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2026-10-19 19:52 UTC

Grayscale: Bitcoin Volatility Drops to 43%

Grayscale: Bitcoin Volatility Drops to 43%

Matt Hougan highlighted Grayscale research showing Bitcoin’s one-year realized volatility at 43%, down from a 10-year average of 64% and now lower than 19% of S&P 500 constituents.

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Analysis

Matt Hougan praised Grayscale research noting Bitcoin’s one-year realized volatility has fallen to 43%, well below the 10-year average of 64% and the 81% level recorded five years ago, placing it beneath 19% of S&P 500 constituents.

Price sits at $82121.49 inside the Bollinger Bands with upper resistance at $82720.66. The 50-EMA at $82266.42 acts as immediate overhead resistance while the 200-EMA at $82059.84 provides nearby support. MACD registers a bullish golden cross at -7.28 even as RSI at 51.2 remains neutral, suggesting any push above the upper band could stall and invite a retracement toward the 50-EMA before momentum resumes.


Matt Hougan

@Matt_Hougan

Bitwise Invest's CIO and FutureProof co-founder, former ETF.com CEO bringing deep investment expertise to digital assets.