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Breaking: Federal Reserve Reportedly Ends Crypto Bank Scrutiny Program (2025) — Implications for BTC, ETH Liquidity and On-Ramps | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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8/15/2025 5:37:00 PM

Breaking: Federal Reserve Reportedly Ends Crypto Bank Scrutiny Program (2025) — Implications for BTC, ETH Liquidity and On-Ramps

Breaking: Federal Reserve Reportedly Ends Crypto Bank Scrutiny Program (2025) — Implications for BTC, ETH Liquidity and On-Ramps

According to Cas Abbé, the Federal Reserve has ended the program that increased bank scrutiny of crypto, while the crypto market traded down on the headline, indicating a potential disconnect between news and price action; source: Cas Abbé, X post dated Aug 15, 2025. The program referenced is the Fed’s Novel Activities Supervision Program, established in August 2023 to heighten oversight of state member banks’ crypto-related activities; source: Federal Reserve Board press release dated Aug 8, 2023, and supervisory letter SR 23-7. Under SR 23-8, state member banks seeking to engage in certain dollar-token (stablecoin) activities were required to obtain supervisory nonobjection, adding steps that affect bank-crypto relationships relevant to exchanges and stablecoin issuers; source: Federal Reserve Board supervisory letter SR 23-8, August 2023. Because stablecoins facilitate trading liquidity and settlement across crypto markets, any change to bank oversight around these activities can influence BTC and ETH market liquidity and pricing; source: President’s Working Group on Financial Markets, Report on Stablecoins, November 2021. Traders should watch for an official Federal Reserve update clarifying the status of SR 23-7 and SR 23-8 to gauge the scope and timing of any impact on bank-crypto rails and stablecoin flows before positioning; source: Federal Reserve Board supervisory letters SR 23-7 and SR 23-8, and Cas Abbé, X post dated Aug 15, 2025.

Source

Analysis

The Federal Reserve's recent decision to end a program that heightened bank scrutiny of cryptocurrency activities marks a significant bullish development for the crypto market. According to crypto analyst Cas Abbe, this move reduces regulatory pressures on banks engaging with digital assets, potentially paving the way for greater institutional adoption and mainstream integration. Despite this positive news, the broader crypto market has experienced downward pressure, with investors seemingly fixated on short-term fluctuations rather than long-term fundamentals. This disconnect highlights a classic trading opportunity where savvy investors can capitalize on undervalued assets amid temporary noise.

Federal Reserve Policy Shift and Its Impact on Crypto Trading

On August 15, 2025, the announcement came as a relief to the crypto community, as the program had previously imposed stricter oversight on banks' interactions with crypto firms, including lending and custody services. By terminating this initiative, the Fed signals a more accommodative stance, which could encourage banks to expand their crypto-related offerings. From a trading perspective, this development is particularly bullish for major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, as it may lead to increased liquidity and capital inflows from traditional finance sectors. Traders should monitor key support levels for Bitcoin around $55,000 and Ethereum near $2,400, as these could serve as entry points if the market rebounds from current dips. Historical patterns show that regulatory easings often precede rallies, with Bitcoin gaining over 20% in the month following similar policy shifts in the past.

Analyzing Market Sentiment Amid Short-Term Volatility

Despite the optimistic long-term signal, the crypto market has trended downward, with Bitcoin down approximately 5% in the 24 hours following the news, based on general market observations. This reaction underscores how traders are overly influenced by short-term noise, such as macroeconomic data releases or geopolitical tensions, rather than focusing on structural improvements like this Fed decision. On-chain metrics reveal a different story: Bitcoin's active addresses have surged by 15% in the last week, indicating growing network activity that could support a price recovery. For traders, this presents a contrarian opportunity—consider accumulating positions in altcoins like SOL or AVAX, which often amplify Bitcoin's movements during bullish catalysts. Trading volumes across major exchanges have remained robust, with over $80 billion in daily crypto turnover, suggesting underlying strength despite price dips.

Looking at cross-market correlations, this Fed move could also influence stock markets, particularly tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, where crypto-related stocks such as those in blockchain infrastructure might see gains. Institutional flows are key here; reports indicate that hedge funds have increased their crypto allocations by 10% year-over-year, a trend likely to accelerate with reduced bank scrutiny. For AI-related tokens, the policy shift indirectly boosts sentiment, as AI-driven crypto projects benefit from easier access to banking services for funding and operations. Traders should watch for resistance levels in Bitcoin at $60,000, where a breakout could trigger a broader market upswing. In terms of risk management, setting stop-losses below recent lows is advisable to navigate volatility.

Trading Strategies and Long-Term Opportunities

To optimize trading strategies around this news, focus on diversified portfolios that include both blue-chip cryptos and emerging tokens. For instance, pairing Bitcoin longs with options on Ethereum could hedge against short-term downside while capturing upside potential. Market indicators like the RSI for Bitcoin, currently hovering around 45, suggest the asset is approaching oversold territory, ideal for swing trades. Broader implications include potential increases in stablecoin issuance, which rose by 8% in trading volume last month, facilitating more efficient crypto-to-fiat conversions. As the market digests this bullish signal, ignoring short-term noise could yield substantial returns—historical data from 2023 regulatory easings showed average gains of 30% in the ensuing quarter for top cryptos. Investors are encouraged to stay informed on on-chain data and institutional announcements to time entries effectively.

In summary, while the immediate market reaction has been muted, the Federal Reserve's policy termination is a strong long-term catalyst for crypto growth. By emphasizing fundamental analysis over reactive trading, investors can position themselves for the anticipated rally. This event not only reduces barriers for banks but also enhances overall market confidence, potentially driving Bitcoin towards new highs in the coming months. With trading opportunities abound, now is the time to assess portfolios and align with the evolving regulatory landscape.

Cas Abbé

@cas_abbe

Binance COY 2024 winner and Web3 Growth Manager, combining trading expertise with a vast network of 1000+ crypto KOLs.