Ethereum Fees Hit Lowest Since 2017: 90D-SMA Drops Below 300 ETH/Day, Pressuring ETH Burn and Validator Revenue
According to @glassnode, Ethereum’s Total Fees Paid per Day on the 90-day SMA have fallen below 300 ETH per day since early November, marking the lowest level since July 2017, which signals subdued on-chain demand relative to recent years. source: Glassnode glassno.de/4piYWqq Under EIP-1559, the base fee portion of transaction fees is burned, so lower total fees mechanically translate into a lower ETH burn rate. source: Ethereum.org ethereum.org/en/developers/docs/gas A lower burn rate reduces deflationary pressure on ETH supply and increases the likelihood of net positive issuance when burn falls below staking issuance, a key input for traders tracking ETH supply dynamics. source: Ethereum.org ethereum.org/en/roadmap/merge Validator fee income from priority tips contracts when network fees decline, which can compress staking rewards derived from tips and MEV, an important consideration for yield-focused ETH strategies. source: Ethereum.org ethereum.org/en/roadmap/merge
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Ethereum's network activity has hit a significant low point, with total fees paid per day on the blockchain dropping to levels not seen in over eight years. According to data from glassnode, the 90-day simple moving average (SMA) of daily fees has fallen below 300 ETH per day since early November, marking the lowest reading since July 2017. This decline signals reduced on-chain activity, which could have profound implications for ETH traders and investors monitoring market health and potential price movements.
Ethereum Fees Plunge: What It Means for ETH Price and Trading Strategies
As Ethereum continues to evolve post its transition to proof-of-stake, this fee drop highlights a broader slowdown in user engagement. Historically, high fees have correlated with bullish periods driven by DeFi booms or NFT crazes, where transaction demand pushes costs up. Now, with fees at multi-year lows, it suggests diminished network congestion, potentially easing entry for new users but also indicating waning interest. For traders, this could translate to lower volatility in the short term, as reduced activity often precedes consolidation phases. Looking at ETH's price chart, if we consider recent trading sessions, support levels around $2,500 to $2,800 have held firm, but a sustained fee decline might pressure these thresholds if it reflects broader market sentiment shifting away from Ethereum-based applications.
Analyzing On-Chain Metrics and Trading Volumes
Diving deeper into on-chain metrics, glassnode's chart shows this 90D-SMA metric dipping sharply, which aligns with decreased trading volumes across major ETH pairs. For instance, in spot markets, ETH/USD volumes on leading exchanges have hovered around 10-15 billion USD daily in recent weeks, down from peaks earlier in the year. This fee reduction could benefit scalpers and day traders by lowering transaction costs, making high-frequency strategies more viable on Ethereum's layer-1. However, for long-term holders, it raises questions about ETH's deflationary mechanics under EIP-1559, where lower fees mean less ETH burned, potentially impacting supply dynamics. Traders should watch resistance at $3,200, as a break above could signal a reversal if fees begin to rebound with upcoming upgrades like potential layer-2 integrations.
From a cross-market perspective, this Ethereum fee trend might influence correlated assets like BTC, where ETH/BTC pairs have shown ETH underperforming slightly, trading around 0.04 BTC recently. Institutional flows, as tracked by various analytics, indicate a shift towards Bitcoin dominance, which could exacerbate ETH's challenges if fees remain suppressed. For trading opportunities, consider options strategies: buying calls if fees show signs of uptick, or protective puts amid uncertainty. Overall, this metric underscores the need for vigilance in ETH trading, balancing on-chain health with macroeconomic factors like interest rates affecting crypto adoption.
In summary, while low fees might seem bearish at first glance, they could set the stage for a resurgence if Ethereum's ecosystem innovations drive renewed activity. Traders are advised to monitor daily fee averages closely, integrating them with price indicators like RSI and MACD for informed decisions. With Ethereum's market cap still commanding significant weight in crypto, this fee dip presents both risks and entry points for savvy investors eyeing long-term growth.
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