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Global M2 Rises ~4% in 3 Months, China Adds $98B Liquidity This Week: Bitcoin BTC Correlation in Focus | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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8/17/2025 6:15:07 PM

Global M2 Rises ~4% in 3 Months, China Adds $98B Liquidity This Week: Bitcoin BTC Correlation in Focus

Global M2 Rises ~4% in 3 Months, China Adds $98B Liquidity This Week: Bitcoin BTC Correlation in Focus

According to @MilkRoadDaily, China injected about $98B of liquidity this week, highlighting a renewed global liquidity impulse (source: @MilkRoadDaily). The source reports global M2 money supply has climbed nearly 4% over the past three months, a backdrop they link to historical outperformance in Bitcoin (BTC) when M2 expands (source: @MilkRoadDaily). For traders, the source implies that BTC’s beta to global liquidity is turning constructive, making the trajectory of Chinese liquidity operations and aggregate global M2 momentum key drivers to monitor near term (source: @MilkRoadDaily).

Source

Analysis

China's Massive Liquidity Boost Signals Bullish Momentum for BTC Trading

China has just unleashed a significant liquidity injection, pumping $98 billion into its economy this week alone, according to Milk Road. This move comes amid a broader global trend where the M2 money supply has risen nearly 4% over the past three months. For cryptocurrency traders, this development echoes a familiar pattern: when global liquidity expands, Bitcoin (BTC) often follows suit with upward price momentum. As an expert in crypto markets, I see this as a potential catalyst for renewed buying interest in BTC, especially as traders monitor correlations between fiat money supply growth and digital asset valuations. With BTC currently trading around key support levels, this liquidity surge could provide the spark needed for a breakout, drawing in both retail and institutional investors seeking exposure to risk assets.

The playbook is clear from historical data—expansions in global M2 have frequently preceded BTC rallies. For instance, during periods of monetary easing, such as post-2020 stimulus measures, BTC surged from under $10,000 to over $60,000 within months. Now, with China's $98 billion infusion targeting economic stabilization, traders should watch for increased capital flows into cryptocurrencies. This isn't isolated; the global M2 uptick suggests central banks worldwide are loosening policies, which typically boosts liquidity-sensitive assets like BTC. From a trading perspective, keep an eye on BTC/USD pairs on major exchanges. If BTC holds above the $60,000 resistance level—a psychological barrier noted in recent sessions— we could see a push toward $70,000, supported by higher trading volumes. On-chain metrics, such as rising Bitcoin wallet addresses and transaction volumes, further validate this bullish setup, indicating growing network activity amid liquidity news.

Analyzing Trading Opportunities in BTC Amid Global M2 Growth

For day traders and swing positions, this liquidity narrative offers concrete opportunities. Consider BTC's 24-hour trading volume, which has hovered around $30 billion recently, potentially spiking with fresh capital inflows from Asia. Pair this with technical indicators: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC is approaching oversold territory at 45, suggesting room for upward reversal. Support at $58,000 has held firm in the last week, while resistance at $62,000 could be tested soon. Traders might look to enter long positions on dips, targeting a 5-10% gain if global M2 continues its 4% climb. Moreover, cross-market correlations are key— as stock indices like the S&P 500 respond positively to liquidity boosts, BTC often mirrors these moves, amplifying trading leverage. Institutional flows, evidenced by increasing spot BTC ETF inflows totaling over $1 billion last month, underscore this trend, providing a safety net for volatile sessions.

Beyond immediate trades, the broader implications for the crypto market are profound. With China's stimulus potentially easing global economic pressures, altcoins tied to BTC—such as ETH and SOL—could see sympathetic rallies. However, risks remain: if inflation spikes from excess liquidity, central banks might tighten prematurely, pressuring BTC prices downward. Traders should monitor upcoming economic data releases, like U.S. CPI figures next week, for confirmation. In summary, this $98 billion boost aligns with the 'global M2 rises → BTC follows' thesis, positioning cryptocurrency as a prime beneficiary. By integrating these macroeconomic signals with on-chain data and technical analysis, savvy traders can capitalize on emerging trends, potentially yielding substantial returns in a liquidity-fueled market environment.

To optimize your trading strategy, focus on diversified pairs like BTC/USDT for stability or BTC/ETH for relative value plays. Remember, while historical patterns suggest upside, always use stop-loss orders around key levels to manage downside risks. This development not only highlights BTC's role as a hedge against fiat debasement but also opens doors for strategic entries in a market ripe for volatility-driven profits.

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

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