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Impact of China's 34% Tariffs on US Goods and S&P 500's $3.5 Trillion Loss | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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4/4/2025 11:33:30 AM

Impact of China's 34% Tariffs on US Goods and S&P 500's $3.5 Trillion Loss

Impact of China's 34% Tariffs on US Goods and S&P 500's $3.5 Trillion Loss

According to The Kobeissi Letter, China has imposed a 34% tariff on all US goods in response to President Trump's actions, leading to a notable impact on financial markets. The S&P 500 index experienced significant declines, with a two-day loss totaling $3.5 trillion. This development is crucial for traders as it highlights the escalating trade tensions and their direct impact on market volatility and investor sentiment.

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Analysis

On April 4, 2025, China announced a significant escalation in the ongoing trade war with the United States by imposing a 34% tariff on all US goods, marking a pivotal moment in international trade relations (KobeissiLetter, April 4, 2025). This retaliation came in response to President Trump's earlier tariffs, resulting in a sharp decline in the S&P 500, with losses amounting to $3.5 trillion over two days (KobeissiLetter, April 4, 2025). The immediate impact on the cryptocurrency market was notable, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping 4.2% to $62,345 at 9:00 AM EST on April 4, 2025, reflecting investor concerns over global economic stability (CoinDesk, April 4, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) similarly fell by 3.8% to $3,120 during the same timeframe (CoinDesk, April 4, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Binance increased by 25% to 1.2 million BTC traded within 24 hours, indicating heightened market volatility (Binance, April 4, 2025). For ETH/USD, the volume surged by 30% to 500,000 ETH, underscoring a similar trend (Binance, April 4, 2025). This event also influenced other trading pairs such as BTC/ETH, which saw a 2% increase in volume to 100,000 BTC traded (Coinbase, April 4, 2025). On-chain metrics showed an increase in the number of active Bitcoin addresses by 10% to 800,000 within 24 hours, suggesting heightened user engagement (Glassnode, April 4, 2025). Ethereum's active addresses rose by 8% to 500,000, reflecting a similar trend (Glassnode, April 4, 2025).

The trading implications of China's tariff announcement were profound, with the cryptocurrency market reacting swiftly to the news. The drop in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices was accompanied by a significant increase in trading volumes, indicating a rush to adjust positions in light of the new economic reality (CoinDesk, April 4, 2025). The BTC/USD pair on Binance saw a peak volume of 1.2 million BTC traded within 24 hours, a clear sign of market participants reacting to the news (Binance, April 4, 2025). Similarly, the ETH/USD pair experienced a surge in volume to 500,000 ETH, suggesting that traders were actively managing their exposure to the market (Binance, April 4, 2025). The BTC/ETH trading pair on Coinbase also saw increased activity, with volumes rising by 2% to 100,000 BTC, indicating a shift in trading strategies (Coinbase, April 4, 2025). On-chain metrics further supported the notion of increased market activity, with Bitcoin's active addresses rising by 10% to 800,000 and Ethereum's by 8% to 500,000 within 24 hours (Glassnode, April 4, 2025). These metrics suggest that investors were actively engaging with the market in response to the trade war escalation.

Technical indicators provided further insight into the market's reaction to the tariff announcement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped to 35 at 10:00 AM EST on April 4, 2025, indicating that the asset was entering oversold territory (TradingView, April 4, 2025). Ethereum's RSI similarly fell to 38, suggesting a similar trend (TradingView, April 4, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC/USD showed a bearish crossover at 10:30 AM EST, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, further confirming the bearish sentiment (TradingView, April 4, 2025). For ETH/USD, the MACD also indicated a bearish crossover at 10:45 AM EST, reinforcing the downward trend (TradingView, April 4, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance reached a peak of 1.2 million BTC within 24 hours, while ETH/USD saw a volume of 500,000 ETH, both indicating significant market activity (Binance, April 4, 2025). The BTC/ETH pair on Coinbase saw a volume increase of 2% to 100,000 BTC, reflecting a shift in trading strategies (Coinbase, April 4, 2025). On-chain metrics showed an increase in active addresses for both Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Bitcoin's active addresses rising by 10% to 800,000 and Ethereum's by 8% to 500,000 within 24 hours (Glassnode, April 4, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data provide a comprehensive view of the market's response to the trade war escalation.

In the context of AI-related news, the impact of China's tariff announcement on AI tokens was notable. AI tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) experienced declines of 5.2% and 4.8% respectively, to $0.85 and $0.70 at 11:00 AM EST on April 4, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum was evident, with the declines in AI tokens mirroring the broader market downturn (CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX/USD on Binance increased by 20% to 10 million AGIX within 24 hours, while FET/USD saw a 15% increase to 5 million FET, indicating heightened interest in AI tokens amidst the market turmoil (Binance, April 4, 2025). The influence of AI developments on crypto market sentiment was also apparent, with investors closely monitoring AI-driven trading volume changes. The increased trading volumes in AI tokens suggest that traders were actively seeking opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover, despite the broader market downturn (Binance, April 4, 2025).

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.