GENIUS Act Passes Senate: Crypto Regulation Bill Faces Uncertain House Path
According to Eleanor Terrett, the GENIUS Act, a key cryptocurrency regulation bill, has successfully cleared the Senate but faces an unclear strategy in the House of Representatives (source: cryptoinamerica.com, June 18, 2025). This legislative development signals potential for new compliance requirements and shifts in trading frameworks for crypto assets in the US market. However, uncertainty around House approval introduces short-term regulatory risk, which traders should monitor closely for volatility in major cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH.
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From a trading perspective, the GENIUS Act news and the concurrent stock market downturn present both opportunities and challenges for crypto investors. Bitcoin (BTC) saw a slight dip of 1.2% to $65,320.45 as of 8:00 PM UTC on June 18, 2025, reflecting broader market caution, while Ethereum (ETH) declined 1.5% to $3,420.10 at the same time, based on data from CoinMarketCap. Trading volumes for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Binance spiked by 15% to $28.3 billion in the 24 hours leading up to 9:00 PM UTC, indicating heightened activity amid the news. For tokens tied to innovation and decentralized tech, such as Polkadot (DOT), prices remained relatively stable at $5.82, with a marginal 0.3% drop as of 8:00 PM UTC. The potential passage of the GENIUS Act could catalyze long-term bullish sentiment for such tokens if funding flows into blockchain projects. Conversely, the stock market's decline suggests a risk-off environment, which could pressure altcoins with lower liquidity. Traders might consider hedging positions or focusing on BTC/ETH pairs for stability until clarity emerges on the legislative front.
Technical indicators further underscore the cautious mood in crypto markets following this news. Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart sat at 42 as of 9:00 PM UTC on June 18, 2025, signaling neither overbought nor oversold conditions but a potential for further downside if stock market sentiment worsens. Ethereum's 50-day moving average (MA) of $3,450 acted as resistance, with the price failing to break above this level since 6:00 PM UTC, per TradingView data. On-chain metrics also reveal mixed signals: Glassnode reported a 7% increase in BTC wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC as of June 18, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, suggesting accumulation by larger players despite price dips. Meanwhile, stock-crypto correlation remains evident, with Bitcoin's 30-day correlation coefficient with the Nasdaq at 0.68, indicating that further declines in tech stocks could drag BTC lower. Trading volumes for crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) also dropped 3.2% to 8.5 million shares by market close at 4:00 PM EDT, reflecting reduced retail interest amid uncertainty.
The interplay between stock market movements and crypto assets is critical here. Institutional money flows, often a driver of crypto rallies, may be constrained if the GENIUS Act stalls in the House, as investors could prioritize traditional tech equities over speculative assets. However, if the Act progresses, crypto-related ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) could see inflows, with trading volume already up 5% to 4.2 million shares on June 18, 2025, by 4:00 PM EDT, according to Yahoo Finance. This legislative uncertainty, combined with stock market weakness, suggests traders should monitor cross-market indicators and prepare for volatility in both BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs. Risk appetite may remain subdued until the House's stance clarifies, making this a pivotal moment for strategic positioning in crypto markets tied to innovation narratives.
Eleanor Terrett
@EleanorTerrettBritish-born Fox Business journalist and producer, JMU graduate breaking news with a global perspective.