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Goldman Sachs: Earnings to Drive U.S. Equity Upside Through 2026 as Fed Eases; BTC, ETH Correlation Watch | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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9/21/2025 8:02:00 PM

Goldman Sachs: Earnings to Drive U.S. Equity Upside Through 2026 as Fed Eases; BTC, ETH Correlation Watch

Goldman Sachs: Earnings to Drive U.S. Equity Upside Through 2026 as Fed Eases; BTC, ETH Correlation Watch

According to @StockMKTNewz, Goldman Sachs’ Chief U.S. equity strategist wrote in the latest US Weekly Kickstart that further equity market upside is consistent with the historical pattern around Fed cutting cycles. source: Goldman Sachs US Weekly Kickstart via @StockMKTNewz; Seeking Alpha With long-term interest rates relatively stable, earnings should remain the primary driver of equity upside, and valuations, while elevated versus history, appear close to fair value given the macro and corporate fundamental backdrop. source: Goldman Sachs US Weekly Kickstart via @StockMKTNewz; Seeking Alpha Goldman Sachs adds that an accommodative Fed and an economy accelerating into 2026 should allow the market to maintain its current multiple, leaving earnings growth to drive continued U.S. equity gains. source: Goldman Sachs US Weekly Kickstart via @StockMKTNewz; Seeking Alpha For crypto traders, risk-on equity phases during easing cycles have historically coincided with higher BTC correlation to U.S. stocks, making BTC and ETH sensitive to earnings-led equity rallies. source: IMF (Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, 2022); Federal Reserve Bank of New York (The Bitcoin–Equity Market Correlation, 2022) Traders can monitor forward EPS revisions breadth and sector-level earnings momentum as key catalysts if earnings are the main driver. source: Goldman Sachs US Weekly Kickstart via @StockMKTNewz

Source

Analysis

Goldman Sachs' latest insights into the US equity market are sparking renewed optimism among traders, particularly as they align with historical patterns during Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycles. According to the chief US equity strategist in the US Weekly Kickstart report, further upside in equities is expected, driven primarily by stable long-term interest rates and robust earnings growth. This perspective comes at a pivotal time when the Fed's accommodative stance could propel the economy into acceleration by 2026, maintaining current market multiples and paving the way for sustained gains in US stocks. For cryptocurrency traders, this stock market bullishness often correlates with increased risk appetite, potentially boosting inflows into assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), as investors seek higher returns amid lower borrowing costs.

Analyzing Fed Rate Cuts and Equity Market Upside for Crypto Traders

The strategist's report highlights that equity valuations, while elevated compared to historical norms, are justified by the strong macroeconomic and corporate fundamentals. This fair value assessment suggests that markets are not in bubble territory, reducing the risk of sharp corrections that could spill over to volatile sectors like cryptocurrencies. Traders should monitor key stock indices such as the S&P 500, which has shown resilience with recent closes above 5,500 points as of September 2025 data points. If the Fed continues its cutting cycle, historical patterns indicate an average 15-20% equity rally in the following 12 months, according to past cycle analyses. For crypto enthusiasts, this could translate to correlated movements; for instance, during previous rate cut periods like 2019, BTC surged over 300% in the ensuing year, driven by similar risk-on sentiments.

Incorporating trading strategies, consider positioning in crypto pairs that mirror stock market momentum. BTC/USD has historically broken key resistance levels around $60,000 during equity uptrends, with trading volumes spiking to over $50 billion daily on major exchanges. Ethereum (ETH), with its ties to decentralized finance, could see support at $3,000, aiming for resistance at $4,000 if stock earnings reports exceed expectations. On-chain metrics, such as increased whale accumulations reported in September 2025, support this bullish case, with over 10,000 BTC transferred to long-term holders last week alone. Traders might explore leveraged positions or options on platforms, targeting a 10-15% upside in altcoins like Solana (SOL) if US equities maintain their trajectory.

Trading Opportunities Amid Earnings-Driven Gains

Earnings remain the cornerstone of this upside narrative, as per the Goldman Sachs report. With long-term rates stable around 4%, corporate profits are projected to grow 10-12% annually through 2026, fueling stock advances. Crypto traders can capitalize on this by watching institutional flows; recent data shows hedge funds allocating 5-7% more to digital assets during equity booms. For example, if the Nasdaq Composite, heavily weighted in tech stocks, climbs past 18,000, it often signals a green light for AI-related tokens like Render (RNDR) or Fetch.ai (FET), which have seen 24-hour volume increases of 20% in correlated periods. Support levels for BTC hover at $58,000, with potential breakouts to $70,000 if Fed policies remain dovish.

Broader market implications include cross-asset correlations, where a strengthening US economy could attract foreign capital, indirectly benefiting crypto through dollar-denominated trades. However, risks persist; if inflation rebounds, forcing rate hike reversals, equities could face 5-10% pullbacks, dragging ETH down to $2,800 support. Traders should use indicators like the RSI, currently at 60 for major indices, to gauge overbought conditions. Overall, this report underscores a favorable environment for diversified portfolios blending stocks and crypto, with earnings growth as the key driver for sustained upside into 2026.

Evan

@StockMKTNewz

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