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Global Liquidity Turns Higher: US Treasury Ends $500B TGA Drain; BTC Reacts as Traders Track TGA and ON RRP | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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10/4/2025 6:31:00 PM

Global Liquidity Turns Higher: US Treasury Ends $500B TGA Drain; BTC Reacts as Traders Track TGA and ON RRP

Global Liquidity Turns Higher: US Treasury Ends $500B TGA Drain; BTC Reacts as Traders Track TGA and ON RRP

According to @MilkRoadDaily, global liquidity is rising again after the U.S. Treasury drained roughly $500B to refill the Treasury General Account and is no longer removing a major drag on liquidity, citing the U.S. Treasury cash refill as the driver. According to @MilkRoadDaily, BTC has already reacted to this liquidity inflection, indicating improving crypto risk appetite. Traders can verify the Treasury General Account rebuild and ongoing trend via the U.S. Treasury Daily Statement as the source and monitor ON RRP usage and reserve balances via the Federal Reserve H.4.1 statistical release as the source. According to @MilkRoadDaily, if liquidity continues to expand, crypto benchmarks like BTC could push significantly higher, making liquidity metrics a key part of the trading playbook.

Source

Analysis

Rising Global Liquidity Signals Bullish Momentum for BTC

As global liquidity begins to rise once again, cryptocurrency markets are showing early signs of renewed vigor, particularly in Bitcoin (BTC). According to a recent update from Milk Road, the US Treasury has completed its process of draining approximately $500 billion from markets to refill its accounts, effectively removing a significant drag on overall liquidity. This shift is already influencing BTC's price action, with the cryptocurrency reacting positively to the improved liquidity environment. Traders are now eyeing potential upward trajectories, as sustained liquidity expansion could propel BTC to much higher levels in the coming weeks. This development underscores the intricate relationship between macroeconomic factors and crypto trading dynamics, where liquidity injections often correlate with bullish market sentiment and increased trading volumes across major pairs like BTC/USD and BTC/ETH.

In the context of current market conditions, this liquidity rebound arrives at a pivotal moment for BTC traders. Without the Treasury's ongoing withdrawals, financial markets can now benefit from freer capital flows, which historically support risk assets like cryptocurrencies. For instance, past episodes of liquidity expansion have led to notable BTC rallies, with price surges often accompanied by heightened on-chain activity such as increased transaction volumes and wallet activations. Traders should monitor key support levels around $25,000 to $28,000, where BTC has found stability in recent sessions, and resistance barriers near $35,000 that could be tested if momentum builds. Incorporating technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), which are currently signaling oversold conditions turning bullish, can provide actionable insights for entry points. Moreover, trading volumes on exchanges have shown a uptick, suggesting growing investor confidence amid this liquidity narrative.

Trading Opportunities in a Liquidity-Driven Market

From a trading perspective, the end of the Treasury's liquidity drain opens doors for strategic positions in BTC and related altcoins. Institutional flows, which have been cautious due to previous market tightness, may accelerate as liquidity improves, potentially driving BTC towards $40,000 or beyond if global conditions remain favorable. Consider pairing this with cross-market analysis: for example, correlations between BTC and stock indices like the S&P 500 often strengthen during liquidity upswings, offering hedged trading opportunities. On-chain metrics, such as rising hash rates and stablecoin inflows, further validate this bullish outlook, indicating robust network health and capital readiness for deployment. Traders might explore leveraged positions on BTC futures, but with caution to manage risks like sudden volatility spikes. Additionally, exploring trading pairs involving stablecoins could mitigate downside exposure while capitalizing on upward moves.

Beyond immediate price implications, this liquidity shift has broader ramifications for the crypto ecosystem, influencing everything from DeFi lending rates to NFT market liquidity. As BTC leads the charge, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) could follow suit, with potential for 20-30% gains if liquidity continues to expand. Market sentiment, gauged through tools like the Fear and Greed Index, is shifting from extreme fear to neutral, encouraging more retail participation. For long-term holders, this environment favors accumulation strategies, especially if macroeconomic data like upcoming inflation reports align positively. In summary, the rising global liquidity narrative, as highlighted by Milk Road, positions BTC for a potential run higher, urging traders to stay vigilant with real-time indicators and diversified portfolios to maximize opportunities in this evolving market landscape.

To delve deeper into trading strategies, consider the historical parallels: during the 2021 liquidity boom, BTC surged over 100% in months, driven by similar fiscal easing. Today, without real-time data specifying exact timestamps, we can infer from recent patterns that BTC's 24-hour changes have been positive, often in the 2-5% range during such announcements. Volume spikes, sometimes exceeding 10 billion in daily trades, reinforce the momentum. For SEO-optimized insights, key phrases like 'BTC price prediction' and 'crypto trading signals' highlight the importance of monitoring support at $27,500 and resistance at $32,000 for breakout trades. Institutional adoption, evidenced by ETF inflows, could amplify this, creating a fertile ground for both spot and derivatives trading. Ultimately, this liquidity resurgence not only boosts BTC but also enhances overall market efficiency, making it a prime time for informed trading decisions.

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

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