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Hyperliquid (HYPE) vs Pump.fun (PUMP): 7x FDV Gap Despite Similar Run-Rate Revenue — Trading Setup and Valuation Repricing | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
Latest Update
9/19/2025 3:56:00 PM

Hyperliquid (HYPE) vs Pump.fun (PUMP): 7x FDV Gap Despite Similar Run-Rate Revenue — Trading Setup and Valuation Repricing

Hyperliquid (HYPE) vs Pump.fun (PUMP): 7x FDV Gap Despite Similar Run-Rate Revenue — Trading Setup and Valuation Repricing

According to @KookCapitalLLC, Pump.fun (PUMP) has roughly the same run-rate revenue as Hyperliquid (HYPE) while HYPE trades at about 7x the fully diluted valuation (FDV), indicating a potential relative value mispricing, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Sep 19, 2025. According to @KookCapitalLLC, the market currently treats HYPE’s perpetuals revenue as more durable, aided by builder-code distribution with Phantom and MetaMask plus the upcoming HIP-3, whereas PUMP lacks an equivalent distribution model, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Sep 19, 2025. According to @KookCapitalLLC, meme-launchpad revenues are underappreciated in durability because a large cohort of traders prefers gambling on memes over perps, and Pump.fun dominates the meme market, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Sep 19, 2025. According to @KookCapitalLLC, Pump.fun has shown +450% app user growth and added a streaming business, which the author cites as innovation supporting revenue durability, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Sep 19, 2025. According to @KookCapitalLLC, HYPE is a strong token but not worth a 7x premium over PUMP on current run-rate revenue, and the author expects PUMP to re-rate higher to narrow the valuation gap, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Sep 19, 2025.

Source

Analysis

In the ever-evolving cryptocurrency market, a recent analysis from crypto enthusiast KookCapitalLLC has sparked discussions among traders about the valuation discrepancies between Pump.fun and Hyperliquid, often referred to as Hype in trading circles. According to KookCapitalLLC's post on September 19, 2025, both platforms boast similar run-rate revenues, yet Hyperliquid commands a fully diluted valuation (FDV) that's approximately seven times higher than Pump.fun. This disparity highlights a market perception that Hyperliquid's revenue from perpetual futures (perps) is more durable and poised for sustained growth, while Pump.fun's meme coin launchpad model is viewed as more volatile. Traders are now questioning whether this valuation gap presents a buying opportunity for Pump.fun tokens, as the market may be undervaluing its long-term potential in the meme economy.

Analyzing Revenue Durability and Market Perceptions in Crypto Trading

Diving deeper into the trading implications, KookCapitalLLC argues that the market is mispricing Pump.fun by underestimating the resilience of meme coin trading. Perpetual futures on Hyperliquid are seen as a stable revenue source because perps are expected to grow indefinitely, supported by integrations like builder codes with platforms such as Phantom and MetaMask, and the upcoming HIP-3 update. In contrast, Pump.fun lacks a similar distribution model, making its business appear more vulnerable to attacks from low-tier competitors, like recurring Bonk scammers who briefly challenge but fail to dethrone it. From a trading standpoint, this perception could lead to undervaluation; Pump.fun has demonstrated innovation with a 450% growth in app users and expansions into streaming businesses as of the analysis date. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics might note that Pump.fun dominates the meme market, with consistent trading volumes in meme-related pairs on Solana, suggesting that a subset of degens will always prefer gambling on memes over perps, potentially driving future price appreciation.

Trading Opportunities: Closing the Valuation Gap Between Pump and Hyperliquid

For crypto traders eyeing entry points, the key insight is that Pump.fun's token could be mispriced, offering potential upside as it closes the 7x FDV gap with Hyperliquid. Historical data shows that meme launchpads like Pump.fun have weathered flash-in-the-pan challengers, maintaining market share through product improvements and user growth. Without real-time price data, sentiment analysis indicates bullish potential if Pump.fun adopts a stronger distribution strategy, as hinted in the analysis. Traders should watch for resistance levels around previous highs in Pump.fun's token price, with support possibly forming from increased on-chain activity in SOL-based meme pairs. Institutional flows into decentralized finance (DeFi) could further bolster both platforms, but Pump.fun's focus on high-volatility meme trading might attract retail investors seeking quick gains, contrasting with Hyperliquid's more institutional perp appeal. Overall, this mismatch in market views could trigger a revaluation, making Pump.fun a speculative buy for those betting on meme revenue durability.

Broader market implications extend to how traders allocate across crypto sectors. Hyperliquid's perceived durability in perps aligns with growing trading volumes in futures markets, where pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD see billions in daily turnover. Pump.fun, however, taps into the explosive meme coin niche, where tokens like BONK have shown rapid pumps but also crashes, yet the platform's consistent innovation suggests longevity. KookCapitalLLC emphasizes that memes represent a massive, enduring subset of gambling in crypto, unlikely to fade. For diversified portfolios, balancing exposure to stable perp revenues with high-upside meme plays could optimize returns. As of the September 19, 2025 analysis, Pump.fun's management innovations point to undervaluation, potentially leading to upward price momentum. Traders are advised to monitor trading volumes and sentiment indicators on exchanges like Binance for SOL/PUMP pairs, where any positive news on distribution models could catalyze a rally, narrowing the gap with Hyperliquid's valuation.

In conclusion, this valuation debate underscores opportunities in crypto trading strategies. While Hyperliquid benefits from strong distribution and perp growth, Pump.fun's meme dominance and user expansion make it a compelling underdog. Savvy traders might position for convergence trades, longing Pump.fun while shorting overvalued peers, based on revenue comparability. With no immediate data on current prices, focusing on long-term metrics like user growth and on-chain transactions remains crucial. This analysis from KookCapitalLLC serves as a reminder that market perceptions can shift rapidly, creating profitable setups for those who act on undervalued assets in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading.

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

Retired crypto hunter seeking 1000x gems through BullX strategies