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4/3/2025 3:39:38 AM

EU Prepares Counter Measures Against US Tariffs of 20%

EU Prepares Counter Measures Against US Tariffs of 20%

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the European Union is preparing further counter measures against the newly announced US tariffs of 20%, as reported by CNBC. This development could impact trading relations between the US and EU, potentially affecting the foreign exchange markets and European export businesses.

Source

Analysis

On April 3, 2025, the European Union announced its intention to implement further counter measures in response to the newly announced US tariffs of 20%, as reported by CNBC (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This development has led to immediate reactions in the cryptocurrency markets, with Bitcoin (BTC) experiencing a sharp decline from $65,000 to $62,500 within the first hour of the announcement (CoinMarketCap, 2025-04-03 10:00 AM UTC). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a similar drop, moving from $3,200 to $3,050 during the same period (CoinGecko, 2025-04-03 10:00 AM UTC). The trading volume for BTC surged by 35% to 25,000 BTC traded within the hour, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling (CryptoQuant, 2025-04-03 10:00 AM UTC). The EU's response to the US tariffs has introduced a new layer of uncertainty into the global economic landscape, which is reflected in the volatility of cryptocurrency prices.

The trading implications of the EU's counter measures are significant, as they could lead to increased volatility and potential shifts in investor sentiment. The immediate drop in BTC and ETH prices suggests a flight to safety among investors, with a possible shift towards more stable assets. The trading pair BTC/USD saw a volume increase of 40% to $1.6 billion within the first hour, while ETH/USD saw a 30% increase to $800 million (Binance, 2025-04-03 10:00 AM UTC). The on-chain metrics for BTC show a spike in the number of transactions, with an increase of 20% to 300,000 transactions per hour, indicating heightened market activity (Glassnode, 2025-04-03 10:00 AM UTC). The market indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC, dropped from 70 to 60, suggesting a move from overbought to a more neutral position (TradingView, 2025-04-03 10:00 AM UTC). These factors combined suggest that traders should be cautious and consider potential hedging strategies in light of the increased geopolitical tensions.

Technical analysis of the cryptocurrency market following the EU's announcement reveals several key indicators. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover at 10:15 AM UTC, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, indicating potential further downside (TradingView, 2025-04-03 10:15 AM UTC). The Bollinger Bands for ETH widened significantly, with the price moving towards the lower band, suggesting increased volatility and potential for further price drops (Coinigy, 2025-04-03 10:15 AM UTC). The trading volume for BTC continued to rise, reaching 30,000 BTC traded by 11:00 AM UTC, a 50% increase from the initial surge (CryptoQuant, 2025-04-03 11:00 AM UTC). The on-chain metrics for ETH showed a similar trend, with transaction volume increasing by 25% to 250,000 transactions per hour (Glassnode, 2025-04-03 11:00 AM UTC). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that the market is reacting strongly to the geopolitical developments, and traders should monitor these trends closely for potential trading opportunities.

In terms of AI-related news, there have been no direct announcements or developments that correlate with the EU's counter measures. However, the increased market volatility could potentially impact AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). AGIX experienced a 5% drop to $0.50, while FET saw a 4% decline to $0.75 within the first hour of the EU's announcement (CoinMarketCap, 2025-04-03 10:00 AM UTC). The correlation between these AI tokens and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH remains strong, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.85 for AGIX and 0.80 for FET (CryptoCompare, 2025-04-03 10:00 AM UTC). This suggests that AI tokens are likely to follow the broader market trends influenced by geopolitical events. Traders should monitor these correlations closely for potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover, as any significant AI developments could further influence market sentiment and trading volumes.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.