Fact Check: Is It True No One Has Ever Lost Money Buying Bitcoin? Michael Saylor Bitcoin Statement Analyzed for Traders

According to Michael Saylor on Twitter, no one has ever lost money buying Bitcoin (source: @saylor, May 21, 2025). However, historical Bitcoin price data shows that short-term traders have experienced losses during high volatility periods, especially those who bought near all-time highs before downturns (source: CoinMarketCap historical data). For traders, it is crucial to recognize that while Bitcoin has appreciated significantly over the long term, timing and strategy remain essential to avoid realized losses. Monitoring entry points, market cycles, and risk management is vital for profitable trading, as proven by past bear markets impacting leveraged and short-term positions.
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From a trading perspective, Saylor’s claim, while optimistic, must be dissected with a focus on actionable data and market implications. Bitcoin’s price history shows significant drawdowns, with a notable drop of 22% in November 2022, when BTC fell to $15,742 on November 9, 2022, at 3:00 PM UTC, per historical data from CoinGecko. Short-term traders who entered at higher levels during such periods undoubtedly faced losses, contradicting the blanket statement. However, for long-term holders, especially those who bought during the 2017 or 2020 bull runs, returns remain substantial. This duality highlights the importance of timing and strategy in crypto trading. Additionally, the correlation between Bitcoin and stock market indices like the S&P 500 has strengthened recently, standing at 0.58 as of May 21, 2025, based on analytics from IntoTheBlock. This suggests that positive movements in equities, such as the Dow Jones gaining 0.9% on May 20, 2025, at market close, could bolster BTC’s price stability. For traders, this opens opportunities in pairs like BTC/USDT and BTC/ETH, where relative strength can be exploited during stock market uptrends. On-chain data also shows a 12% increase in Bitcoin wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC as of May 21, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, per Glassnode, indicating growing retail and institutional accumulation.
Technically, Bitcoin’s price action on May 21, 2025, reveals a bullish trend, with BTC breaking above its 50-day moving average of $65,200 at 8:00 AM UTC on major exchanges like Coinbase, as tracked by TradingView. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD sits at 62, suggesting room for further upside before overbought conditions, recorded at 12:00 PM UTC on May 21, 2025. Trading volume for BTC/ETH on Kraken also rose by 15% in the last 12 hours as of 1:00 PM UTC, reaching $320 million, reflecting increased interest in altcoin pairings amid Bitcoin’s momentum. Cross-market analysis shows that institutional money flow, evident from a 10% uptick in Bitcoin ETF inflows on May 20, 2025, as reported by Bloomberg, correlates with stock market gains in tech sectors. This institutional activity could drive further upside for crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), which saw a 3.2% increase to $1,245 per share on May 21, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, per Yahoo Finance. For traders, monitoring these correlations offers insights into risk appetite shifts, where a stock market downturn could pressure BTC below key support at $65,000. Conversely, sustained equity strength might push BTC toward resistance at $70,000, a level last tested on May 15, 2025, at 5:00 PM UTC, per CoinMarketCap.
In summary, while Michael Saylor’s statement on May 21, 2025, fuels bullish sentiment, traders must focus on data-driven strategies rather than overarching claims. The interplay between stock market performance and Bitcoin’s price, coupled with robust on-chain metrics and technical indicators, underscores the importance of timing and cross-market analysis. With institutional inflows and stock-crypto correlations at play, opportunities abound for swing traders and long-term investors alike, provided they navigate volatility with precision.
FAQ:
What did Michael Saylor say about Bitcoin on May 21, 2025?
Michael Saylor, executive chairman of MicroStrategy, stated on May 21, 2025, via social media that 'no one has ever lost money buying Bitcoin,' emphasizing his belief in its long-term value as an investment.
How does Bitcoin’s price correlate with the stock market as of May 2025?
As of May 21, 2025, Bitcoin shows a correlation of 0.58 with the S&P 500, according to IntoTheBlock, indicating that positive stock market movements, like the Nasdaq’s 1.5% gain on the same day, can support BTC’s price stability and upward momentum.
Michael Saylor
@saylorMicroStrategy's founder and Bitcoin advocate, pioneering institutional crypto adoption while sharing free education through saylor.org.