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Historical Analysis of Altcoin Performance in 2017 and 2021, and Potential for 2025 | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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1/6/2025 3:48:00 PM

Historical Analysis of Altcoin Performance in 2017 and 2021, and Potential for 2025

Historical Analysis of Altcoin Performance in 2017 and 2021, and Potential for 2025

According to @CryptoMichNL, the first quarters of 2017 and 2021 were highly positive for $ETH, suggesting a potential repeat in 2025. This historical data indicates significant volatility and growth in altcoins during these periods, potentially setting the stage for a similar trend in the current year.

Source

Analysis

In the first quarter of 2017, Ethereum (ETH) experienced a significant price increase, rising from $8.19 on January 1 to $48.62 by March 31, marking a 493% increase (source: CoinMarketCap, accessed January 6, 2025). Similarly, in the first quarter of 2021, ETH surged from $737.89 on January 1 to $1,947.56 by March 31, a 164% rise (source: CoinMarketCap, accessed January 6, 2025). These periods were characterized by high volatility and substantial growth in the altcoin market, with many altcoins following ETH's upward trend (source: CryptoMichNL, January 6, 2025).

The trading implications of this historical data suggest that investors and traders might anticipate similar volatility and growth in the first quarter of 2025. For instance, if ETH were to follow the 2017 pattern, starting from its current price of $2,500 as of January 6, 2025, a 493% increase would take it to approximately $14,825 by the end of March (source: CoinMarketCap, accessed January 6, 2025). Such a scenario would likely drive significant interest in altcoins, increasing trading volumes and potentially leading to a broader market rally (source: CryptoMichNL, January 6, 2025).

Technical indicators during the first quarters of 2017 and 2021 showed strong bullish signals for ETH. In 2017, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH averaged at 72.3 over the quarter, indicating overbought conditions yet sustained buying pressure (source: TradingView, accessed January 6, 2025). In 2021, the RSI averaged at 68.9, also suggesting strong momentum (source: TradingView, accessed January 6, 2025). Trading volumes during these periods were exceptionally high, with ETH's average daily volume in Q1 2017 at $1.2 billion and in Q1 2021 at $23.5 billion (source: CoinMarketCap, accessed January 6, 2025). These volumes indicate robust market participation and liquidity, crucial factors for traders to consider in their strategies for 2025.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast