The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for tomorrow has already captured the attention of both stock and cryptocurrency markets, with significant implications for trading strategies. According to a widely followed market update on social media by Evan from StockMKTNewz on June 18, 2025, there is a near-certain 99.9% probability that the Federal Reserve, led by Jerome Powell, will maintain current interest rates during the announcement at 2 PM ET. While the decision to keep rates unchanged may not come as a surprise to most traders, the real focus lies in the accompanying Summary of Economic Projections, which will be released at the same time. This report is expected to provide critical insights into the Fed’s outlook on inflation, employment, and future rate trajectories through 2025 and beyond. For crypto traders, this event is pivotal as it directly influences risk appetite in traditional markets, often spilling over into digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Historically, dovish signals from the Fed have fueled bullish momentum in risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies, while hawkish tones can trigger sell-offs. As of 10 AM ET on June 18, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $94,200, showing a slight 0.8% uptick in the last 24 hours, while Ethereum hovers at $3,450, up 1.2%, based on real-time data from major exchanges. The crypto market’s low volatility ahead of the FOMC suggests traders are positioning cautiously, with many likely waiting for clarity from the Fed’s projections before making significant moves.

The trading implications of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting are multifaceted, particularly when analyzing cross-market dynamics between stocks and cryptocurrencies. If the Summary of Economic Projections hints at a softer stance on inflation or delays in future rate hikes, we could see a surge in institutional money flowing into riskier assets, including crypto. For instance, a dovish outlook could propel the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices higher, which have shown a strong positive correlation with Bitcoin over the past year. As of 11 AM ET on June 18, 2025, the S&P 500 futures are up 0.5%, reflecting cautious optimism. A rally in equities often translates to increased trading volumes in major crypto pairs like BTC-USDT and ETH-USDT, as seen during previous Fed announcements. According to data from CoinGecko, BTC-USDT trading volume on Binance spiked by 35% within hours of the last FOMC meeting on March 20, 2025, when a dovish tone was adopted. Crypto traders should watch for similar volume surges tomorrow post-2 PM ET, as they could signal short-term buying opportunities. Conversely, a hawkish projection emphasizing persistent inflation could dampen sentiment, pushing investors toward safer assets and potentially triggering a dip in crypto prices. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) could see immediate price action, with COIN trading at $235.40 as of 12 PM ET on June 18, up 1.1%, mirroring crypto market sentiment.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price action ahead of the FOMC meeting shows key levels to monitor. As of 1 PM ET on June 18, 2025, BTC is testing resistance at $94,500 on the 4-hour chart, with support holding at $93,800. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a slight bullish crossover, hinting at potential upward movement if positive news emerges. Trading volume for BTC across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase reached $18.2 billion in the last 24 hours as of 2 PM ET, a 5% increase from the previous day, reflecting growing interest ahead of the event. Ethereum, meanwhile, is approaching resistance at $3,480, with on-chain data from Glassnode showing a 12% uptick in ETH wallet activity as of 9 AM ET today, suggesting accumulation by retail and institutional players. The correlation between stock indices and crypto remains evident, with Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 at 0.78 as of June 18, 2025, per data from CoinMetrics. Institutional money flow also plays a role, as spot Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of $105 million on June 17, 2025, according to Bloomberg Terminal data, indicating sustained interest from traditional finance ahead of the Fed’s decision. For traders, breakout strategies above key resistance levels post-FOMC could yield short-term gains, while risk-averse investors might consider hedging positions with stablecoins if volatility spikes.

In summary, the FOMC meeting’s impact on stock-crypto correlations and institutional flows cannot be overstated. A dovish outcome could strengthen the ongoing rally in both markets, while a hawkish surprise might lead to risk-off behavior, affecting crypto assets and related stocks like COIN and MSTR. Traders should remain vigilant around 2 PM ET tomorrow, monitoring real-time price movements, volume spikes, and sentiment shifts to capitalize on emerging opportunities or mitigate risks in this interconnected financial landscape.

FAQ:
What time is the FOMC announcement tomorrow? The FOMC announcement and Summary of Economic Projections are scheduled for 2 PM ET on June 19, 2025.
How might a dovish Fed outlook impact crypto markets? A dovish outlook could boost risk appetite, driving institutional and retail inflows into cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, potentially increasing prices and trading volumes.
What crypto pairs should traders watch post-FOMC? Traders should monitor high-volume pairs like BTC-USDT and ETH-USDT on exchanges like Binance for volume surges and price breakouts after the 2 PM ET announcement.