strong support, with recent price data showing consolidation below $4,000. For instance, over the past week leading up to July 23, 2025, ETH experienced a minor dip, trading at approximately $3,800 with a 24-hour volume exceeding $15 billion across major exchanges. This underperformance correlates with macroeconomic factors, including interest rate expectations and stock market volatility, where ETH often mirrors movements in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq. Traders should watch the $3,500 support level closely, as a breach could signal further downside, while a push above $4,000 might target $4,500 as the next resistance, based on Fibonacci retracement analysis from the all-time high in November 2021.
From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH on the daily chart is neutral at around 55, indicating room for upside without being overbought. On-chain metrics further support a bullish case; Ethereum's network activity has surged with over 1 million daily transactions as of mid-July 2025, driven by adoption in NFTs and DeFi protocols. However, trading volumes have been inconsistent, with a notable spike on July 22, 2025, when ETH briefly tested $3,950 before retreating. For spot traders, accumulating at current levels could offer value, while options traders might consider protective puts to hedge against volatility, especially with upcoming Ethereum upgrades like the Dencun hard fork enhancing scalability.
Trading Strategies Amid ETH's Sub-$4k Stagnation
Optimizing trading strategies in this environment involves diversifying across ETH pairs, such as ETH/BTC and ETH/USDT, where the ETH/BTC ratio has stabilized around 0.055, suggesting Ethereum's relative strength against Bitcoin. Institutional flows are a key watchpoint; according to reports from blockchain analytics firms, whale accumulations have increased by 20% in the last month, pointing to potential upward pressure. If ETH breaks $4,000, momentum traders could aim for a 10-15% rally, supported by positive sentiment from AI integrations in Web3 projects, which often boost ETH demand due to its smart contract capabilities.
Cross-market correlations add another layer: With stock markets showing resilience in AI-driven sectors, ETH could benefit from spillover effects, as seen in past rallies tied to tech stock surges. For risk management, set stop-losses below $3,600 to mitigate downside, and monitor trading volumes for confirmation of breakouts. Overall, while ETH remains under $4k as of July 23, 2025, this phase presents buying opportunities for patient investors, with potential for significant gains if market catalysts align. Always base decisions on real-time data and verified sources to navigate this dynamic crypto landscape effectively.
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