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Expert Analysis: How Stablecoin Growth to 1% of M2 Supply Could Unlock a 'Streaming Economy' Amidst Crypto Market Pullback | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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7/4/2025 4:04:00 PM

Expert Analysis: How Stablecoin Growth to 1% of M2 Supply Could Unlock a 'Streaming Economy' Amidst Crypto Market Pullback

Expert Analysis: How Stablecoin Growth to 1% of M2 Supply Could Unlock a 'Streaming Economy' Amidst Crypto Market Pullback

According to @QCompounding, the rapid growth of U.S. dollar stablecoins, which recently hit 1% of the M2 money supply and are expanding at 55% annually, is paving the way for a 'streaming economy'. This new model could enable instantaneous, near-free global transactions, potentially freeing up trillions in corporate working capital by reducing the need for large local cash reserves. The analysis suggests that as transaction costs on networks like Ethereum Layer 2 fall below $0.01, new financial behaviors like daily payrolls and utility billing become economically viable. For investors, digital assets offer a superior risk-to-reward ratio, with Bitcoin (BTC) historically outperforming the S&P 500 by more than three to one on this metric. To generate alpha, the source recommends strategies like dollar-cost averaging and creating a specific trading plan for assets like Ethereum (ETH), with defined actions for price targets such as $1,200 or $4,000. This long-term bullish thesis contrasts with the current market, where BTC trades at $107,765.19 (-1.80%) and ETH at $2,493.51 (-3.95%).

Source

Analysis

The concept of streaming money, much like we stream video or music, is rapidly moving from a futuristic idea to a tangible reality, powered by the explosive growth of stablecoins. According to analysis by author QCompounding, U.S. dollar stablecoins have already reached approximately 1% of the U.S. M2 money supply and are expanding at an astonishing 55% annually. This long-term vision of a hyper-efficient, instantaneous global financial system offers a stark contrast to the current cryptocurrency market's volatility. While the potential to free up trillions in working capital is a powerful long-term bullish catalyst, traders today are grappling with significant downward pressure across the board. The market is currently experiencing a broad-based sell-off, highlighting the disconnect between a revolutionary future and present-day trading realities.

Navigating Red Markets with a Strategic Framework

The latest market data paints a bearish picture for traders. Ethereum (ETH) has seen a notable decline, with the ETHUSDT pair dropping nearly 4% to trade around $2,493.51. The asset tested a 24-hour low of $2,476.41, indicating that bears are currently in control, pushing prices toward key support levels. Similarly, Solana (SOL) is facing heavy selling pressure, with the SOLUSDT pair falling over 4% to $146.72, after reaching a daily low of $145.00. Even the market leader, Bitcoin (BTC), is not immune, with the BTCUSDT pair showing a 1.8% decrease. This environment can trigger what the author refers to as "recency bias," where the memory of recent failures like FTX and Celsius makes investors overly cautious. However, as noted in the analysis, this perspective often fails to properly appraise the systemic risks present in traditional finance. For a disciplined trader, these drawdowns, driven by sentiment, can present strategic opportunities aligned with a long-term accumulation plan.

Defining Accumulation Zones and Trading Plans

In volatile markets, having a clear plan is paramount. The author advocates for an accumulation strategy, which involves dollar-cost averaging into a portfolio of high-conviction assets. For instance, as ETH approaches the $2,400-$2,500 range, traders with a long-term bullish thesis might see this as a critical accumulation zone. The key is to pre-define these levels, as suggested by the author's hypothetical question: "If Ethereum drops to $1,200, then what am I doing?" This forward-thinking approach prevents panic-selling and encourages disciplined buying at predetermined support. On a shorter timeframe, the 24-hour ranges provide clear levels for tactical trades. For ETHUSDT, the range between the low of $2,476 and the high of $2,602 defines the immediate battlefield for bulls and bears. A break below this range could signal further downside, while a reclaim of the upper boundary could indicate a short-term reversal.

Uncovering Alpha in Relative Strength and Pair Trading

Beyond simply tracking USD pairs, sophisticated traders look for relative strength by analyzing cross-pairs, particularly against Bitcoin. The ETH/BTC pair is currently trading at 0.02326000, down 1.94% in the last 24 hours. This indicates that Ethereum is losing value not just against the dollar but also against Bitcoin, a sign of market-wide risk-off sentiment where capital flows to the perceived safest digital asset. The SOL/BTC pair tells a similar story, down 2.34%, reinforcing Solana's weakness in the current environment. However, not all altcoins are following the same path. The LINK/BTC pair is a notable outlier, showing a 1.017% gain to 0.00014900. Despite LINKUSDT being down over 5%, its strength against BTC suggests it may be weathering the storm better than its peers. This relative strength could be an early signal for traders looking for assets that may lead the recovery. This type of analysis aligns with the core principles of DeFi—transparency and real-time audibility on public blockchains—which allow traders to access granular data and identify such nuanced opportunities that are often obscured in traditional markets.

Ultimately, the path forward for investors involves balancing the transformative long-term potential of digital assets with the harsh realities of short-term market cycles. The vision of a streamed economy, where transaction costs approach zero and capital efficiency is maximized, is a powerful narrative underpinning the value of crypto infrastructure. However, as the current market shows, the road is not linear. The author's advice to combine a disciplined accumulation strategy with a clear trading plan based on data-driven levels and relative strength analysis provides a robust framework. By looking past recency bias and focusing on the underlying technological adoption curves, traders can better position themselves to navigate volatility and capitalize on the profound economic shifts promised by Web3 and decentralized finance.

Compounding Quality

@QCompounding

🏰 Quality Stocks 🧑‍💼 Former Professional Investor ➡️ Teaching people about investing on our website.

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